IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Central Connecticut St.
Northeast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.1	#305
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.9	#271
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.2	#354

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.9	#196

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	18.6%	27.7%	18.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	19.4	15.6	15.8

.500 or above	58.4%	78.4%	52.3%
.500 or above in Conference	84.2%	86.9%	83.3%
Conference Champion	40.6%	52.4%	37.0%
Last Place in Conference	1.2%	0.8%	1.4%

First Four	15.4%	16.9%	14.9%
First Round	14.7%	21.5%	12.6%
Second Round	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 23.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 2	1 - 5
Quad 4	14 - 9	15 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2025	221	@ Quinnipiac	L	66-74	23%
Nov 11, 2025	96	@ Boston College	L	58-75	6%
Nov 16, 2025	170	@ Massachusetts	L	64-74	18%
Nov 21, 2025	82	@ Rutgers	L	58-76	6%
Nov 24, 2025	251	Sacred Heart	L	70-71	48%
Dec 03, 2025	102	@ Seton Hall	L	53-69	8%
Dec 07, 2025	218	@ Northeastern	L	62-70	24%
Dec 13, 2025	334	@ Binghamton	L	63-64	48%
Dec 18, 2025	320	Fairfield	W	66-62	63%
Jan 02, 2026	297	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	59-63	38%
Jan 04, 2026	363	New Haven	W	72-59	87%
Jan 08, 2026	339	Stonehill	W	66-60	70%
Jan 10, 2026	344	@ Le Moyne	W	70-69	52%
Jan 17, 2026	345	@ St. Francis (PA)	W	66-65	52%
Jan 19, 2026	362	@ Mercyhurst	W	65-59	70%
Jan 23, 2026	350	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	71-64	73%
Jan 25, 2026	339	@ Stonehill	W	63-62	51%
Jan 29, 2026	335	@ Wagner	L	55-56	48%
Jan 31, 2026	297	LIU Brooklyn	W	62-60	58%
Feb 05, 2026	351	Chicago St.	W	71-63	73%
Feb 07, 2026	335	Wagner	W	59-53	67%
Feb 12, 2026	363	@ New Haven	W	69-62	72%
Feb 14, 2026	350	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	W	68-67	55%
Feb 19, 2026	344	Le Moyne	W	73-66	71%
Feb 21, 2026	351	@ Chicago St.	W	68-66	55%
Feb 26, 2026	362	Mercyhurst	W	68-56	84%
Feb 28, 2026	345	St. Francis (PA)	W	69-62	70%
Projected Record						14 - 13	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.4	2.2	4.5	7.5	8.6	7.4	6.0		36.6	1st
2nd									0.0	0.5	2.9	5.7	5.5	3.8	1.8	0.4	0.1		20.7	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.4	2.7	5.0	3.3	1.5	0.4	0.0				13.4	3rd
4th								0.3	2.2	3.7	1.9	0.4	0.1						8.6	4th
5th						0.0	0.2	1.4	2.6	1.2	0.2	0.0							5.7	5th
6th						0.1	0.9	2.1	1.0	0.1									4.1	6th
7th					0.1	0.5	1.4	0.7	0.1										2.8	7th
8th			0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	0.7	0.0											1.8	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0											1.5	9th
10th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0													0.7	10th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.0	2.0	3.3	4.6	6.3	8.2	10.4	11.6	11.6	11.6	10.5	7.8	6.1			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	99.1%	6.0		5.8	0.2
15-1	94.6%	7.4		6.6	0.7	0.0
14-2	82.2%	8.6		6.9	1.6	0.1
13-3	64.3%	7.5		5.1	2.2	0.2	0.0
12-4	39.2%	4.5		2.4	1.8	0.3	0.0
11-5	18.8%	2.2		0.6	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0
10-6	3.4%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0						0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	36.6%	36.6		27.5	7.6	1.2	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	6.1%		48.3%	48.3%		18.4													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.9	2.3	3.1
15-1	7.8%		38.3%	38.3%		17.9															0.0	0.7	2.7	4.8
14-2	10.5%		32.6%	32.6%		17.3															0.0	0.4	3.3	7.1
13-3	11.6%		25.3%	25.3%		17.2															0.0	0.1	3.1	8.7
12-4	11.6%		20.9%	20.9%		16.8															0.0	0.0	2.5	9.2
11-5	11.6%		15.5%	15.5%		16.5																0.0	1.8	9.8
10-6	10.4%		9.5%	9.5%		16.4																	1.0	9.4
9-7	8.2%		7.4%	7.4%		16.2																	0.6	7.6
8-8	6.3%		4.6%	4.6%		16.0																	0.3	6.0
7-9	4.6%		3.1%	3.1%		16.0																	0.1	4.5
6-10	3.3%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.1	3.3
5-11	2.0%																							2.0
4-12	1.0%																							1.0
3-13	0.6%																							0.6
2-14	0.2%																							0.2
1-15	0.1%																							0.1
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		18.6%	18.6%	0.0%	17.3													0.0	0.0	0.3	2.0	17.9	81.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%