IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.2	#296
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.3	#147
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.6	#234

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.6	#333

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.5%	8.3%	3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.1	14.3	15.2

.500 or above	23.2%	60.9%	22.5%
.500 or above in Conference	37.9%	65.8%	37.3%
Conference Champion	4.5%	13.8%	4.4%
Last Place in Conference	20.2%	6.1%	20.5%

First Four	1.2%	0.7%	1.2%
First Round	2.9%	7.9%	2.8%
Second Round	0.1%	0.6%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: TCU (Away) - 1.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 9
Quad 4	9 - 8	10 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2023	24	@ TCU	L	64-87	2%
Nov 11, 2023	90	@ North Texas	L	53-69	7%
Nov 16, 2023	302	William & Mary	W	71-70	52%
Nov 17, 2023	356	Lindenwood	W	78-71	72%
Nov 19, 2023	166	@ Air Force	L	62-73	18%
Dec 06, 2023	41	@ Texas Tech	L	62-83	3%
Dec 09, 2023	283	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	74-78	38%
Dec 17, 2023	207	Stetson	L	73-75	43%
Dec 21, 2023	334	@ Cal Poly	W	67-66	52%
Dec 29, 2023	307	Denver	W	78-74	63%
Dec 31, 2023	304	@ South Dakota	L	72-74	42%
Jan 03, 2024	231	Northern Arizona	L	74-75	48%
Jan 06, 2024	290	@ Idaho St.	L	69-72	39%
Jan 11, 2024	267	North Dakota	W	75-73	55%
Jan 13, 2024	201	North Dakota St.	L	74-76	42%
Jan 18, 2024	151	@ South Dakota St.	L	68-79	17%
Jan 20, 2024	286	UMKC	W	69-66	59%
Jan 25, 2024	175	@ Oral Roberts	L	74-84	20%
Jan 27, 2024	307	@ Denver	L	75-77	42%
Feb 01, 2024	276	St. Thomas	W	75-73	57%
Feb 08, 2024	267	@ North Dakota	L	72-76	36%
Feb 10, 2024	201	@ North Dakota St.	L	71-79	24%
Feb 15, 2024	304	South Dakota	W	75-71	61%
Feb 17, 2024	151	South Dakota St.	L	71-76	33%
Feb 22, 2024	175	Oral Roberts	L	77-81	37%
Feb 24, 2024	286	@ UMKC	L	66-69	39%
Feb 29, 2024	276	@ St. Thomas	L	72-76	37%
Projected Record						10 - 17	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.2	0.7	1.3	1.3	0.7	0.3	0.1		4.5	1st
2nd									0.0	0.5	2.0	2.6	1.5	0.5	0.1				7.1	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.7	3.3	3.8	1.5	0.2	0.0					9.5	3rd
4th							0.0	1.1	4.2	4.3	1.2	0.1							11.0	4th
5th						0.1	1.5	5.3	4.5	1.2	0.0								12.7	5th
6th					0.1	1.8	5.7	4.9	1.1	0.0									13.6	6th
7th			0.0	0.3	2.4	5.6	4.6	1.1	0.0										14.0	7th
8th		0.0	0.8	3.2	5.6	3.9	0.8	0.0											14.3	8th
9th	0.6	2.3	3.9	4.0	2.1	0.4	0.0												13.3	9th

Total	0.6	2.3	4.8	7.5	10.2	11.7	12.6	12.5	10.6	9.2	7.2	4.9	3.0	1.8	0.8	0.3	0.1			Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
14-2	92.6%	0.7		0.6	0.1	0.0
13-3	72.8%	1.3		0.9	0.4	0.0
12-4	42.3%	1.3		0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0
11-5	14.7%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0
10-6	2.6%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	4.5%	4.5		2.6	1.4	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		43.1%	43.1%		13.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
15-1	0.3%		52.1%	52.1%		13.3												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
14-2	0.8%		34.3%	34.3%		14.0													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.5
13-3	1.8%		22.2%	22.2%		14.4													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.4
12-4	3.0%		16.6%	16.6%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	2.5
11-5	4.9%		11.3%	11.3%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	4.3
10-6	7.2%		7.4%	7.4%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	6.7
9-7	9.2%		4.3%	4.3%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.3	8.9
8-8	10.6%		3.2%	3.2%		15.9																0.0	0.3	10.3
7-9	12.5%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																0.0	0.2	12.3
6-10	12.6%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	12.5
5-11	11.7%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	11.6
4-12	10.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.2
3-13	7.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.5
2-14	4.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	4.8
1-15	2.3%																							2.3
0-16	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		3.5%	3.5%	0.0%	15.1												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.0	1.6	96.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%