Ivy League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
64 Yale 64.8%   12   13 - 6 7 - 0 19 - 7 13 - 1 +8.6      +6.1 47 +2.5 102 69.9 130 +4.6 103 +14.9 1
129 Cornell 16.7%   11 - 7 5 - 2 15 - 10 9 - 5 +1.8      +5.1 64 -3.3 271 75.9 28 +0.9 152 +3.4 2
135 Princeton 14.1%   14 - 6 5 - 2 18 - 9 9 - 5 +1.5      +0.4 160 +1.1 148 67.0 207 +4.2 110 +2.8 3
217 Brown 1.1%   9 - 10 2 - 5 12 - 14 5 - 9 -3.0      -1.3 211 -1.7 223 65.2 264 -3.2 220 -6.6 6
236 Columbia 0.1%   10 - 8 1 - 6 13 - 12 4 - 10 -4.3      +1.1 140 -5.4 326 74.1 44 -3.9 230 -13.4 8
243 Dartmouth 2.7%   8 - 10 4 - 3 11 - 14 7 - 7 -4.7      -3.5 269 -1.2 208 74.5 41 -4.4 236 +1.1 4
264 Harvard 0.4%   6 - 13 2 - 5 9 - 17 5 - 9 -5.7      -4.2 285 -1.5 215 66.6 224 -6.3 271 -5.7 5
277 Penn 0.1%   6 - 14 2 - 5 8 - 19 4 - 10 -6.4      -1.9 228 -4.4 311 66.0 235 -7.9 296 -7.4 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.0 98.5 1.4 0.2 0.0
Cornell 2.4 3.5 60.5 28.6 6.3 1.0 0.1 0.0
Princeton 2.6 2.2 47.7 40.0 8.8 1.1 0.2 0.0
Brown 5.2 1.2 5.9 22.6 35.2 20.4 10.3 4.5
Columbia 6.8 0.1 0.5 3.8 12.3 20.2 27.4 35.9
Dartmouth 3.9 0.2 9.6 21.5 45.7 16.4 5.1 1.4 0.1
Harvard 5.8 0.4 2.6 12.9 27.8 27.0 18.6 10.7
Penn 6.4 0.1 0.6 5.7 17.9 26.7 30.6 18.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 13 - 1 0.0 0.1 1.2 5.7 18.7 37.9 36.4
Cornell 9 - 5 0.2 1.6 6.8 17.5 27.9 28.3 14.9 2.9
Princeton 9 - 5 0.2 2.0 9.6 22.9 30.0 24.2 9.6 1.6
Brown 5 - 9 1.2 6.9 18.2 27.3 25.0 15.4 5.0 0.9
Columbia 4 - 10 4.5 17.1 28.7 27.4 15.6 5.6 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 7 - 7 2.7 12.8 22.8 26.7 21.3 10.3 3.2 0.3
Harvard 5 - 9 3.9 14.9 25.9 27.8 18.0 7.6 1.7 0.2
Penn 4 - 10 7.7 24.9 33.2 23.1 8.9 2.1 0.2 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 98.5% 94.5 3.8 0.2 0.0
Cornell 3.5% 0.9 2.4 0.2 0.0
Princeton 2.2% 0.6 1.4 0.2 0.0
Brown
Columbia
Dartmouth 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Harvard
Penn


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 64.8% 64.8% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.0 0.5 13.3 39.8 10.4 0.7 35.2 0.0%
Cornell 16.7% 16.7% 0.0% 0.1 2.4 5.7 6.1 2.4 0.1 83.3 0.0%
Princeton 14.1% 14.1% 0.0% 0.0 2.3 6.1 4.7 0.9 0.0 85.9 0.0%
Brown 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.2 99.0 0.0%
Columbia 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.0%
Dartmouth 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 97.3 0.0%
Harvard 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%
Penn 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 64.8% 0.0% 64.8% 14.8% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 16.7% 0.0% 16.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 14.1% 0.0% 14.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 1.1% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 2.7% 1.3% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 99.2% 1.0 0.9 99.2
2nd Round 17.2% 0.2 82.8 17.2
Sweet Sixteen 4.1% 0.0 95.9 4.1
Elite Eight 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0