IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.5	#161
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.8	#11
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.4	#175

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.1	#169

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.1%	6.6%	2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.7	12.6	13.7

.500 or above	49.7%	53.1%	25.9%
.500 or above in Conference	48.5%	50.9%	32.1%
Conference Champion	6.0%	6.5%	2.6%
Last Place in Conference	11.0%	9.8%	18.9%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.3%
First Round	6.1%	6.5%	2.8%
Second Round	0.7%	0.8%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee Tech (Home) - 87.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 3	5 - 7	6 - 12
Quad 4	8 - 3	14 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	324	Tennessee Tech	W	82-70	87%
Nov 10, 2025	181	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	76-78	42%
Nov 16, 2025	268	Tennessee St.	W	83-75	78%
Nov 26, 2025	41	Vanderbilt	L	73-86	12%
Dec 06, 2025	231	Evansville	W	76-70	71%
Dec 10, 2025	185	@ Marshall	L	76-78	44%
Dec 19, 2025	150	Tulsa	W	76-74	57%
Dec 29, 2025	154	@ Jacksonville St.	L	69-73	38%
Jan 02, 2026	199	Sam Houston St.	W	79-74	66%
Jan 04, 2026	144	Louisiana Tech	W	72-70	56%
Jan 08, 2026	139	@ New Mexico St.	L	68-73	34%
Jan 10, 2026	160	@ UTEP	L	74-77	39%
Jan 14, 2026	114	Missouri St.	L	69-70	47%
Jan 17, 2026	146	Kennesaw St.	W	81-79	55%
Jan 21, 2026	100	Liberty	L	71-74	42%
Jan 24, 2026	199	@ Sam Houston St.	L	76-77	46%
Jan 28, 2026	146	@ Kennesaw St.	L	78-82	35%
Jan 31, 2026	151	@ Middle Tennessee	L	74-78	36%
Feb 05, 2026	154	Jacksonville St.	W	72-70	58%
Feb 07, 2026	209	Florida International	W	78-73	66%
Feb 14, 2026	151	Middle Tennessee	W	77-75	57%
Feb 18, 2026	236	@ Delaware	W	81-80	52%
Feb 21, 2026	100	@ Liberty	L	68-77	23%
Feb 26, 2026	139	New Mexico St.	W	71-70	53%
Feb 28, 2026	160	UTEP	W	77-74	59%
Mar 05, 2026	114	@ Missouri St.	L	66-73	28%
Mar 07, 2026	209	@ Florida International	L	75-76	48%
Projected Record						13 - 14	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.6	1.3	1.7	1.3	0.7	0.2	0.0		6.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	1.3	2.4	2.0	0.9	0.3	0.0				7.2	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.5	2.3	3.1	1.9	0.6	0.0	0.0					8.4	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	2.4	3.3	1.7	0.4	0.0							8.2	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	2.3	4.0	2.0	0.2	0.0								8.9	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	2.2	4.3	2.2	0.4										9.4	6th
7th							0.0	0.3	1.9	4.0	2.4	0.4	0.0										9.1	7th
8th						0.0	0.2	1.9	3.8	2.6	0.4	0.0											8.9	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	1.7	3.7	2.9	0.5	0.0												9.3	9th
10th				0.1	0.5	1.9	3.4	2.5	0.7	0.0													9.1	10th
11th		0.0	0.2	0.9	2.2	2.7	1.9	0.5	0.0														8.3	11th
12th	0.1	0.6	1.5	1.9	1.8	0.9	0.3	0.0															7.2	12th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.7	2.8	4.5	5.8	7.5	9.0	9.6	9.8	9.9	9.5	8.4	6.5	5.3	3.9	2.6	1.6	0.7	0.2	0.0			Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2
18-2	97.9%	0.7		0.6	0.1
17-3	82.6%	1.3		1.1	0.2	0.0
16-4	64.6%	1.7		1.1	0.5	0.1
15-5	33.2%	1.3		0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0
14-6	11.6%	0.6		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-7	1.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0		0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0				0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	6.0%	6.0		3.8	1.6	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		83.5%	50.6%	32.9%	7.3						0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0						0.0		66.7%
19-1	0.2%		55.8%	55.8%		10.4								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0					0.1
18-2	0.7%		45.7%	42.6%	3.1%	11.0								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.4		5.4%
17-3	1.6%		33.2%	31.9%	1.3%	11.6										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1				1.1		1.9%
16-4	2.6%		21.7%	21.7%		11.9												0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0			2.0
15-5	3.9%		23.1%	23.1%		12.3												0.1	0.5	0.3	0.1			3.0
14-6	5.3%		17.9%	17.9%		12.6												0.0	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0		4.3
13-7	6.5%		14.1%	14.1%		13.0												0.0	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0		5.6
12-8	8.4%		8.9%	8.9%		13.3													0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1		7.6
11-9	9.5%		4.4%	4.4%		13.9												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	9.0
10-10	9.9%		2.4%	2.4%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	9.6
9-11	9.8%		1.7%	1.7%		14.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	9.6
8-12	9.6%		1.3%	1.3%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	9.4
7-13	9.0%		0.5%	0.5%		15.2															0.0	0.0	0.0	9.0
6-14	7.5%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	7.5
5-15	5.8%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	5.8
4-16	4.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
3-17	2.8%																							2.8
2-18	1.7%																							1.7
1-19	0.6%																							0.6
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		6.1%	6.1%	0.1%	12.7						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.8	2.1	1.6	1.0	0.4	0.2	93.9		0.1%