Ivy League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
79 Yale 56.8%   12   9 - 1 0 - 0 21 - 5 11 - 3 +7.4      +8.7 23 -1.4 221 66.7 257 +11.7 53 0.0 1
137 Columbia 17.5%   8 - 2 0 - 0 18 - 8 9 - 5 +1.6      +0.9 140 +0.7 140 70.9 150 +5.4 97 0.0 1
164 Cornell 10.6%   4 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 12 8 - 6 -0.1      +4.2 77 -4.4 320 80.3 11 -1.8 196 0.0 1
200 Harvard 5.1%   4 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 15 7 - 7 -2.6      -1.7 214 -0.9 197 64.2 314 -5.3 246 0.0 1
218 Brown 4.0%   4 - 7 0 - 0 10 - 16 6 - 8 -3.4      -5.5 320 +2.1 105 65.4 289 -7.6 280 0.0 1
245 Dartmouth 2.8%   3 - 5 0 - 0 9 - 16 5 - 9 -4.8      -3.1 252 -1.7 231 75.2 47 -7.2 272 0.0 1
256 Penn 1.9%   5 - 4 0 - 0 11 - 15 5 - 9 -5.2      -1.3 204 -3.9 302 72.8 89 -0.5 179 0.0 1
261 Princeton 1.5%   2 - 10 0 - 0 8 - 20 5 - 9 -5.4      -4.6 295 -0.9 198 67.0 250 -11.0 318 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Dec 13 288 Boston University 64 245 Dartmouth 77   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Tue, Dec 16 245 Dartmouth 73 289 Holy Cross 74 53%   
Fri, Dec 19 245 Dartmouth 78 257 Sacred Heart 80 60%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.4 75.3 16.1 5.3 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Columbia 2.8 19.5 32.6 20.2 12.5 7.4 4.3 2.4 1.0
Cornell 3.5 11.2 23.5 22.0 16.2 11.5 7.9 5.0 2.7
Harvard 4.5 4.5 12.9 17.1 17.8 16.1 13.5 10.9 7.2
Brown 4.8 3.2 9.9 14.5 16.7 16.8 15.5 13.3 10.1
Dartmouth 5.4 1.9 6.6 10.6 14.0 16.1 16.7 17.4 16.7
Penn 5.6 1.4 5.7 9.6 12.6 15.5 17.4 18.7 19.2
Princeton 5.7 1.2 5.0 8.6 12.5 15.4 18.1 19.7 19.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 4.1 8.1 13.7 19.9 22.9 19.5 9.2
Columbia 9 - 5 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.8 7.9 12.7 16.0 18.0 16.4 11.8 6.5 2.5 0.5
Cornell 8 - 6 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.1 4.7 8.4 12.5 15.8 17.0 15.5 11.7 6.9 3.4 0.9 0.1
Harvard 7 - 7 0.1 0.7 2.5 5.8 10.1 14.3 16.8 16.4 13.8 10.0 5.8 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0
Brown 6 - 8 0.2 1.2 3.7 7.8 12.2 15.9 17.3 15.6 11.9 7.6 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
Dartmouth 5 - 9 0.6 2.6 6.5 11.3 15.2 16.8 16.5 13.0 8.5 5.3 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
Penn 5 - 9 0.6 2.9 7.7 13.0 16.5 17.2 15.5 11.7 7.7 4.4 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0
Princeton 5 - 9 0.7 2.9 7.8 12.8 17.5 18.1 15.7 11.3 7.2 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 75.3% 62.3 11.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Columbia 19.5% 11.2 6.9 1.1 0.2 0.0
Cornell 11.2% 5.8 4.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Harvard 4.5% 2.0 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Brown 3.2% 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Dartmouth 1.9% 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Penn 1.4% 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Princeton 1.2% 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 56.8% 56.7% 0.2% 12   0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 12.9 30.6 10.5 1.2 0.0 43.2 0.4%
Columbia 17.5% 17.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.7 7.3 4.9 1.2 0.0 82.5 0.0%
Cornell 10.6% 10.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 3.5 3.3 0.6 89.4 0.0%
Harvard 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.2 1.2 94.9 0.0%
Brown 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 1.9 96.0 0.0%
Dartmouth 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.4 97.2 0.0%
Penn 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.3 98.1 0.0%
Princeton 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 98.5 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 56.8% 0.1% 56.8% 12.2% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 17.5% 0.0% 17.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 10.6% 0.2% 10.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 5.1% 0.6% 4.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 4.0% 1.2% 3.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 2.8% 0.8% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 1.9% 0.1% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 1.5% 1.2% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.8 0.2
1st Round 98.5% 1.0 1.5 98.3 0.1
2nd Round 14.4% 0.1 85.6 14.4
Sweet Sixteen 3.0% 0.0 97.0 3.0
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0