Preseason Rankings
Iowa
Big Ten
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.7#42
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.0#53
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+9.3#7
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#128
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
#1 Seed 1.8% 1.8% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 4.4% 4.6% 0.6%
Top 4 Seed 12.4% 12.7% 2.8%
Top 6 Seed 22.3% 22.8% 5.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 48.2% 49.2% 20.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 45.2% 46.2% 18.3%
Average Seed 6.7 6.7 7.9
.500 or above 77.3% 78.4% 45.3%
.500 or above in Conference 53.4% 54.3% 28.7%
Conference Champion 4.3% 4.5% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 6.0% 15.2%
First Four4.6% 4.7% 2.8%
First Round46.0% 46.9% 18.8%
Second Round29.2% 29.9% 10.6%
Sweet Sixteen13.4% 13.7% 3.5%
Elite Eight6.1% 6.2% 1.4%
Final Four2.7% 2.8% 0.6%
Championship Game1.1% 1.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.4% 0.4% 0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota (Home) - 96.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 9
Quad 24 - 28 - 11
Quad 33 - 111 - 12
Quad 47 - 018 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 267   North Dakota W 88-68 97%    
  Nov 10, 2023 353   Alabama St. W 89-62 99%    
  Nov 14, 2023 8   @ Creighton L 75-83 23%    
  Nov 17, 2023 198   Arkansas St. W 80-65 91%    
  Nov 23, 2023 53   Oklahoma W 75-74 55%    
  Nov 29, 2023 280   North Florida W 91-71 96%    
  Dec 03, 2023 2   @ Purdue L 69-80 17%    
  Dec 07, 2023 40   @ Iowa St. L 69-72 39%    
  Dec 10, 2023 48   Michigan W 80-76 63%    
  Dec 16, 2023 343   Florida A&M W 83-61 97%    
  Dec 20, 2023 292   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89-68 96%    
  Dec 29, 2023 240   Northern Illinois W 88-70 94%    
  Jan 02, 2024 28   @ Wisconsin L 68-73 35%    
  Jan 06, 2024 51   Rutgers W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 12, 2024 67   Nebraska W 80-74 69%    
  Jan 15, 2024 113   @ Minnesota W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 20, 2024 2   Purdue L 72-77 34%    
  Jan 24, 2024 29   Maryland W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 26, 2024 48   @ Michigan L 77-79 43%    
  Jan 30, 2024 39   @ Indiana L 76-79 39%    
  Feb 02, 2024 38   Ohio St. W 79-76 59%    
  Feb 07, 2024 76   @ Penn St. W 75-74 52%    
  Feb 11, 2024 113   Minnesota W 80-70 79%    
  Feb 13, 2024 29   @ Maryland L 71-76 35%    
  Feb 17, 2024 28   Wisconsin W 71-70 55%    
  Feb 19, 2024 5   @ Michigan St. L 70-79 23%    
  Feb 24, 2024 21   @ Illinois L 78-83 33%    
  Feb 27, 2024 76   Penn St. W 78-71 71%    
  Mar 02, 2024 47   @ Northwestern L 72-74 42%    
  Mar 10, 2024 21   Illinois W 81-80 51%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 4.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1 6.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.7 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 7.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.2 3.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.1 3.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 8.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.0 1.5 0.1 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.0 1.8 0.2 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.2 1.7 4.1 2.4 0.3 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.7 2.8 0.5 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 2.9 3.1 0.7 0.0 7.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 2.7 2.7 0.9 0.1 7.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.4 0.9 0.1 6.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 1.8 0.8 0.1 5.3 13th
14th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 3.7 14th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.3 4.8 7.0 7.9 9.7 10.6 10.6 10.3 9.5 7.8 6.0 4.2 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 91.4% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
17-3 71.8% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
16-4 45.0% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 19.8% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
14-6 5.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 100.0% 29.5% 70.5% 1.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.3% 100.0% 32.4% 67.6% 1.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
18-2 0.6% 100.0% 26.4% 73.6% 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.4% 100.0% 21.2% 78.8% 2.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.8% 100.0% 18.9% 81.1% 2.7 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 4.2% 99.8% 13.6% 86.2% 3.7 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
14-6 6.0% 99.3% 10.3% 89.0% 4.7 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.5 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.2%
13-7 7.8% 97.3% 8.4% 88.9% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.5 1.7 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 97.0%
12-8 9.5% 90.8% 6.6% 84.1% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 1.9 1.8 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.9 90.1%
11-9 10.3% 77.0% 5.3% 71.7% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.7 1.7 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.4 75.7%
10-10 10.6% 52.1% 3.9% 48.2% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 5.1 50.1%
9-11 10.6% 22.0% 3.2% 18.8% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.2 19.4%
8-12 9.7% 7.4% 3.0% 4.4% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.0 4.5%
7-13 7.9% 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7 0.5%
6-14 7.0% 2.3% 2.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.8
5-15 4.8% 1.1% 1.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8
4-16 3.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.3
3-17 1.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.9
2-18 0.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.9
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 48.2% 5.5% 42.7% 6.7 1.8 2.7 3.8 4.2 4.7 5.2 5.6 5.5 5.0 5.0 3.7 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 51.8 45.2%