IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Green Bay
Horizon
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.1	#340
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.9	#286
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.9	#315

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.2	#346

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.6%	2.9%	0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	14.7	15.5

.500 or above	6.6%	31.8%	6.3%
.500 or above in Conference	13.7%	37.0%	13.5%
Conference Champion	0.4%	1.6%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	32.5%	11.7%	32.7%

First Four	0.3%	0.5%	0.3%
First Round	0.4%	2.4%	0.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.5%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.5%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Iowa St. (Away) - 0.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 7	1 - 10
Quad 4	7 - 11	8 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	40	@ Iowa St.	L	51-76	1%
Nov 14, 2023	310	@ Valparaiso	L	65-71	29%
Nov 20, 2023	225	@ Montana St.	L	62-73	16%
Nov 21, 2023	202	UC Riverside	L	63-72	20%
Nov 25, 2023	276	St. Thomas	L	69-71	43%
Nov 29, 2023	305	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	68-74	29%
Dec 02, 2023	217	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	72-78	32%
Dec 06, 2023	259	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	66-75	22%
Dec 09, 2023	317	Western Illinois	W	69-68	53%
Dec 12, 2023	244	@ Illinois-Chicago	L	66-76	20%
Dec 16, 2023	53	@ Oklahoma	L	55-78	2%
Dec 29, 2023	131	Wright St.	L	70-80	18%
Dec 31, 2023	285	Robert Morris	L	66-67	45%
Jan 04, 2024	265	@ Detroit Mercy	L	68-76	24%
Jan 06, 2024	256	@ Oakland	L	67-76	23%
Jan 10, 2024	347	@ IUPUI	L	67-69	44%
Jan 14, 2024	187	Cleveland St.	L	64-71	27%
Jan 18, 2024	131	@ Wright St.	L	67-83	9%
Jan 20, 2024	183	@ Northern Kentucky	L	57-70	13%
Jan 25, 2024	256	Oakland	L	70-73	41%
Jan 27, 2024	265	Detroit Mercy	L	71-73	42%
Feb 01, 2024	347	IUPUI	W	70-66	64%
Feb 08, 2024	285	@ Robert Morris	L	63-70	27%
Feb 10, 2024	212	@ Youngstown St.	L	67-79	17%
Feb 14, 2024	183	Northern Kentucky	L	60-67	27%
Feb 23, 2024	305	Purdue Fort Wayne	L	70-71	49%
Feb 25, 2024	212	Youngstown St.	L	70-76	32%
Feb 28, 2024	187	@ Cleveland St.	L	61-74	14%
Mar 02, 2024	217	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	69-81	18%
Projected Record						8 - 21	6 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.4	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0					1.0	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0						2.0	3rd
4th										0.1	0.4	1.1	1.0	0.4	0.0	0.0							3.1	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	0.7	1.7	1.5	0.4	0.1									4.5	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	1.2	2.5	2.0	0.6	0.0	0.0									6.5	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	1.8	3.6	2.6	0.8	0.0											9.0	7th
8th					0.0	0.6	2.7	4.5	3.1	0.8	0.1												11.8	8th
9th			0.0	0.2	1.7	4.7	5.9	3.4	0.7	0.0	0.0												16.6	9th
10th		0.1	1.3	4.1	6.6	6.0	2.7	0.6	0.0														21.5	10th
11th	1.6	4.3	6.6	5.9	3.7	1.3	0.2	0.0															23.5	11th

Total	1.6	4.4	7.8	10.2	12.0	12.6	11.8	10.4	8.6	6.8	5.1	3.4	2.3	1.5	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
17-3	77.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0
16-4	69.8%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-5	30.5%	0.1		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-6	12.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.7%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.4%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%																			0.0				0.0
18-2	0.0%		15.0%	15.0%		13.3														0.0	0.0			0.0
17-3	0.1%		26.0%	26.0%		14.4														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
16-4	0.2%		16.6%	16.6%		14.2														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
15-5	0.5%		13.7%	13.7%		14.7													0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4
14-6	0.7%		7.8%	7.8%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.7
13-7	1.5%		5.4%	5.4%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	1.4
12-8	2.3%		3.2%	3.2%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	2.2
11-9	3.4%		1.6%	1.6%		15.9																0.0	0.0	3.4
10-10	5.1%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	5.0
9-11	6.8%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	6.7
8-12	8.6%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	8.6
7-13	10.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.4
6-14	11.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.7
5-15	12.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.6
4-16	12.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.0
3-17	10.2%																							10.2
2-18	7.8%																							7.8
1-19	4.4%																							4.4
0-20	1.6%																							1.6

Total	100%		0.6%	0.6%	0.0%	15.4													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4	99.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.6%