Harvard
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#237
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#271
Pace67.3#218
Improvement+1.6#112

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#254
First Shot+1.0#146
After Offensive Rebound-4.1#352
Layup/Dunks-2.2#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#95
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#100
Freethrows-0.6#220
Improvement+1.9#80

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#210
First Shot-2.4#253
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#79
Layups/Dunks-5.4#346
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#47
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#166
Freethrows+0.6#136
Improvement-0.3#195
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 4.8% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 2.3% 9.3% 1.5%
.500 or above in Conference 21.8% 50.7% 18.6%
Conference Champion 0.5% 3.8% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 26.7% 10.4% 28.5%
First Four1.1% 1.6% 1.1%
First Round1.5% 4.3% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Away) - 9.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 53 - 10
Quad 47 - 79 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 217   Marist W 79-66 56%     1 - 0 +7.2 +12.0 -4.0
  Nov 08, 2024 292   @ Navy L 80-85 53%     1 - 1 -9.9 +0.5 -10.1
  Nov 10, 2024 235   @ American L 55-67 40%     1 - 2 -13.6 -13.2 -1.6
  Nov 13, 2024 198   @ Northeastern L 56-78 32%     1 - 3 -21.3 -16.3 -4.8
  Nov 17, 2024 96   @ Colorado L 66-88 13%     1 - 4 -14.0 -1.2 -13.1
  Nov 22, 2024 197   Colgate W 78-67 50%     2 - 4 +6.6 +7.0 +0.2
  Nov 27, 2024 168   Massachusetts L 54-62 45%     2 - 5 -10.9 -15.7 +4.3
  Nov 30, 2024 17   @ St. John's L 64-77 3%     2 - 6 +6.2 +3.8 +2.3
  Dec 04, 2024 319   @ Holy Cross L 67-68 59%     2 - 7 -7.5 -8.2 +0.6
  Dec 08, 2024 352   @ New Hampshire W 72-62 72%     3 - 7 -0.4 -2.0 +1.8
  Dec 21, 2024 152   Furman L 63-77 41%     3 - 8 -15.8 -3.9 -13.4
  Dec 29, 2024 252   @ Iona W 67-61 44%     4 - 8 +3.3 -0.5 +4.0
  Jan 11, 2025 125   Princeton L 64-68 35%     4 - 9 0 - 1 -4.3 -2.8 -2.0
  Jan 18, 2025 206   @ Brown W 80-67 33%     5 - 9 1 - 1 +13.3 +9.9 +3.9
  Jan 20, 2025 265   Penn L 67-82 66%     5 - 10 1 - 2 -23.4 -5.0 -19.8
  Jan 25, 2025 89   @ Yale L 66-79 10%    
  Jan 31, 2025 203   @ Columbia L 72-77 32%    
  Feb 01, 2025 143   @ Cornell L 75-83 21%    
  Feb 08, 2025 274   @ Dartmouth L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 14, 2025 143   Cornell L 78-81 41%    
  Feb 15, 2025 203   Columbia W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 21, 2025 125   @ Princeton L 67-76 18%    
  Feb 22, 2025 265   @ Penn L 69-70 45%    
  Feb 28, 2025 206   Brown W 69-68 53%    
  Mar 01, 2025 89   Yale L 69-77 24%    
  Mar 08, 2025 274   Dartmouth W 75-70 69%    
Projected Record 9 - 17 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.9 3.7 1.1 0.0 8.2 3rd
4th 0.5 5.8 6.8 1.5 0.1 14.7 4th
5th 0.4 7.7 10.0 2.3 0.1 20.6 5th
6th 0.5 6.4 11.2 2.4 0.1 20.5 6th
7th 0.4 5.8 9.4 2.7 0.1 18.4 7th
8th 1.0 4.9 6.6 2.1 0.0 14.6 8th
Total 1.0 5.3 12.9 18.3 22.1 18.7 12.1 6.2 2.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
11-3 73.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
10-4 33.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1
9-5 7.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 0.0% 0.0
11-3 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1
10-4 0.6% 15.0% 15.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.5
9-5 2.7% 12.7% 12.7% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 2.3
8-6 6.2% 9.0% 9.0% 15.7 0.2 0.4 5.6
7-7 12.1% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.6 11.5
6-8 18.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.3 18.4
5-9 22.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 22.1
4-10 18.3% 18.3
3-11 12.9% 12.9
2-12 5.3% 5.3
1-13 1.0% 1.0
0-14
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%