IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Idaho
Big Sky
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-13.1	#354
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.5	#254
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.8	#333

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.3	#356

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.3%	1.3%	0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.2	15.7

.500 or above	2.5%	14.3%	2.3%
.500 or above in Conference	5.4%	15.5%	5.2%
Conference Champion	0.2%	2.3%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	62.2%	36.2%	62.7%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
First Round	0.2%	1.3%	0.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Away) - 1.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 8	1 - 12
Quad 4	5 - 11	6 - 23

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	86	@ Washington St.	L	55-77	2%
Nov 09, 2023	316	Cal St. Northridge	L	67-68	45%
Nov 22, 2023	126	@ Seattle	L	61-80	5%
Nov 24, 2023	241	UC San Diego	L	66-75	21%
Nov 29, 2023	307	Denver	L	72-74	42%
Dec 02, 2023	334	Cal Poly	W	64-63	52%
Dec 05, 2023	188	Pacific	L	69-78	21%
Dec 09, 2023	210	@ Utah Tech	L	47-61	11%
Dec 17, 2023	49	@ Stanford	L	57-83	1%
Dec 21, 2023	202	@ UC Riverside	L	62-76	11%
Dec 28, 2023	252	Sacramento St.	L	63-68	32%
Dec 30, 2023	211	Portland St.	L	72-80	25%
Jan 03, 2024	276	St. Thomas	L	69-73	38%
Jan 13, 2024	169	Eastern Washington	L	68-78	19%
Jan 18, 2024	290	@ Idaho St.	L	63-72	22%
Jan 20, 2024	160	@ Weber St.	L	58-75	8%
Jan 25, 2024	231	Northern Arizona	L	68-75	29%
Jan 27, 2024	251	Northern Colorado	L	71-76	32%
Feb 01, 2024	181	@ Montana	L	59-75	10%
Feb 03, 2024	225	@ Montana St.	L	62-75	15%
Feb 05, 2024	252	@ Sacramento St.	L	60-71	18%
Feb 10, 2024	169	@ Eastern Washington	L	65-81	9%
Feb 15, 2024	160	Weber St.	L	61-72	19%
Feb 17, 2024	290	Idaho St.	L	66-69	39%
Feb 22, 2024	251	@ Northern Colorado	L	68-79	18%
Feb 24, 2024	231	@ Northern Arizona	L	65-78	15%
Feb 29, 2024	225	Montana St.	L	65-72	29%
Mar 02, 2024	181	Montana	L	62-72	21%
Mar 04, 2024	211	@ Portland St.	L	69-83	13%
Projected Record						6 - 23	4 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Sky Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.4	2nd
3rd										0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0							1.0	3rd
4th								0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0							1.5	4th
5th								0.2	0.8	1.2	0.4	0.0									2.5	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	1.4	1.7	0.6	0.0										4.1	6th
7th					0.0	0.6	2.3	2.7	0.9	0.1											6.5	7th
8th			0.0	0.3	1.8	3.9	3.9	1.3	0.1												11.3	8th
9th		0.2	2.0	5.1	7.0	5.0	1.6	0.1													21.1	9th
10th	7.2	13.2	14.5	10.2	4.9	1.2	0.1	0.0													51.3	10th

Total	7.2	13.4	16.5	15.6	13.7	10.7	8.2	5.7	3.6	2.5	1.5	0.8	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0				Total

Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-3	79.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-4	69.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	43.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	11.2%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.8%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%																			0.0				0.0
16-2	0.0%																				0.0			0.0
15-3	0.0%		43.8%	43.8%		14.0														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
14-4	0.1%		11.3%	11.3%		14.9															0.0	0.0		0.1
13-5	0.2%		4.5%	4.5%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
12-6	0.3%		4.5%	4.5%		15.5															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
11-7	0.8%		3.9%	3.9%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.8
10-8	1.5%		4.3%	4.3%		15.8																0.0	0.0	1.4
9-9	2.5%		1.4%	1.4%		15.9																0.0	0.0	2.4
8-10	3.6%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	3.6
7-11	5.7%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	5.6
6-12	8.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	8.2
5-13	10.7%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.7
4-14	13.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.7
3-15	15.6%																							15.6
2-16	16.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	16.5
1-17	13.4%																							13.4
0-18	7.2%																							7.2

Total	100%		0.3%	0.3%	0.0%	15.7														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	99.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.8%