Preseason Rankings
Washington St.
Pac-12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.0#86
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.4#323
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#115
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#67
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.1% 2.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 4.7% 4.7% 0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.0% 19.3% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.3% 16.5% 3.4%
Average Seed 8.3 8.3 9.9
.500 or above 56.3% 56.9% 20.5%
.500 or above in Conference 30.9% 31.3% 11.0%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.2% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 16.6% 16.4% 29.9%
First Four3.4% 3.4% 1.2%
First Round17.2% 17.4% 3.5%
Second Round8.7% 8.8% 1.8%
Sweet Sixteen3.0% 3.1% 0.5%
Elite Eight1.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Idaho (Home) - 98.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 8
Quad 23 - 45 - 12
Quad 34 - 29 - 14
Quad 46 - 115 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 354   Idaho W 77-55 98%    
  Nov 10, 2023 326   Prairie View W 75-56 96%    
  Nov 18, 2023 37   Mississippi St. L 59-64 32%    
  Nov 24, 2023 210   Utah Tech W 56-45 85%    
  Nov 27, 2023 169   Eastern Washington W 74-65 78%    
  Dec 02, 2023 211   Portland St. W 78-67 84%    
  Dec 06, 2023 202   UC Riverside W 71-60 82%    
  Dec 10, 2023 253   Grambling St. W 70-56 89%    
  Dec 16, 2023 144   Santa Clara W 73-69 65%    
  Dec 22, 2023 54   Boise St. L 64-67 39%    
  Dec 29, 2023 62   @ Utah L 62-68 31%    
  Dec 31, 2023 33   @ Colorado L 63-72 23%    
  Jan 04, 2024 118   Oregon St. W 65-59 70%    
  Jan 06, 2024 35   Oregon L 66-68 42%    
  Jan 10, 2024 18   @ USC L 62-73 18%    
  Jan 13, 2024 11   Arizona L 71-77 30%    
  Jan 18, 2024 49   @ Stanford L 63-70 28%    
  Jan 20, 2024 105   @ California L 61-62 47%    
  Jan 24, 2024 62   Utah W 65-64 51%    
  Jan 27, 2024 33   Colorado L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 03, 2024 74   @ Washington L 66-70 36%    
  Feb 08, 2024 118   @ Oregon St. W 63-62 51%    
  Feb 10, 2024 35   @ Oregon L 63-71 25%    
  Feb 15, 2024 105   California W 64-59 66%    
  Feb 17, 2024 49   Stanford L 66-67 48%    
  Feb 22, 2024 11   @ Arizona L 68-80 16%    
  Feb 24, 2024 65   @ Arizona St. L 64-69 34%    
  Feb 29, 2024 18   USC L 65-70 35%    
  Mar 02, 2024 19   UCLA L 62-66 37%    
  Mar 07, 2024 74   Washington W 69-67 56%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.2 2.4 0.4 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 3.0 5.0 2.9 0.5 0.0 12.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.8 4.8 2.5 0.5 0.0 13.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.7 3.7 1.7 0.4 0.0 12.2 11th
12th 0.4 1.5 2.6 3.2 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 10.9 12th
Total 0.4 1.6 3.1 5.6 7.3 9.2 10.1 11.0 10.8 9.8 8.6 6.8 5.5 4.0 2.7 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 96.3% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 85.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
16-4 64.0% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 33.3% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 11.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 47.2% 52.8% 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.2% 100.0% 19.0% 81.0% 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.5% 100.0% 17.0% 83.0% 2.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.9% 99.9% 16.6% 83.3% 4.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
15-5 1.7% 98.8% 12.0% 86.8% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.7%
14-6 2.7% 93.7% 10.7% 83.0% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 93.0%
13-7 4.0% 82.4% 9.3% 73.1% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.7 80.6%
12-8 5.5% 68.1% 6.6% 61.5% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.0 1.7 65.9%
11-9 6.8% 41.1% 5.0% 36.1% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.0 38.0%
10-10 8.6% 21.9% 4.5% 17.5% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 18.3%
9-11 9.8% 6.8% 2.9% 3.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1 4.1%
8-12 10.8% 2.8% 2.3% 0.5% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.5 0.6%
7-13 11.0% 1.6% 1.5% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.9 0.0%
6-14 10.1% 1.4% 1.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.0
5-15 9.2% 0.8% 0.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.2
4-16 7.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0 7.3
3-17 5.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.5
2-18 3.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.1
1-19 1.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.6
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 19.0% 3.3% 15.7% 8.3 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.4 2.7 3.3 2.9 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 81.0 16.3%