Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
86 High Point 50.1%   13   5 - 1 0 - 0 24 - 4 13 - 3 +6.4      +6.1 54 +0.3 157 72.3 114 +7.6 77 0.0 1
105 Winthrop 34.6%   3 - 4 0 - 0 19 - 9 12 - 4 +4.3      +3.1 93 +1.2 128 75.0 60 +0.2 167 0.0 1
218 UNC Asheville 5.1%   1 - 4 0 - 0 12 - 15 8 - 8 -3.6      -0.6 181 -2.9 271 69.1 206 -10.1 314 0.0 1
260 Longwood 3.0%   2 - 3 0 - 0 13 - 15 7 - 9 -5.3      -2.0 228 -3.3 285 73.0 103 -7.7 278 0.0 1
273 Radford 2.3%   1 - 6 0 - 0 11 - 17 7 - 9 -6.1      -2.4 236 -3.7 303 77.0 38 -13.4 340 0.0 1
275 Presbyterian 2.1%   2 - 5 0 - 0 12 - 16 7 - 9 -6.2      -4.4 287 -1.8 221 61.0 356 -4.6 237 0.0 1
282 Charleston Southern 1.8%   3 - 3 0 - 0 10 - 15 5 - 9 -6.5      -3.5 266 -3.1 274 72.1 119 -5.8 259 0.0 1
316 South Carolina Upstate 1.0%   2 - 4 0 - 0 10 - 18 6 - 10 -8.3      -4.8 301 -3.6 296 74.7 64 -8.5 292 0.0 1
356 Gardner-Webb 0.1%   0 - 6 0 - 0 4 - 22 3 - 11 -13.0      -7.5 351 -5.5 341 78.4 27 -9.7 309 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Nov 24 273 Radford 72 42 SMU 89   
Tue, Nov 25 43 Nebraska 80 105 Winthrop 73   
Tue, Nov 25 224 Tennessee St. 75 218 UNC Asheville 73   
Tue, Nov 25 350 NC Central 67 316 South Carolina Upstate 82   
Wed, Nov 26 356 Gardner-Webb 51 159 Navy 84   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Nov 28 260 Longwood 72 177 Siena 76 65%   
Fri, Nov 28 282 Charleston Southern 65 88 South Carolina 81 92%   
Fri, Nov 28 356 Gardner-Webb 68 250 SE Louisiana 76 78%   
Sat, Nov 29 260 Longwood 71 321 Maine 67 63%   
Sat, Nov 29 86 High Point 87 278 Western Carolina 71 92%   
Sat, Nov 29 43 Nebraska 90 316 South Carolina Upstate 67 97%   
Sat, Nov 29 347 South Carolina St. 68 105 Winthrop 87 95%   
Sat, Nov 29 356 Gardner-Webb 64 113 UNC Wilmington 84 95%   
Sun, Nov 30 283 American 79 260 Longwood 77 56%   
Sun, Nov 30 279 Appalachian St. 67 218 UNC Asheville 70 61%   
Sun, Nov 30 275 Presbyterian 71 358 The Citadel 63 77%   
Tue, Dec 2 282 Charleston Southern 70 263 Tennessee Martin 74 65%   
Tue, Dec 2 232 LIU Brooklyn 75 105 Winthrop 81 70%   
Tue, Dec 2 218 UNC Asheville 76 287 UNC Greensboro 72 62%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.5 65.2 26.7 5.8 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Winthrop 1.8 41.8 41.5 11.1 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
UNC Asheville 4.1 4.4 11.6 27.6 20.0 14.3 10.2 6.7 3.7 1.4
Longwood 4.8 2.2 7.3 18.6 19.2 17.4 14.4 10.8 7.0 3.3
Radford 5.1 1.3 5.5 15.8 18.9 17.9 15.8 12.7 8.3 3.8
Presbyterian 5.1 1.3 5.1 15.9 18.4 17.7 16.2 13.0 8.2 4.1
Charleston Southern 6.3 0.1 1.3 6.5 10.9 14.3 17.3 20.4 21.3 8.0
South Carolina Upstate 6.0 0.5 2.2 8.7 13.0 15.4 17.2 18.0 16.1 9.0
Gardner-Webb 8.1 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.4 6.5 11.8 24.6 51.7




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 13 - 3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.0 7.6 13.0 20.3 23.3 19.6 9.3
Winthrop 12 - 4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.0 4.5 7.8 13.0 18.1 19.8 18.3 11.4 3.6
UNC Asheville 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.6 6.5 9.9 12.5 14.6 15.4 13.5 10.4 6.2 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
Longwood 7 - 9 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.6 6.9 10.0 13.7 15.0 14.1 12.7 9.9 6.1 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
Radford 7 - 9 0.1 0.6 2.0 4.6 8.0 11.5 14.8 15.5 14.5 11.9 8.1 4.6 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Presbyterian 7 - 9 0.1 0.7 2.0 4.4 8.2 11.8 15.1 15.9 14.0 11.6 7.8 4.6 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
Charleston Southern 5 - 11 0.6 2.6 6.4 11.4 15.1 16.8 15.6 13.3 8.9 5.6 2.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 6 - 10 0.4 2.1 5.2 9.2 13.6 15.5 15.5 13.8 10.6 7.1 4.0 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Gardner-Webb 3 - 13 7.1 16.9 21.8 21.0 14.8 9.3 5.5 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 65.2% 51.4 12.8 0.9 0.0 0.0
Winthrop 41.8% 28.7 12.2 0.9 0.0 0.0
UNC Asheville 4.4% 2.1 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0
Longwood 2.2% 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0
Radford 1.3% 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
Presbyterian 1.3% 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Charleston Southern 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 0.5% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Gardner-Webb


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 50.1% 50.0% 0.1% 13   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.7 5.6 18.5 16.3 6.6 1.1 0.1 49.9 0.1%
Winthrop 34.6% 34.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.3 7.4 13.3 9.1 2.9 0.6 65.4 0.0%
UNC Asheville 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.0 94.9 0.0%
Longwood 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.5 97.0 0.0%
Radford 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.8 97.7 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 97.9 0.0%
Charleston Southern 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 98.2 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 99.0 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 50.1% 0.1% 50.0% 9.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 34.6% 0.2% 34.6% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 5.1% 1.3% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 3.0% 0.9% 2.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 2.3% 1.3% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.1% 0.8% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 1.8% 0.6% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 1.0% 0.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.1
1st Round 97.2% 1.0 2.8 97.1 0.0
2nd Round 13.4% 0.1 86.6 13.4
Sweet Sixteen 2.9% 0.0 97.1 2.9
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0