IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.8	#252
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.6	#163
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.2	#167

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.6	#314

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.8%	19.7%	9.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.3	14.2	14.9

.500 or above	57.7%	87.1%	57.1%
.500 or above in Conference	67.8%	89.3%	67.4%
Conference Champion	13.6%	29.6%	13.3%
Last Place in Conference	3.6%	1.5%	3.7%

First Four	2.1%	0.8%	2.1%
First Round	9.7%	21.2%	9.5%
Second Round	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: USC (Away) - 1.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 4	2 - 7
Quad 4	15 - 8	17 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2025	29	@ USC	L	64-86	2%
Nov 12, 2025	269	Utah Tech	W	74-73	54%
Nov 15, 2025	365	Mississippi Valley	W	78-58	96%
Nov 15, 2025	141	@ Hawaii	L	66-75	20%
Nov 21, 2025	36	@ Texas A&M	L	62-83	3%
Nov 26, 2025	335	Wagner	W	66-57	78%
Nov 29, 2025	353	@ Army	W	76-71	67%
Dec 05, 2025	320	Fairfield	W	75-68	74%
Dec 07, 2025	237	@ Marist	L	64-68	38%
Dec 13, 2025	163	@ Fordham	L	74-81	26%
Dec 18, 2025	142	Furman	L	71-74	39%
Dec 21, 2025	263	Presbyterian	W	72-68	61%
Dec 29, 2025	309	@ Rider	W	71-70	52%
Jan 02, 2026	221	Quinnipiac	W	78-76	56%
Jan 04, 2026	258	@ Merrimack	L	66-69	41%
Jan 09, 2026	352	Canisius	W	78-67	82%
Jan 11, 2026	333	Niagara	W	74-65	76%
Jan 14, 2026	320	@ Fairfield	W	72-71	54%
Jan 17, 2026	213	Siena	W	74-73	54%
Jan 19, 2026	221	@ Quinnipiac	L	75-79	35%
Jan 24, 2026	208	@ Iona	L	71-76	34%
Jan 30, 2026	309	Rider	W	74-67	70%
Feb 01, 2026	270	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	71-73	44%
Feb 05, 2026	295	St. Peter's	W	69-63	68%
Feb 07, 2026	251	Sacred Heart	W	80-77	60%
Feb 13, 2026	333	@ Niagara	W	71-68	57%
Feb 15, 2026	352	@ Canisius	W	75-70	66%
Feb 20, 2026	237	Marist	W	67-65	58%
Feb 27, 2026	295	@ St. Peter's	L	66-67	49%
Mar 01, 2026	208	Iona	W	74-73	53%
Projected Record						16 - 14	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	1.2	2.9	3.3	3.0	1.9	0.9	0.2		13.6	1st
2nd												0.0	0.4	2.0	4.0	3.5	1.7	0.5	0.1	0.0			12.1	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.4	2.1	4.3	3.3	1.0	0.2	0.0					11.3	3rd
4th											0.2	2.0	4.2	2.8	0.6	0.1							9.8	4th
5th										0.1	1.4	4.1	2.9	0.6	0.0								9.2	5th
6th									0.0	1.0	3.6	3.0	0.6	0.0									8.2	6th
7th								0.0	0.8	3.2	3.0	0.6	0.0										7.7	7th
8th							0.0	0.4	2.2	3.3	1.0	0.0											6.9	8th
9th						0.0	0.3	1.7	3.1	1.3	0.1												6.4	9th
10th					0.0	0.3	1.3	2.3	1.2	0.1													5.2	10th
11th				0.0	0.2	1.0	1.7	1.0	0.2	0.0													4.3	11th
12th		0.0	0.0	0.3	1.0	1.1	0.7	0.1	0.0														3.3	12th
13th	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0															2.0	13th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.9	1.8	2.6	4.1	5.6	7.5	9.0	9.3	10.1	10.2	9.9	9.1	7.4	5.2	3.4	2.0	0.9	0.2			Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
19-1	99.2%	0.9		0.9	0.0
18-2	96.4%	1.9		1.8	0.1
17-3	85.9%	3.0		2.4	0.5	0.0
16-4	64.7%	3.3		2.0	1.1	0.2	0.0
15-5	38.8%	2.9		1.2	1.3	0.3	0.0	0.0
14-6	13.5%	1.2		0.3	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.0%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	13.6%	13.6		8.8	3.6	1.0	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.2%		62.4%	62.4%		12.3												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.1
19-1	0.9%		48.0%	48.0%		13.0												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.5
18-2	2.0%		41.5%	41.5%		13.7													0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	1.1
17-3	3.4%		30.4%	30.4%		14.0													0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	2.4
16-4	5.2%		26.7%	26.7%		15.1													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.2	3.8
15-5	7.4%		19.5%	19.5%		16.1													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.4	6.0
14-6	9.1%		15.7%	15.7%		17.7														0.0	0.2	0.7	0.7	7.7
13-7	9.9%		12.4%	12.4%		18.3															0.1	0.5	0.9	8.7
12-8	10.2%		9.2%	9.2%		19.0															0.0	0.2	0.9	9.2
11-9	10.1%		4.7%	4.7%		19.0															0.0	0.1	0.5	9.6
10-10	9.3%		2.4%	2.4%		16.9																0.0	0.2	9.1
9-11	9.0%		1.5%	1.5%		19.3																	0.2	8.9
8-12	7.5%		1.0%	1.0%		17.4																	0.1	7.5
7-13	5.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.6
6-14	4.1%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	4.1
5-15	2.6%																							2.6
4-16	1.8%																							1.8
3-17	0.9%																							0.9
2-18	0.4%																							0.4
1-19	0.2%																							0.2
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		9.8%	9.8%	0.0%	16.3												0.0	0.4	1.1	2.1	3.1	4.1	90.2		0.0%