Preseason Rankings
West Virginia
Big 12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#63
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.6#118
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#47
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#81
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 1.8% 2.1% 0.3%
Top 4 Seed 6.1% 7.0% 1.9%
Top 6 Seed 12.4% 14.1% 4.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 32.8% 36.2% 16.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 30.7% 34.1% 15.3%
Average Seed 7.3 7.3 8.2
.500 or above 65.1% 70.3% 40.9%
.500 or above in Conference 34.1% 37.0% 21.1%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.1% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 16.0% 14.1% 25.0%
First Four4.2% 4.5% 3.1%
First Round30.7% 34.1% 15.1%
Second Round17.9% 20.1% 7.8%
Sweet Sixteen7.0% 8.0% 2.7%
Elite Eight3.0% 3.4% 1.3%
Final Four1.2% 1.3% 0.5%
Championship Game0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri St. (Home) - 82.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 8
Quad 24 - 37 - 12
Quad 35 - 212 - 13
Quad 45 - 016 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 143   Missouri St. W 71-61 82%    
  Nov 10, 2023 311   Monmouth W 83-63 97%    
  Nov 14, 2023 221   Jacksonville St. W 77-63 91%    
  Nov 20, 2023 101   SMU W 77-73 64%    
  Nov 26, 2023 215   Bellarmine W 75-61 89%    
  Dec 01, 2023 44   St. John's W 82-81 54%    
  Dec 06, 2023 69   Pittsburgh W 75-71 63%    
  Dec 09, 2023 125   Drexel W 72-63 79%    
  Dec 16, 2023 192   Massachusetts W 82-72 80%    
  Dec 20, 2023 182   Radford W 75-63 85%    
  Dec 23, 2023 132   Toledo W 84-75 79%    
  Dec 30, 2023 38   Ohio St. L 71-74 41%    
  Jan 06, 2024 4   @ Houston L 62-73 17%    
  Jan 09, 2024 32   Kansas St. L 75-76 49%    
  Jan 13, 2024 15   Texas L 73-76 40%    
  Jan 17, 2024 53   @ Oklahoma L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 20, 2024 1   Kansas L 71-79 26%    
  Jan 23, 2024 81   @ Central Florida L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 27, 2024 59   @ Oklahoma St. L 69-73 38%    
  Jan 31, 2024 58   Cincinnati W 75-73 58%    
  Feb 03, 2024 50   BYU W 77-75 56%    
  Feb 10, 2024 15   @ Texas L 70-79 24%    
  Feb 12, 2024 24   @ TCU L 72-79 28%    
  Feb 17, 2024 14   Baylor L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 20, 2024 81   Central Florida W 71-66 66%    
  Feb 24, 2024 40   @ Iowa St. L 64-70 33%    
  Feb 26, 2024 32   @ Kansas St. L 73-79 30%    
  Mar 02, 2024 41   Texas Tech W 73-72 53%    
  Mar 06, 2024 24   TCU L 75-76 46%    
  Mar 09, 2024 58   @ Cincinnati L 72-76 38%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 2.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.7 1.9 0.3 0.0 5.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.8 2.8 0.6 0.0 6.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.3 3.8 1.1 0.1 7.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 4.2 2.1 0.2 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 4.1 3.2 0.3 0.0 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.5 4.3 0.9 0.0 9.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.6 1.5 0.1 9.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.4 2.2 0.2 0.0 9.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.9 2.8 4.1 2.1 0.3 0.0 10.2 13th
14th 0.6 1.9 2.9 3.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 10.1 14th
Total 0.6 2.0 3.8 6.3 8.6 10.1 11.5 11.9 11.1 9.8 7.9 6.3 4.4 2.9 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 99.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 87.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-3 62.9% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 35.4% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 11.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 31.9% 68.1% 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.3% 100.0% 17.4% 82.6% 1.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.8% 100.0% 13.9% 86.1% 2.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.6% 99.5% 11.7% 87.9% 3.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.5%
13-5 2.9% 99.3% 8.1% 91.2% 4.3 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
12-6 4.4% 98.4% 6.9% 91.5% 5.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.3%
11-7 6.3% 93.0% 6.3% 86.7% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 92.5%
10-8 7.9% 80.0% 5.0% 75.0% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.6 79.0%
9-9 9.8% 60.5% 3.2% 57.3% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.5 1.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.9 59.2%
8-10 11.1% 27.4% 2.6% 24.7% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1 25.4%
7-11 11.9% 8.4% 1.8% 6.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.9 6.7%
6-12 11.5% 3.0% 1.8% 1.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.2 1.2%
5-13 10.1% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.0%
4-14 8.6% 0.7% 0.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
3-15 6.3% 0.8% 0.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 6.3
2-16 3.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.8
1-17 2.0% 2.0
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 32.8% 3.0% 29.8% 7.3 0.7 1.1 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.3 3.7 4.0 4.2 4.1 3.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 67.2 30.7%