Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
108 High Point 41.7%   14   13 - 4 3 - 1 22 - 7 12 - 4 +3.7      +6.8 37 -3.1 267 67.5 218 +3.5 116 +2.6 3
177 UNC Asheville 15.4%   7 - 6 2 - 1 15 - 11 10 - 6 -0.8      +4.1 71 -4.8 318 69.2 168 0.0 170 +3.1 1
189 Winthrop 13.4%   9 - 7 2 - 2 16 - 12 9 - 7 -1.2      +1.0 150 -2.2 238 78.5 13 -1.3 189 -4.7 6
194 Radford 12.0%   10 - 6 2 - 1 18 - 11 10 - 6 -1.5      +1.0 149 -2.6 255 61.1 347 +4.4 105 +2.7 2
202 Longwood 10.1%   10 - 6 2 - 2 17 - 11 9 - 7 -2.1      -1.2 213 -0.9 203 70.2 143 +0.3 165 -3.8 5
256 Gardner-Webb 3.2%   7 - 10 2 - 2 12 - 17 7 - 9 -5.3      -2.8 242 -2.5 250 72.5 84 -3.6 225 -3.2 4
275 Presbyterian 2.1%   5 - 11 1 - 3 10 - 18 6 - 10 -6.3      -2.3 230 -4.0 291 63.4 314 -7.3 288 -10.8 9
293 Charleston Southern 1.9%   3 - 13 1 - 2 8 - 21 6 - 10 -7.3      -3.3 260 -4.0 292 69.9 150 -9.1 311 -6.3 7
340 South Carolina Upstate 0.2%   2 - 13 1 - 2 5 - 23 4 - 12 -11.3      -6.2 329 -5.0 324 77.8 17 -11.8 331 -8.3 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.5 68.9 19.1 7.0 3.2 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.0
UNC Asheville 2.8 23.2 29.0 19.1 12.7 8.4 4.7 2.0 0.7 0.2
Winthrop 3.8 9.5 16.5 21.0 20.2 16.0 9.3 4.8 2.1 0.6
Radford 3.3 15.5 24.1 21.9 15.1 11.6 6.5 3.4 1.5 0.3
Longwood 4.1 6.8 13.2 19.0 20.1 18.5 13.0 6.4 2.3 0.6
Gardner-Webb 5.3 1.7 5.7 9.7 14.7 19.7 22.7 15.6 7.9 2.2
Presbyterian 6.8 0.2 1.2 2.6 5.2 10.0 16.5 25.0 26.4 12.8
Charleston Southern 6.6 0.4 1.8 4.0 6.7 11.2 18.3 23.3 21.4 12.8
South Carolina Upstate 8.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 3.1 6.4 12.9 25.5 49.9




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 12 - 4 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.4 4.3 9.6 16.1 23.3 24.3 15.5 4.9
UNC Asheville 10 - 6 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.6 5.6 10.8 14.7 19.3 18.8 15.3 8.1 3.2 0.7
Winthrop 9 - 7 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.9 6.0 12.8 17.4 20.5 18.4 12.6 6.2 1.9 0.5
Radford 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 4.4 7.8 13.1 19.0 18.2 16.9 10.8 5.5 1.7 0.4
Longwood 9 - 7 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.3 8.4 15.0 19.4 20.4 16.3 10.2 4.3 1.1 0.2
Gardner-Webb 7 - 9 0.2 1.1 4.5 11.0 17.6 21.1 19.4 13.3 7.5 3.2 0.9 0.2
Presbyterian 6 - 10 0.6 3.3 9.4 16.7 20.4 20.9 14.9 8.5 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
Charleston Southern 6 - 10 0.5 3.1 8.2 14.6 18.3 20.1 16.7 9.8 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
South Carolina Upstate 4 - 12 6.1 16.1 23.0 22.6 15.5 9.8 4.1 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.1




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 68.9% 51.1 14.4 2.9 0.4 0.0 0.0
UNC Asheville 23.2% 11.6 9.0 2.1 0.4 0.0 0.0
Winthrop 9.5% 4.2 3.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
Radford 15.5% 7.9 5.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
Longwood 6.8% 2.6 2.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Gardner-Webb 1.7% 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0
Presbyterian 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Charleston Southern 0.4% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 41.7% 41.7% 0.0% 14   1.0 8.9 17.2 12.2 2.3 0.1 58.3 0.0%
UNC Asheville 15.4% 15.4% 0.0% 0.1 0.6 1.9 5.5 5.9 1.6 84.6 0.0%
Winthrop 13.4% 13.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.2 5.9 2.0 86.6 0.0%
Radford 12.0% 12.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.0 4.1 0.5 88.0 0.0%
Longwood 10.1% 10.1% 0.0% 0.1 0.7 2.9 4.9 1.5 89.9 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.1 96.9 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 2.0 97.9 0.0%
Charleston Southern 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0 1.8 98.1 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 41.7% 0.0% 41.7% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 15.4% 0.5% 15.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 13.4% 0.6% 13.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 12.0% 0.1% 12.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 10.1% 0.3% 9.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 3.2% 1.4% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.1% 1.8% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 1.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 97.0% 1.0 3.0 97.0
2nd Round 5.8% 0.1 94.2 5.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0