IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.0	#294
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.2	#325
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.7	#291

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.3	#275

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.9%	1.1%	0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.8	14.6	15.3

.500 or above	32.7%	42.9%	18.5%
.500 or above in Conference	32.0%	38.3%	23.3%
Conference Champion	0.9%	1.3%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	11.3%	8.2%	15.5%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
First Round	0.7%	1.0%	0.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Navy (Home) - 58.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 5	2 - 9
Quad 4	10 - 7	12 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	277	Navy	W	64-62	58%
Nov 11, 2023	146	@ East Carolina	L	61-73	14%
Nov 15, 2023	57	@ Virginia Tech	L	58-77	4%
Nov 20, 2023	306	NC Central	W	68-64	64%
Nov 21, 2023	290	Idaho St.	W	66-63	61%
Nov 22, 2023	320	The Citadel	W	70-65	67%
Nov 29, 2023	246	@ Jacksonville	L	56-61	32%
Dec 06, 2023	149	@ Davidson	L	60-71	16%
Dec 18, 2023	333	Morgan St.	W	74-67	71%
Dec 30, 2023	358	@ St. Francis (PA)	W	71-67	63%
Jan 04, 2024	352	@ N.C. A&T	W	71-68	59%
Jan 06, 2024	312	@ Hampton	L	69-71	44%
Jan 11, 2024	194	Delaware	L	66-69	41%
Jan 13, 2024	112	Hofstra	L	64-72	26%
Jan 18, 2024	302	@ William & Mary	L	64-66	42%
Jan 20, 2024	158	@ Towson	L	59-70	18%
Jan 25, 2024	309	Elon	W	68-64	64%
Jan 27, 2024	80	College of Charleston	L	67-78	18%
Feb 01, 2024	309	@ Elon	L	65-67	44%
Feb 03, 2024	140	@ UNC Wilmington	L	59-71	16%
Feb 08, 2024	228	Northeastern	L	65-66	48%
Feb 10, 2024	255	Stony Brook	W	64-63	53%
Feb 15, 2024	311	@ Monmouth	L	66-68	44%
Feb 17, 2024	125	@ Drexel	L	57-69	16%
Feb 22, 2024	312	Hampton	W	72-68	64%
Feb 26, 2024	140	UNC Wilmington	L	62-68	32%
Feb 29, 2024	80	@ College of Charleston	L	64-81	9%
Mar 02, 2024	352	N.C. A&T	W	74-65	76%
Projected Record						12 - 16	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0		0.9	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	0.7	0.7	0.2	0.0				2.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.0	0.5	1.2	1.1	0.3	0.0					3.1	3rd
4th										0.0	0.5	1.8	1.6	0.5	0.0						4.4	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	2.3	2.4	0.6	0.0							5.8	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	2.5	3.4	1.0	0.0								7.4	6th
7th							0.0	0.3	2.6	4.1	1.7	0.1									8.9	7th
8th							0.2	2.3	5.0	2.3	0.2										10.0	8th
9th						0.1	1.8	5.0	3.2	0.5	0.0										10.5	9th
10th					0.1	1.3	5.2	3.8	0.7	0.0											11.1	10th
11th				0.1	1.1	4.3	4.4	1.0	0.0												10.8	11th
12th			0.1	0.9	4.0	3.9	1.2	0.1													10.2	12th
13th		0.1	1.2	3.1	3.1	0.9	0.1														8.5	13th
14th	0.3	1.5	2.1	1.8	0.6	0.1															6.5	14th

Total	0.3	1.6	3.4	5.9	8.9	10.6	12.8	12.5	12.0	9.9	8.1	5.8	3.7	2.4	1.3	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	88.5%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-3	59.3%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.0
14-4	22.0%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	4.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.9%	0.9		0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		33.3%	33.3%		6.0							0.0											0.0
17-1	0.0%		3.0%	3.0%		11.7												0.0	0.0					0.0
16-2	0.2%		18.0%	18.0%		12.8												0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0		0.1
15-3	0.5%		9.7%	9.7%		13.3													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.5
14-4	1.3%		8.6%	8.6%		13.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.2
13-5	2.4%		4.5%	4.5%		14.2														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.3
12-6	3.7%		4.0%	4.0%		14.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	3.6
11-7	5.8%		2.1%	2.1%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	5.7
10-8	8.1%		1.2%	1.2%		15.5															0.0	0.0	0.1	8.0
9-9	9.9%		0.7%	0.7%		15.9																0.0	0.1	9.8
8-10	12.0%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																0.0	0.0	11.9
7-11	12.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	12.4
6-12	12.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.8
5-13	10.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.6
4-14	8.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.9
3-15	5.9%																							5.9
2-16	3.4%																							3.4
1-17	1.6%																							1.6
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		0.9%	0.9%	0.0%	14.8							0.0					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3	99.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%