Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona St.
Pac-12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#118
Expected Predictive Rating+5.6#102
Pace71.4#92
Improvement-3.8#318

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#207
First Shot+2.4#111
After Offensive Rebound-3.3#345
Layup/Dunks+3.2#66
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#289
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#158
Freethrows+0.5#141
Improvement-0.1#185

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#63
First Shot+2.7#92
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#63
Layups/Dunks-1.4#242
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#36
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#198
Freethrows+2.4#35
Improvement-3.7#337
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 52 - 9
Quad 26 - 48 - 13
Quad 33 - 411 - 17
Quad 43 - 114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2023 30   Mississippi St. L 56-71 18%     0 - 1 -2.2 -8.8 +6.4
  Nov 11, 2023 281   Texas Southern W 63-52 87%     1 - 1 +2.3 -15.0 +16.8
  Nov 16, 2023 155   Umass Lowell W 71-69 70%     2 - 1 -0.1 -2.4 +2.3
  Nov 23, 2023 17   BYU L 49-77 15%     2 - 2 -13.4 -17.6 +3.1
  Nov 24, 2023 167   Vanderbilt W 82-67 63%     3 - 2 +14.8 +13.5 +2.1
  Nov 29, 2023 138   Sam Houston St. W 78-61 65%     4 - 2 +16.2 +0.1 +14.9
  Dec 03, 2023 72   San Francisco W 72-61 43%     5 - 2 +15.9 -0.2 +15.7
  Dec 06, 2023 71   SMU W 76-74 43%     6 - 2 +7.0 +0.2 +6.7
  Dec 09, 2023 257   @ San Diego L 84-89 71%     6 - 3 -7.4 +3.3 -10.3
  Dec 16, 2023 31   TCU L 59-79 18%     6 - 4 -7.3 -11.5 +5.5
  Dec 20, 2023 40   Northwestern L 46-65 22%     6 - 5 -7.7 -19.3 +10.1
  Dec 29, 2023 98   @ Stanford W 76-73 32%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +11.0 +4.9 +6.0
  Dec 31, 2023 113   @ California W 71-69 38%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +8.2 -5.2 +13.3
  Jan 04, 2024 47   Utah W 82-70 32%     9 - 5 3 - 0 +20.1 +9.2 +10.4
  Jan 06, 2024 29   Colorado W 76-73 25%     10 - 5 4 - 0 +13.2 +8.7 +4.6
  Jan 11, 2024 65   @ Washington L 67-82 22%     10 - 6 4 - 1 -3.6 -3.0 -0.4
  Jan 17, 2024 93   UCLA L 66-68 49%     10 - 7 4 - 2 +1.6 +9.4 -8.2
  Jan 20, 2024 76   USC W 82-67 44%     11 - 7 5 - 2 +19.7 +8.2 +10.8
  Jan 25, 2024 54   @ Oregon L 61-80 19%     11 - 8 5 - 3 -6.7 -5.6 -1.4
  Jan 27, 2024 137   @ Oregon St. L 71-84 45%     11 - 9 5 - 4 -8.5 -5.5 -2.0
  Feb 01, 2024 98   Stanford L 62-71 52%     11 - 10 5 - 5 -6.2 -8.9 +2.5
  Feb 03, 2024 113   California L 66-81 58%     11 - 11 5 - 6 -14.0 -3.5 -11.1
  Feb 08, 2024 29   @ Colorado L 70-82 13%     11 - 12 5 - 7 +3.4 +1.8 +1.9
  Feb 10, 2024 47   @ Utah W 85-77 17%     12 - 12 6 - 7 +21.3 +13.0 +7.8
  Feb 14, 2024 137   Oregon St. W 79-61 65%     13 - 12 7 - 7 +17.3 +8.9 +9.2
  Feb 17, 2024 5   @ Arizona L 60-105 5%     13 - 13 7 - 8 -22.9 -5.9 -14.9
  Feb 22, 2024 65   Washington L 82-84 OT 39%     13 - 14 7 - 9 +4.2 -1.7 +6.1
  Feb 24, 2024 39   Washington St. W 73-61 30%     14 - 14 8 - 9 +20.8 +12.9 +9.1
  Feb 28, 2024 5   Arizona L 67-85 11%     14 - 15 8 - 10 -1.1 +0.5 -1.5
  Mar 07, 2024 76   @ USC L 73-81 26%     14 - 16 8 - 11 +1.8 +10.2 -8.9
  Mar 09, 2024 93   @ UCLA L 47-59 30%     14 - 17 8 - 12 -3.2 -11.5 +6.1
  Mar 13, 2024 47   Utah L 57-90 24%     14 - 18 -22.3 -15.0 -4.7
Projected Record 14 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%