IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.9	#136
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.1	#74
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.2	#138

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.8	#146

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.9%	6.5%	2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	1.3%	1.5%	0.2%
Average Seed	11.9	11.8	13.2

.500 or above	64.1%	68.2%	36.8%
.500 or above in Conference	51.0%	53.6%	33.4%
Conference Champion	4.9%	5.3%	1.9%
Last Place in Conference	7.0%	6.0%	13.1%

First Four	0.8%	0.9%	0.4%
First Round	5.6%	6.1%	2.0%
Second Round	1.4%	1.6%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	0.5%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Home) - 87.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	1 - 4	2 - 7
Quad 3	5 - 4	6 - 12
Quad 4	10 - 2	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	293	Lafayette	W	72-60	87%
Nov 10, 2023	203	Penn	W	78-71	74%
Nov 14, 2023	350	Stonehill	W	81-63	94%
Nov 17, 2023	291	Texas A&M - Commerce	W	77-65	86%
Nov 20, 2023	13	@ Kentucky	L	65-81	7%
Nov 26, 2023	301	Sacred Heart	W	83-71	86%
Nov 29, 2023	20	@ Villanova	L	63-77	10%
Dec 06, 2023	261	American	W	72-62	82%
Dec 10, 2023	130	Princeton	W	75-72	59%
Dec 16, 2023	148	Iona	W	75-74	52%
Dec 21, 2023	80	@ College of Charleston	L	75-83	25%
Dec 29, 2023	295	Loyola Maryland	W	77-65	85%
Jan 03, 2024	190	@ Rhode Island	L	71-72	49%
Jan 10, 2024	102	@ Saint Louis	L	74-79	33%
Jan 13, 2024	96	Loyola Chicago	W	71-70	50%
Jan 15, 2024	199	La Salle	W	77-71	70%
Jan 20, 2024	94	Duquesne	L	74-75	49%
Jan 23, 2024	192	@ Massachusetts	W	78-77	50%
Jan 26, 2024	78	@ St. Bonaventure	L	66-74	26%
Jan 31, 2024	139	George Mason	W	72-69	60%
Feb 03, 2024	199	@ La Salle	W	74-73	52%
Feb 06, 2024	72	Dayton	L	66-68	42%
Feb 10, 2024	102	Saint Louis	W	77-76	53%
Feb 14, 2024	96	@ Loyola Chicago	L	68-74	31%
Feb 17, 2024	94	@ Duquesne	L	72-78	30%
Feb 21, 2024	238	George Washington	W	82-73	77%
Feb 25, 2024	82	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	68-75	27%
Mar 02, 2024	162	Fordham	W	75-71	64%
Mar 06, 2024	129	@ Richmond	L	69-72	39%
Mar 09, 2024	149	Davidson	W	72-68	62%
Projected Record						16 - 14	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.6	1.3	1.5	0.9	0.3	0.1		4.9	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	1.2	2.2	1.7	0.7	0.1	0.0			6.0	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.1	2.9	1.9	0.4	0.0					6.5	3rd
4th										0.0	0.8	3.2	2.5	0.5	0.0						7.1	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	2.9	3.2	0.7	0.0							7.2	5th
6th									0.1	1.9	4.0	1.3	0.1								7.3	6th
7th								0.0	1.0	4.2	2.3	0.2									7.7	7th
8th							0.0	0.4	3.4	3.6	0.5	0.0									7.9	8th
9th							0.2	2.1	4.1	1.2	0.0										7.6	9th
10th						0.0	1.1	4.1	2.1	0.1											7.4	10th
11th					0.0	0.7	3.2	3.1	0.4	0.0											7.4	11th
12th				0.0	0.4	2.3	3.4	0.9	0.0												7.1	12th
13th			0.0	0.4	1.8	2.9	1.4	0.1	0.0												6.6	13th
14th		0.0	0.5	1.4	2.3	1.2	0.1														5.6	14th
15th	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.3	0.7	0.1	0.0														3.8	15th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.6	3.1	5.2	7.1	9.4	10.7	11.2	11.4	10.6	9.0	7.5	5.3	3.4	2.2	1.0	0.3	0.1		Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	99.6%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	90.4%	0.9		0.7	0.2	0.0
15-3	67.7%	1.5		0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0
14-4	38.6%	1.3		0.5	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-5	12.0%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0								0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.9%	4.9		2.7	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		83.3%	28.3%	55.1%	4.2		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0							0.0		76.8%
17-1	0.3%		75.0%	24.3%	50.6%	8.1				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		66.9%
16-2	1.0%		58.8%	26.7%	32.1%	9.2		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.0					0.4		43.8%
15-3	2.2%		36.6%	18.7%	17.9%	10.5					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.1	0.0				1.4		22.0%
14-4	3.4%		21.1%	15.3%	5.8%	11.1							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0			2.7		6.9%
13-5	5.3%		11.8%	10.1%	1.7%	11.8										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		4.7		1.9%
12-6	7.5%		9.6%	9.2%	0.4%	12.3											0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		6.8		0.4%
11-7	9.0%		6.4%	6.4%	0.1%	12.7											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		8.5		0.1%
10-8	10.6%		4.9%	4.9%		13.4												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	10.1
9-9	11.4%		3.3%	3.3%		14.0													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	11.1
8-10	11.2%		2.8%	2.8%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	10.9
7-11	10.7%		1.5%	1.5%		15.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	10.5
6-12	9.4%		1.1%	1.1%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	9.3
5-13	7.1%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	7.1
4-14	5.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	5.2
3-15	3.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	3.1
2-16	1.6%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	1.6
1-17	0.5%																							0.5
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		5.9%	4.7%	1.2%	11.9		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	1.2	1.3	0.9	0.5	0.4	0.4	94.1		1.3%