Preseason Rankings
Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#190
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.9#179
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#250
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#134
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 2.7% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 14.2
.500 or above 38.5% 41.4% 16.1%
.500 or above in Conference 36.7% 38.5% 22.0%
Conference Champion 2.1% 2.3% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 14.4% 13.2% 23.9%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
First Round2.2% 2.4% 0.7%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Connecticut St. (Home) - 88.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 34 - 65 - 13
Quad 48 - 313 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 335   Central Connecticut St. W 72-59 89%    
  Nov 09, 2023 257   Fairfield W 69-62 75%    
  Nov 14, 2023 298   Wagner W 66-57 80%    
  Nov 18, 2023 47   Northwestern L 60-71 16%    
  Nov 26, 2023 68   Yale L 64-70 30%    
  Dec 02, 2023 46   @ Providence L 62-76 11%    
  Dec 06, 2023 185   Brown W 71-68 60%    
  Dec 10, 2023 80   @ College of Charleston L 69-80 18%    
  Dec 16, 2023 194   Delaware W 70-69 51%    
  Dec 21, 2023 288   New Hampshire W 69-60 78%    
  Dec 30, 2023 228   Northeastern W 70-64 68%    
  Jan 03, 2024 136   Saint Joseph's W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 09, 2024 149   @ Davidson L 64-69 33%    
  Jan 13, 2024 192   Massachusetts W 74-71 61%    
  Jan 17, 2024 78   @ St. Bonaventure L 61-72 19%    
  Jan 20, 2024 72   @ Dayton L 57-68 17%    
  Jan 24, 2024 162   Fordham W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 27, 2024 139   @ George Mason L 64-70 31%    
  Jan 31, 2024 199   La Salle W 71-68 61%    
  Feb 03, 2024 94   Duquesne L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 06, 2024 238   @ George Washington W 74-73 50%    
  Feb 11, 2024 192   @ Massachusetts L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 18, 2024 96   Loyola Chicago L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 21, 2024 129   Richmond L 66-67 49%    
  Feb 25, 2024 199   @ La Salle L 68-71 42%    
  Feb 28, 2024 82   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-73 20%    
  Mar 02, 2024 102   Saint Louis L 71-73 43%    
  Mar 06, 2024 139   George Mason W 67-66 50%    
  Mar 09, 2024 162   @ Fordham L 67-71 36%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.9 4th
5th 0.3 2.4 2.4 0.5 0.0 5.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 3.1 1.0 0.1 5.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.7 1.9 0.1 0.0 6.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.1 3.2 0.4 0.0 7.1 8th
9th 0.2 2.2 4.0 1.1 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 4.3 2.1 0.2 8.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 3.7 3.5 0.5 0.0 8.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.1 1.1 0.1 8.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 2.5 4.1 1.8 0.1 0.0 9.1 13th
14th 0.1 0.8 2.8 3.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 9.2 14th
15th 0.5 1.6 2.7 2.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.9 15th
Total 0.5 1.7 3.5 6.0 8.0 9.9 11.3 11.6 10.9 10.2 8.4 6.8 4.9 3.1 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 94.2% 0.3    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 65.2% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 34.3% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 11.8% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 90.5% 4.8% 85.7% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 90.0%
17-1 0.1% 59.1% 18.2% 40.9% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0%
16-2 0.3% 42.5% 16.0% 26.5% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 31.5%
15-3 0.9% 22.1% 13.0% 9.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 10.5%
14-4 1.8% 14.3% 11.0% 3.3% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.7%
13-5 3.1% 8.1% 7.4% 0.7% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.9 0.7%
12-6 4.9% 6.8% 6.7% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.6 0.1%
11-7 6.8% 4.1% 4.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.6
10-8 8.4% 3.0% 3.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.2
9-9 10.2% 2.0% 2.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 10.0
8-10 10.9% 1.9% 1.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.7
7-11 11.6% 1.0% 1.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.5
6-12 11.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.2
5-13 9.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.8
4-14 8.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.0
3-15 6.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.0
2-16 3.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.5
1-17 1.7% 1.7
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 2.5% 2.2% 0.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.4 97.5 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%