Brown
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#206
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#191
Pace64.3#291
Improvement-2.0#271

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#204
First Shot-2.5#242
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#90
Layup/Dunks-2.6#277
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#282
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#68
Freethrows-2.0#295
Improvement-1.0#251

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#218
First Shot+1.9#118
After Offensive Rebounds-3.3#353
Layups/Dunks-2.5#280
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#285
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#35
Freethrows+1.6#73
Improvement-1.0#238
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 5.7% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.8
.500 or above 64.8% 72.6% 42.0%
.500 or above in Conference 47.8% 55.7% 24.7%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.0% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 11.2% 7.0% 23.2%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round4.9% 5.6% 2.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Home) - 74.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 35 - 7
Quad 48 - 614 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 273   @ Siena L 71-72 OT 55%     0 - 1 -4.6 -3.7 -0.9
  Nov 10, 2024 201   Maine L 67-69 59%     0 - 2 -6.6 -3.8 -2.8
  Nov 15, 2024 352   New Hampshire W 76-58 89%     1 - 2 +2.4 +1.3 +1.8
  Nov 16, 2024 319   Holy Cross L 65-73 81%     1 - 3 -19.8 -12.4 -7.9
  Nov 17, 2024 298   Sacred Heart W 89-70 78%     2 - 3 +8.7 +14.8 -5.1
  Nov 23, 2024 345   @ Canisius W 83-76 75%     3 - 3 -2.3 +13.2 -14.6
  Nov 27, 2024 320   Stony Brook W 77-54 82%     4 - 3 +11.2 +2.4 +10.2
  Dec 03, 2024 213   @ Vermont W 60-53 42%     5 - 3 +6.8 +5.0 +3.4
  Dec 06, 2024 159   @ Bryant W 76-75 31%     6 - 3 +4.0 +3.7 +0.3
  Dec 10, 2024 120   Rhode Island W 84-80 2OT 41%     7 - 3 +4.0 -4.3 +7.6
  Dec 22, 2024 7   @ Kansas L 53-87 2%     7 - 4 -11.9 -7.2 -4.4
  Dec 31, 2024 16   @ Kentucky L 54-88 3%     7 - 5 -14.7 -11.6 -4.4
  Jan 11, 2025 89   @ Yale L 58-79 14%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -11.9 -7.2 -6.3
  Jan 18, 2025 237   Harvard L 67-80 67%     7 - 7 0 - 2 -19.9 -5.9 -14.4
  Jan 20, 2025 143   @ Cornell W 83-82 27%     8 - 7 1 - 2 +5.0 +9.5 -4.5
  Jan 25, 2025 274   Dartmouth W 75-68 74%    
  Jan 31, 2025 265   @ Penn W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 01, 2025 125   @ Princeton L 67-74 24%    
  Feb 08, 2025 203   @ Columbia L 73-76 38%    
  Feb 14, 2025 125   Princeton L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 15, 2025 265   Penn W 72-66 73%    
  Feb 21, 2025 203   Columbia W 75-73 60%    
  Feb 22, 2025 143   Cornell L 78-79 47%    
  Feb 28, 2025 237   @ Harvard L 68-69 47%    
  Mar 01, 2025 274   @ Dartmouth W 72-71 54%    
  Mar 08, 2025 89   Yale L 69-75 30%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 1.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 3.7 2.4 0.6 0.0 8.4 2nd
3rd 0.4 4.7 8.3 4.1 0.5 0.0 18.0 3rd
4th 0.5 7.3 11.7 4.9 0.4 0.0 24.9 4th
5th 0.4 5.6 11.0 3.0 0.2 20.1 5th
6th 0.1 3.2 8.1 2.1 0.1 13.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 4.8 1.8 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.2 1.3 2.7 1.2 0.1 5.3 8th
Total 0.2 1.4 4.3 9.5 16.1 20.9 19.5 14.9 8.4 3.6 1.2 0.2 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 80.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
11-3 49.1% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.0
10-4 19.0% 0.7    0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0
9-5 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 0.2% 15.0% 15.0% 13.0 0.0 0.2
11-3 1.2% 16.4% 16.4% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
10-4 3.6% 18.7% 18.7% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 2.9
9-5 8.4% 13.6% 13.6% 14.3 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 7.3
8-6 14.9% 9.9% 9.9% 14.8 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.1 13.4
7-7 19.5% 5.8% 5.8% 15.1 0.0 1.0 0.2 18.4
6-8 20.9% 1.4% 1.4% 15.4 0.2 0.1 20.6
5-9 16.1% 16.1
4-10 9.5% 9.5
3-11 4.3% 4.3
2-12 1.4% 1.4
1-13 0.2% 0.2
0-14
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.5 0.4 95.1 0.0%