Preseason Rankings
Towson
Colonial Athletic
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#136
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace60.9#348
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#146
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#136
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.6% 19.1% 9.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.8 13.4
.500 or above 77.9% 81.8% 56.9%
.500 or above in Conference 85.1% 87.2% 73.8%
Conference Champion 25.2% 27.2% 14.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.6% 1.8%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round17.6% 19.2% 9.1%
Second Round2.1% 2.4% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Maryland (Neutral) - 84.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 11 - 4
Quad 34 - 45 - 8
Quad 412 - 317 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 316   Loyola Maryland W 70-60 84%    
  Nov 08, 2025 1   @ Houston L 47-73 1%    
  Nov 14, 2025 260   Norfolk St. W 71-61 82%    
  Nov 18, 2025 132   @ James Madison L 64-67 39%    
  Dec 03, 2025 165   Cornell W 76-71 68%    
  Dec 07, 2025 74   @ Central Florida L 67-76 21%    
  Dec 16, 2025 14   @ Kansas L 58-77 5%    
  Dec 22, 2025 251   Sacred Heart W 75-66 79%    
  Dec 29, 2025 226   @ William & Mary W 73-71 58%    
  Dec 31, 2025 235   @ Hampton W 66-63 60%    
  Jan 03, 2026 210   Monmouth W 71-63 74%    
  Jan 08, 2026 182   Hofstra W 64-58 71%    
  Jan 10, 2026 218   @ Northeastern W 68-66 57%    
  Jan 15, 2026 123   College of Charleston W 71-69 57%    
  Jan 17, 2026 225   Drexel W 65-57 75%    
  Jan 22, 2026 224   @ Elon W 66-64 57%    
  Jan 24, 2026 349   @ N.C. A&T W 74-63 82%    
  Jan 29, 2026 120   UNC Wilmington W 67-65 57%    
  Jan 31, 2026 235   Hampton W 69-60 76%    
  Feb 07, 2026 182   @ Hofstra W 61-60 52%    
  Feb 12, 2026 298   Stony Brook W 71-59 85%    
  Feb 14, 2026 210   @ Monmouth W 68-66 56%    
  Feb 21, 2026 225   @ Drexel W 62-60 57%    
  Feb 26, 2026 224   Elon W 69-61 75%    
  Feb 28, 2026 200   Campbell W 68-61 72%    
  Mar 03, 2026 298   @ Stony Brook W 68-62 70%    
Projected Record 16 - 10 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.5 6.5 6.4 4.1 1.6 25.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.6 5.7 2.8 0.7 0.1 18.1 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.7 5.4 3.6 1.2 0.1 13.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.5 3.4 0.7 0.0 10.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 3.8 2.7 0.6 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.7 2.6 0.7 6.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.3 0.6 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.9 2.1 0.9 0.1 4.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 1.5 0.9 0.1 3.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.1 2.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.2 1.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.6 3.8 5.5 7.2 9.2 11.0 12.5 11.7 11.3 9.4 7.1 4.2 1.6 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.6    1.6
17-1 98.7% 4.1    3.8 0.3
16-2 90.4% 6.4    5.1 1.2 0.0
15-3 68.7% 6.5    4.0 2.2 0.2
14-4 39.4% 4.5    1.8 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.8% 1.7    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 25.2% 25.2 16.8 6.4 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.6% 61.9% 59.8% 2.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.3%
17-1 4.2% 46.4% 45.9% 0.5% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.2 0.9%
16-2 7.1% 39.5% 39.5% 12.1 0.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 4.3
15-3 9.4% 30.7% 30.6% 0.1% 12.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 6.5 0.1%
14-4 11.3% 26.9% 26.9% 13.0 0.0 0.8 1.5 0.6 0.1 8.3
13-5 11.7% 19.3% 19.3% 13.4 0.4 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 9.5
12-6 12.5% 13.3% 13.3% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 10.8
11-7 11.0% 9.3% 9.3% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 9.9
10-8 9.2% 5.3% 5.3% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.7
9-9 7.2% 3.7% 3.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 6.9
8-10 5.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.4
7-11 3.8% 0.9% 0.9% 19.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
6-12 2.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 2.5
5-13 1.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.6
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 17.6% 17.5% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.0 5.2 5.3 3.2 1.4 0.4 82.4 0.1%