IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Georgetown
Big East
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	+4.0	#106
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.4	#95
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.6	#75

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.5	#159

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.6%	0.6%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	1.7%	1.7%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.2%	9.3%	0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	7.7%	7.8%	0.0%
Average Seed	8.9	8.9	16.0

.500 or above	32.7%	32.8%	7.3%
.500 or above in Conference	13.7%	13.8%	2.3%
Conference Champion	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	31.9%	31.8%	58.0%

First Four	1.9%	1.9%	0.5%
First Round	8.2%	8.3%	0.0%
Second Round	3.8%	3.8%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	1.2%	1.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Le Moyne (Home) - 99.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 7	1 - 7
Quad 1b	1 - 4	2 - 10
Quad 2	3 - 4	4 - 15
Quad 3	3 - 2	7 - 17
Quad 4	7 - 1	14 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2023	362	Le Moyne	W	87-60	99%
Nov 11, 2023	327	Holy Cross	W	84-67	94%
Nov 15, 2023	51	@ Rutgers	L	65-74	22%
Nov 18, 2023	250	Mount St. Mary's	W	76-64	85%
Nov 19, 2023	261	American	W	74-62	86%
Nov 25, 2023	245	Jackson St.	W	80-68	85%
Nov 29, 2023	330	Merrimack	W	76-59	93%
Dec 02, 2023	24	TCU	L	73-79	31%
Dec 09, 2023	75	Syracuse	L	75-76	50%
Dec 12, 2023	357	Coppin St.	W	90-69	96%
Dec 16, 2023	133	@ Notre Dame	L	72-73	46%
Dec 19, 2023	88	@ Butler	L	68-73	35%
Dec 22, 2023	9	@ Marquette	L	70-85	10%
Jan 02, 2024	8	Creighton	L	71-80	23%
Jan 06, 2024	109	DePaul	W	78-75	60%
Jan 09, 2024	66	Seton Hall	L	71-72	47%
Jan 14, 2024	6	@ Connecticut	L	66-82	10%
Jan 19, 2024	43	@ Xavier	L	74-84	21%
Jan 23, 2024	88	Butler	W	71-70	54%
Jan 27, 2024	46	@ Providence	L	70-79	22%
Feb 03, 2024	9	Marquette	L	73-82	24%
Feb 07, 2024	66	@ Seton Hall	L	68-75	28%
Feb 10, 2024	6	Connecticut	L	69-79	22%
Feb 13, 2024	8	@ Creighton	L	68-83	11%
Feb 16, 2024	20	Villanova	L	68-74	30%
Feb 21, 2024	44	St. John's	L	81-84	39%
Feb 24, 2024	109	@ DePaul	L	75-78	41%
Feb 27, 2024	20	@ Villanova	L	65-77	16%
Mar 02, 2024	43	Xavier	L	77-81	39%
Mar 05, 2024	46	Providence	L	73-76	40%
Mar 09, 2024	44	@ St. John's	L	78-87	22%
Projected Record						14 - 17	6 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big East Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.5	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0					1.0	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0					1.8	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	1.2	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0							3.3	4th
5th									0.1	0.8	1.7	1.5	0.4	0.1	0.0								4.5	5th
6th								0.1	1.2	2.6	2.1	0.6	0.1										6.7	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	1.9	3.7	2.8	0.7	0.0											9.5	7th
8th					0.1	0.8	3.1	4.7	3.0	0.6	0.0	0.0											12.3	8th
9th			0.0	0.3	1.8	4.6	5.8	3.2	0.7	0.0													16.5	9th
10th		0.1	1.2	4.0	6.7	5.5	2.6	0.6	0.0														20.7	10th
11th	1.5	4.3	6.7	5.8	3.5	1.2	0.2	0.0															23.2	11th

Total	1.5	4.4	7.9	10.1	12.1	12.0	12.1	10.5	8.7	6.9	4.9	3.6	2.2	1.5	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			Total

Big East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-3	81.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
16-4	70.8%	0.1		0.1	0.1	0.0
15-5	38.9%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	11.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.7%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.2%	0.0						0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.5%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0
19-1	0.0%							0.0
18-2	0.0%		100.0%		100.0%	2.9		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
17-3	0.1%		99.4%	22.3%	77.1%	2.8		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0												0.0		99.3%
16-4	0.2%		100.0%	15.9%	84.1%	3.7		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
15-5	0.4%		99.0%	12.8%	86.2%	4.9		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0		98.8%
14-6	0.8%		96.0%	7.2%	88.8%	6.3			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		95.6%
13-7	1.5%		87.9%	7.2%	80.7%	7.5				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.2		87.0%
12-8	2.2%		76.5%	6.8%	69.8%	8.4					0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0					0.5		74.8%
11-9	3.6%		50.4%	3.9%	46.4%	9.4				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.0					1.8		48.4%
10-10	4.9%		30.0%	3.7%	26.3%	10.1							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0			3.4		27.3%
9-11	6.9%		10.4%	3.2%	7.2%	10.8								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		6.2		7.4%
8-12	8.7%		2.8%	1.9%	0.9%	12.3										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	8.5		0.9%
7-13	10.5%		1.7%	1.5%	0.2%	14.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	10.4		0.2%
6-14	12.1%		1.2%	1.2%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	11.9
5-15	12.0%		0.8%	0.8%		15.9																0.0	0.1	11.9
4-16	12.1%		0.5%	0.5%		15.9																0.0	0.1	12.0
3-17	10.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.1
2-18	7.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.9
1-19	4.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	4.4
0-20	1.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.5

Total	100%		9.2%	1.6%	7.6%	8.9		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.9	1.2	1.3	1.6	1.5	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	90.8		7.7%