IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Utah
Pac-12
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	+8.6	#62
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.0	#231
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.2	#82

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.4	#43

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.8%	0.9%	0.1%
Top 2 Seed	2.3%	2.6%	0.4%
Top 4 Seed	7.0%	7.9%	1.6%
Top 6 Seed	13.7%	15.2%	4.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	36.5%	39.5%	17.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	32.5%	35.4%	15.3%
Average Seed	7.4	7.4	8.5

.500 or above	63.6%	67.7%	37.9%
.500 or above in Conference	50.1%	52.7%	33.3%
Conference Champion	4.9%	5.4%	1.6%
Last Place in Conference	7.1%	6.1%	13.5%

First Four	4.8%	5.0%	3.5%
First Round	34.1%	36.9%	15.9%
Second Round	19.6%	21.5%	7.8%
Sweet Sixteen	8.1%	9.0%	2.4%
Elite Eight	3.4%	3.8%	1.0%
Final Four	1.4%	1.6%	0.4%
Championship Game	0.6%	0.6%	0.1%
National Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Washington (Home) - 86.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 5	1 - 5
Quad 1b	2 - 3	3 - 8
Quad 2	4 - 3	7 - 11
Quad 3	5 - 2	12 - 13
Quad 4	4 - 0	16 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	169	Eastern Washington	W	77-66	86%
Nov 10, 2023	202	UC Riverside	W	74-61	90%
Nov 16, 2023	64	Wake Forest	W	73-72	51%
Nov 27, 2023	26	@ St. Mary's	L	58-65	27%
Nov 30, 2023	142	Hawaii	W	69-59	81%
Dec 05, 2023	226	Southern Utah	W	82-67	91%
Dec 09, 2023	50	BYU	W	72-70	57%
Dec 16, 2023	164	Utah Valley	W	76-65	84%
Dec 20, 2023	215	Bellarmine	W	71-57	88%
Dec 29, 2023	86	Washington St.	W	68-62	69%
Dec 31, 2023	74	Washington	W	72-68	65%
Jan 04, 2024	65	@ Arizona St.	L	67-70	42%
Jan 06, 2024	11	@ Arizona	L	71-81	21%
Jan 11, 2024	19	UCLA	L	65-67	45%
Jan 14, 2024	49	@ Stanford	L	66-70	37%
Jan 18, 2024	118	Oregon St.	W	68-59	77%
Jan 21, 2024	35	Oregon	W	69-68	51%
Jan 24, 2024	86	@ Washington St.	L	64-65	49%
Jan 27, 2024	74	@ Washington	L	69-71	45%
Feb 03, 2024	33	Colorado	L	69-70	50%
Feb 08, 2024	11	Arizona	L	74-78	38%
Feb 10, 2024	65	Arizona St.	W	70-67	61%
Feb 15, 2024	18	@ USC	L	66-74	25%
Feb 18, 2024	19	@ UCLA	L	62-70	27%
Feb 24, 2024	33	@ Colorado	L	67-73	31%
Feb 29, 2024	49	Stanford	W	69-67	56%
Mar 02, 2024	105	California	W	67-59	74%
Mar 07, 2024	118	@ Oregon St.	W	65-62	59%
Mar 09, 2024	35	@ Oregon	L	65-71	32%
Projected Record						16 - 13	10 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Pac-12 Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	1.3	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.0		4.9	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	1.0	2.2	1.9	1.0	0.3	0.0				6.7	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	1.6	2.9	2.3	0.8	0.1	0.0					8.0	3rd
4th										0.0	0.3	2.1	3.7	2.2	0.5	0.0							8.9	4th
5th									0.0	0.3	2.3	4.1	2.5	0.5	0.0								9.8	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	2.4	4.7	2.7	0.5	0.0									10.8	6th
7th							0.0	0.4	2.1	4.3	3.0	0.5	0.0										10.4	7th
8th						0.0	0.4	2.4	4.3	2.9	0.5	0.0											10.5	8th
9th					0.1	0.6	2.1	4.1	2.6	0.6	0.0												10.1	9th
10th			0.0	0.1	0.8	2.3	3.2	1.9	0.4	0.0													8.6	10th
11th		0.0	0.2	1.0	2.0	2.4	1.2	0.3	0.0	0.0													7.1	11th
12th	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.2	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0															4.2	12th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.3	3.8	5.8	7.0	9.1	9.8	10.6	10.9	9.8	8.5	6.7	5.6	3.8	2.4	1.4	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	96.2%	0.6		0.5	0.1
17-3	78.1%	1.1		0.9	0.2	0.0
16-4	55.8%	1.3		0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0
15-5	26.8%	1.0		0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0
14-6	8.6%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-7	1.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	4.9%	4.9		2.9	1.5	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	32.1%	67.9%	1.2		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
19-1	0.2%		100.0%	24.7%	75.3%	1.6		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0															100.0%
18-2	0.6%		100.0%	31.1%	68.9%	2.1		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0														100.0%
17-3	1.4%		100.0%	24.1%	75.9%	2.5		0.3	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0										0.0		100.0%
16-4	2.4%		99.8%	18.1%	81.7%	3.7		0.1	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0								0.0		99.8%
15-5	3.8%		98.7%	14.1%	84.6%	4.7		0.0	0.2	0.6	0.9	0.8	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		98.5%
14-6	5.6%		96.2%	13.2%	82.9%	6.2		0.0	0.0	0.3	0.6	1.1	1.1	0.9	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0					0.2		95.6%
13-7	6.7%		88.9%	10.3%	78.7%	7.5			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.0	1.3	1.1	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.0					0.7		87.7%
12-8	8.5%		75.5%	9.4%	66.1%	8.6					0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8	1.2	1.6	1.3	0.8	0.1					2.1		73.0%
11-9	9.8%		52.4%	6.1%	46.3%	9.5						0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.1	1.5	1.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0		4.7		49.3%
10-10	10.9%		29.7%	4.5%	25.2%	10.2							0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	1.0	1.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0		7.7		26.4%
9-11	10.6%		11.2%	3.5%	7.7%	11.2								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	9.4		8.0%
8-12	9.8%		3.2%	2.6%	0.6%	13.2											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	9.5		0.6%
7-13	9.1%		2.4%	2.3%	0.1%	14.9												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	8.9		0.1%
6-14	7.0%		1.7%	1.7%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	6.9
5-15	5.8%		0.7%	0.7%		15.9																0.0	0.0	5.7
4-16	3.8%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																0.0	0.0	3.8
3-17	2.3%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	2.3
2-18	1.1%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	1.1
1-19	0.4%																							0.4
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		36.5%	5.9%	30.6%	7.4		0.8	1.5	2.2	2.6	3.1	3.6	3.7	4.0	4.7	4.8	4.1	0.8	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	63.5		32.5%