Preseason Rankings
Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#245
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.9#132
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#281
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#213
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.2% 36.4% 19.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.4 15.2
.500 or above 47.3% 80.7% 46.3%
.500 or above in Conference 86.4% 96.1% 86.1%
Conference Champion 25.7% 43.5% 25.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.0% 0.9%
First Four6.0% 4.7% 6.0%
First Round17.3% 34.0% 16.8%
Second Round0.8% 2.3% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Memphis (Away) - 3.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 31 - 32 - 10
Quad 414 - 615 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 27   @ Memphis L 66-86 3%    
  Nov 08, 2023 227   @ San Diego L 72-76 35%    
  Nov 10, 2023 186   @ California Baptist L 63-70 27%    
  Nov 14, 2023 116   @ Loyola Marymount L 66-77 17%    
  Nov 16, 2023 233   @ Tulsa L 70-74 36%    
  Nov 19, 2023 52   @ Missouri L 66-83 7%    
  Nov 25, 2023 106   @ Georgetown L 68-80 15%    
  Nov 28, 2023 198   @ Arkansas St. L 63-69 30%    
  Dec 09, 2023 4   @ Houston L 54-78 2%    
  Dec 16, 2023 247   Howard W 75-74 50%    
  Dec 17, 2023 352   N.C. A&T W 77-69 76%    
  Dec 20, 2023 10   @ Gonzaga L 66-89 2%    
  Dec 29, 2023 47   @ Northwestern L 58-76 7%    
  Jan 06, 2024 281   Alcorn St. W 73-68 66%    
  Jan 13, 2024 353   @ Alabama St. W 71-66 67%    
  Jan 15, 2024 338   @ Alabama A&M W 71-68 61%    
  Jan 20, 2024 326   Prairie View W 73-65 75%    
  Jan 22, 2024 222   Texas Southern W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 27, 2024 349   @ Bethune-Cookman W 75-70 66%    
  Jan 29, 2024 343   @ Florida A&M W 68-64 63%    
  Feb 03, 2024 253   Grambling St. W 68-65 61%    
  Feb 05, 2024 321   Southern W 76-69 73%    
  Feb 10, 2024 361   @ Mississippi Valley W 74-64 80%    
  Feb 12, 2024 346   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 75-71 65%    
  Feb 17, 2024 343   Florida A&M W 71-61 80%    
  Feb 19, 2024 349   Bethune-Cookman W 78-67 81%    
  Feb 24, 2024 281   @ Alcorn St. L 70-71 47%    
  Mar 02, 2024 222   @ Texas Southern L 69-74 35%    
  Mar 04, 2024 326   @ Prairie View W 70-68 56%    
  Mar 07, 2024 361   Mississippi Valley W 77-61 91%    
  Mar 07, 2024 346   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-68 80%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.6 6.9 6.7 4.1 1.4 25.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.9 6.2 6.3 2.7 0.5 0.0 19.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.6 4.0 1.3 0.1 14.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.8 3.0 0.6 0.0 11.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.8 2.3 0.4 0.0 8.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.5 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.3 3.5 5.4 7.0 9.1 10.9 12.2 12.6 12.2 9.8 7.3 4.1 1.4 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.4    1.4
17-1 99.4% 4.1    3.9 0.2
16-2 92.6% 6.7    5.4 1.3 0.0
15-3 70.8% 6.9    4.4 2.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 37.9% 4.6    1.9 2.0 0.7 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.8% 1.7    0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 25.7% 25.7 17.3 6.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.4% 77.0% 77.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.3
17-1 4.1% 65.5% 65.5% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.3 1.4 0.0%
16-2 7.3% 51.4% 51.4% 14.8 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.4 1.0 3.5
15-3 9.8% 39.4% 39.4% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.7 5.9
14-4 12.2% 27.3% 27.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 8.8
13-5 12.6% 19.7% 19.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.0 10.1
12-6 12.2% 12.2% 12.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.4 10.7
11-7 10.9% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 10.0
10-8 9.1% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 8.7
9-9 7.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.2 6.8
8-10 5.4% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.4
7-11 3.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.5
6-12 2.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.3
5-13 1.3% 1.3
4-14 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 20.2% 20.2% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.2 5.4 10.1 79.8 0.0%