IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-13.7	#356
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.8	#180
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.9	#335

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.8	#360

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.7%	3.3%	0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.5	15.8

.500 or above	7.5%	30.1%	7.3%
.500 or above in Conference	17.5%	38.9%	17.3%
Conference Champion	1.0%	4.6%	0.9%
Last Place in Conference	36.0%	16.3%	36.2%

First Four	0.5%	1.0%	0.4%
First Round	0.4%	2.9%	0.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska (Away) - 1.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 4	0 - 7
Quad 4	7 - 14	7 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	67	@ Nebraska	L	59-84	1%
Nov 09, 2023	40	@ Iowa St.	L	52-80	1%
Nov 16, 2023	166	@ Air Force	L	58-75	6%
Nov 17, 2023	296	Nebraska Omaha	L	71-78	28%
Nov 19, 2023	302	William & Mary	L	66-72	29%
Nov 27, 2023	210	Utah Tech	L	51-59	23%
Dec 02, 2023	290	@ Idaho St.	L	64-74	19%
Dec 09, 2023	286	UMKC	L	64-68	36%
Dec 16, 2023	347	@ IUPUI	L	69-73	35%
Dec 19, 2023	143	@ Missouri St.	L	56-74	6%
Dec 31, 2023	344	Southern Indiana	W	75-74	53%
Jan 06, 2024	317	@ Western Illinois	L	67-75	25%
Jan 11, 2024	308	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	73-82	23%
Jan 13, 2024	262	@ Tennessee St.	L	71-82	17%
Jan 18, 2024	259	SIU Edwardsville	L	71-76	32%
Jan 20, 2024	332	Eastern Illinois	L	71-72	49%
Jan 25, 2024	275	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	72-83	19%
Jan 27, 2024	282	@ Tennessee Martin	L	73-83	20%
Jan 30, 2024	308	Southeast Missouri St.	L	76-79	42%
Feb 01, 2024	317	Western Illinois	L	70-72	43%
Feb 08, 2024	262	Tennessee St.	L	74-79	33%
Feb 10, 2024	289	Tennessee Tech	L	70-74	38%
Feb 15, 2024	259	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	68-79	17%
Feb 17, 2024	332	@ Eastern Illinois	L	68-74	30%
Feb 22, 2024	282	Tennessee Martin	L	76-80	37%
Feb 24, 2024	275	Arkansas Little Rock	L	75-80	35%
Feb 29, 2024	344	@ Southern Indiana	L	72-77	34%
Mar 02, 2024	220	@ Morehead St.	L	59-73	13%
Projected Record						7 - 21	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.0	1st
2nd											0.1	0.3	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.0					2.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.6	1.2	0.8	0.2	0.0						2.9	3rd
4th									0.1	0.7	1.7	1.2	0.2	0.0							3.9	4th
5th								0.1	0.6	2.2	1.6	0.3	0.0								4.9	5th
6th							0.0	0.8	3.0	2.4	0.4	0.0									6.6	6th
7th						0.1	1.0	3.3	3.5	0.8	0.0										8.7	7th
8th				0.0	0.1	1.3	4.1	4.3	1.1	0.0											11.0	8th
9th			0.0	0.3	2.1	5.2	4.8	1.4	0.1												14.0	9th
10th		0.1	1.3	4.1	6.3	5.0	1.6	0.1													18.5	10th
11th	1.9	5.1	7.5	7.0	3.9	1.1	0.1	0.0													26.6	11th

Total	1.9	5.2	8.8	11.4	12.4	12.7	11.7	10.0	8.3	6.2	4.5	3.1	1.8	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	78.1%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0
14-4	53.0%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	21.6%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	6.2%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0						0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.0%	1.0		0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																				0.0	0.0		0.0
17-1	0.0%		42.9%	42.9%		13.6														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
16-2	0.1%		35.7%	35.7%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
15-3	0.2%		30.0%	30.0%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
14-4	0.6%		10.1%	10.1%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5
13-5	1.1%		9.1%	9.1%		15.9																0.0	0.1	1.0
12-6	1.8%		6.6%	6.6%		15.9																0.0	0.1	1.7
11-7	3.1%		3.4%	3.4%		16.0																0.0	0.1	3.0
10-8	4.5%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	4.4
9-9	6.2%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	6.1
8-10	8.3%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	8.3
7-11	10.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.0
6-12	11.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.7
5-13	12.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.7
4-14	12.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.4
3-15	11.4%																							11.4
2-16	8.8%																							8.8
1-17	5.2%																							5.2
0-18	1.9%																							1.9

Total	100%		0.7%	0.7%	0.0%	15.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	99.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.9%