IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Western Michigan
Mid-American
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.9	#319
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.1	#264
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.6	#288

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.2	#327

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.5%	0.9%	0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	15.0	15.5

.500 or above	11.7%	20.9%	6.8%
.500 or above in Conference	19.9%	27.8%	15.7%
Conference Champion	0.6%	1.0%	0.3%
Last Place in Conference	26.0%	18.6%	30.0%

First Four	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
First Round	0.4%	0.7%	0.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota St. (Home) - 34.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 11
Quad 4	7 - 8	9 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	201	North Dakota St.	L	69-73	35%
Nov 11, 2023	206	Georgia St.	L	67-71	36%
Nov 14, 2023	47	@ Northwestern	L	55-77	2%
Nov 19, 2023	38	@ Ohio St.	L	58-81	2%
Nov 24, 2023	268	SE Louisiana	L	72-75	39%
Dec 01, 2023	276	St. Thomas	W	71-70	51%
Dec 05, 2023	133	@ Notre Dame	L	61-75	11%
Dec 09, 2023	212	Youngstown St.	L	72-76	38%
Dec 16, 2023	244	@ Illinois-Chicago	L	68-75	26%
Dec 21, 2023	187	@ Cleveland St.	L	63-74	17%
Jan 02, 2024	260	@ Miami (OH)	L	67-74	28%
Jan 06, 2024	216	@ Buffalo	L	71-80	22%
Jan 09, 2024	240	Northern Illinois	L	71-73	44%
Jan 13, 2024	127	Ohio	L	69-77	24%
Jan 16, 2024	114	@ Akron	L	61-76	10%
Jan 20, 2024	235	@ Bowling Green	L	71-79	25%
Jan 23, 2024	315	Eastern Michigan	W	75-72	59%
Jan 27, 2024	323	Central Michigan	W	71-68	61%
Jan 30, 2024	132	@ Toledo	L	69-83	12%
Feb 03, 2024	234	Ball St.	L	70-72	43%
Feb 06, 2024	107	@ Kent St.	L	62-78	9%
Feb 17, 2024	323	@ Central Michigan	L	68-71	42%
Feb 20, 2024	260	Miami (OH)	L	70-71	47%
Feb 24, 2024	216	Buffalo	L	74-77	40%
Feb 27, 2024	315	@ Eastern Michigan	L	72-75	39%
Mar 02, 2024	234	@ Ball St.	L	67-75	25%
Mar 05, 2024	235	Bowling Green	L	74-76	44%
Mar 08, 2024	114	Akron	L	64-73	22%
Projected Record						9 - 19	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.6	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0				1.5	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	0.8	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0					2.5	3rd
4th										0.3	1.4	1.6	0.6	0.1	0.0						4.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	1.7	2.2	0.9	0.1								5.2	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	2.0	3.1	1.2	0.1									6.7	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	2.3	4.0	1.7	0.1										8.4	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	2.5	5.0	2.4	0.3	0.0										10.4	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	2.8	5.6	3.0	0.5	0.0											12.2	9th
10th			0.0	0.5	3.3	5.9	3.8	0.7	0.0												14.1	10th
11th		0.1	1.4	4.7	6.2	3.7	0.6	0.0													16.7	11th
12th	1.2	3.6	5.6	4.8	2.1	0.4	0.0														17.8	12th

Total	1.2	3.7	7.1	10.0	11.9	13.0	12.8	11.2	9.2	7.1	5.2	3.5	2.1	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	78.7%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	70.0%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	31.7%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	8.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.6%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0					0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.6%	0.6		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.0%		62.1%	62.1%		12.5													0.0	0.0				0.0
16-2	0.1%		20.7%	20.7%		13.5														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
15-3	0.2%		13.1%	13.1%		13.7														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.2
14-4	0.6%		8.3%	8.3%		13.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.6
13-5	1.1%		4.1%	4.1%		14.6														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.1
12-6	2.1%		5.0%	5.0%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.0
11-7	3.5%		1.2%	1.2%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.0	3.4
10-8	5.2%		1.4%	1.4%		15.9																0.0	0.1	5.1
9-9	7.1%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	7.0
8-10	9.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	9.2
7-11	11.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
6-12	12.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.7
5-13	13.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.0
4-14	11.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.9
3-15	10.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.0
2-16	7.1%																							7.1
1-17	3.7%																							3.7
0-18	1.2%																							1.2

Total	100%		0.5%	0.5%	0.0%	15.2													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3	99.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.4%