Preseason Rankings
Radford
Big South
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#182
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.9#311
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#214
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#163
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.5% 30.5% 18.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.0 14.1
.500 or above 69.0% 91.7% 67.8%
.500 or above in Conference 78.9% 91.3% 78.3%
Conference Champion 24.3% 38.9% 23.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 0.6% 3.1%
First Four1.8% 0.7% 1.9%
First Round18.7% 30.0% 18.1%
Second Round2.0% 4.7% 1.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 1.1% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina (Away) - 5.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 33 - 43 - 9
Quad 412 - 416 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 16   @ North Carolina L 62-79 5%    
  Nov 10, 2023 135   Marshall L 72-75 40%    
  Nov 15, 2023 82   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 61-71 18%    
  Nov 17, 2023 121   @ James Madison L 69-75 29%    
  Nov 21, 2023 333   Morgan St. W 75-65 81%    
  Nov 29, 2023 180   @ Old Dominion L 62-65 39%    
  Dec 03, 2023 309   Elon W 71-60 82%    
  Dec 09, 2023 306   NC Central W 71-61 81%    
  Dec 12, 2023 351   VMI W 75-60 91%    
  Dec 16, 2023 331   @ Bucknell W 70-64 71%    
  Dec 20, 2023 63   @ West Virginia L 63-75 15%    
  Dec 29, 2023 45   @ Clemson L 62-76 12%    
  Jan 03, 2024 278   High Point W 78-69 77%    
  Jan 10, 2024 213   @ Longwood L 65-66 46%    
  Jan 13, 2024 189   @ Winthrop L 68-71 41%    
  Jan 17, 2024 195   Gardner-Webb W 66-62 62%    
  Jan 20, 2024 273   South Carolina Upstate W 72-64 76%    
  Jan 24, 2024 170   @ UNC Asheville L 66-70 38%    
  Jan 27, 2024 322   Presbyterian W 69-58 83%    
  Jan 31, 2024 328   Charleston Southern W 73-61 84%    
  Feb 03, 2024 273   @ South Carolina Upstate W 69-67 59%    
  Feb 10, 2024 322   @ Presbyterian W 66-61 67%    
  Feb 14, 2024 189   Winthrop W 71-68 61%    
  Feb 17, 2024 278   @ High Point W 75-72 59%    
  Feb 21, 2024 195   @ Gardner-Webb L 63-65 43%    
  Feb 24, 2024 213   Longwood W 68-63 65%    
  Feb 28, 2024 328   @ Charleston Southern W 70-64 69%    
  Mar 02, 2024 170   UNC Asheville W 69-67 57%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.1 6.7 5.9 3.3 1.0 24.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.3 6.7 5.7 2.1 0.3 18.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.9 6.5 3.9 0.8 0.0 15.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.7 2.6 0.3 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.6 1.8 0.2 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.5 3.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 1.8 2.2 0.7 0.1 5.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.1 3.7 5.6 7.9 10.1 11.9 13.0 13.0 11.6 8.9 6.2 3.3 1.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 1.0    1.0
15-1 100.0% 3.3    3.2 0.1
14-2 94.7% 5.9    5.1 0.7 0.0
13-3 75.7% 6.7    4.5 2.1 0.2
12-4 44.2% 5.1    2.1 2.3 0.7 0.0
11-5 15.7% 2.1    0.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 24.3% 24.3 16.3 6.2 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 1.0% 74.7% 71.5% 3.2% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 11.2%
15-1 3.3% 59.8% 59.7% 0.1% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 0.3%
14-2 6.2% 50.6% 50.6% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.1 0.0%
13-3 8.9% 38.5% 38.5% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.3 0.7 0.1 5.4 0.1%
12-4 11.6% 29.4% 29.4% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.0 0.3 8.2
11-5 13.0% 21.1% 21.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.5 10.3
10-6 13.0% 14.1% 14.1% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 11.1
9-7 11.9% 9.4% 9.4% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 10.8
8-8 10.1% 6.5% 6.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 9.5
7-9 7.9% 4.4% 4.4% 15.9 0.0 0.3 7.5
6-10 5.6% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.5
5-11 3.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.7
4-12 2.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.0
3-13 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-14 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 19.5% 19.5% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 4.2 5.1 4.3 3.2 80.5 0.0%