Preseason Rankings
Denver
Summit League
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#307
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.4#123
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#251
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#338
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 5.2% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 24.3% 41.4% 18.3%
.500 or above in Conference 32.9% 44.2% 28.8%
Conference Champion 3.4% 5.8% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 24.4% 15.3% 27.6%
First Four0.9% 1.2% 0.9%
First Round2.4% 4.6% 1.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC San Diego (Away) - 26.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 48 - 810 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 241   @ UC San Diego L 70-77 26%    
  Nov 09, 2023 334   Cal Poly W 69-63 71%    
  Nov 16, 2023 259   SIU Edwardsville L 74-77 41%    
  Nov 17, 2023 177   @ South Alabama L 66-77 17%    
  Nov 26, 2023 291   @ Texas A&M - Commerce L 70-74 36%    
  Nov 29, 2023 354   @ Idaho W 74-72 58%    
  Dec 06, 2023 71   @ Colorado St. L 65-83 6%    
  Dec 13, 2023 50   @ BYU L 66-87 4%    
  Dec 29, 2023 296   @ Nebraska Omaha L 74-78 37%    
  Dec 31, 2023 175   Oral Roberts L 77-82 34%    
  Jan 03, 2024 290   Idaho St. W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 06, 2024 251   @ Northern Colorado L 75-81 30%    
  Jan 13, 2024 151   South Dakota St. L 71-77 30%    
  Jan 18, 2024 201   @ North Dakota St. L 71-80 22%    
  Jan 20, 2024 267   @ North Dakota L 72-77 33%    
  Jan 25, 2024 304   South Dakota W 75-72 59%    
  Jan 27, 2024 296   Nebraska Omaha W 77-75 58%    
  Feb 01, 2024 286   @ UMKC L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 03, 2024 175   @ Oral Roberts L 74-85 19%    
  Feb 08, 2024 304   @ South Dakota L 72-75 39%    
  Feb 10, 2024 276   St. Thomas W 75-74 54%    
  Feb 15, 2024 267   North Dakota W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 17, 2024 201   North Dakota St. L 74-77 39%    
  Feb 22, 2024 151   @ South Dakota St. L 68-80 16%    
  Feb 29, 2024 286   UMKC W 69-67 56%    
  Mar 02, 2024 276   @ St. Thomas L 72-77 36%    
Projected Record 10 - 16 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 5.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.0 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 4.1 4.0 1.0 0.1 10.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 5.0 4.4 1.0 0.1 12.1 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 5.9 4.6 0.9 0.0 13.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.3 4.7 0.9 0.0 14.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.8 6.1 4.0 0.9 0.0 15.8 8th
9th 1.0 3.2 4.9 4.6 2.2 0.5 0.0 16.3 9th
Total 1.0 3.2 5.8 8.7 11.1 12.7 13.0 11.6 10.2 8.4 6.1 3.8 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
14-2 94.1% 0.6    0.5 0.1
13-3 73.9% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0
12-4 42.8% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-5 14.3% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 76.0% 76.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 52.2% 52.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.6% 34.1% 34.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
13-3 1.3% 27.5% 27.5% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9
12-4 2.3% 18.4% 18.4% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.9
11-5 3.8% 11.4% 11.4% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 3.4
10-6 6.1% 7.2% 7.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 5.7
9-7 8.4% 4.8% 4.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 8.0
8-8 10.2% 2.7% 2.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 9.9
7-9 11.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 11.5
6-10 13.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.9
5-11 12.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.6
4-12 11.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.1
3-13 8.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.7
2-14 5.8% 5.8
1-15 3.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.2
0-16 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.4 97.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%