IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Rutgers
Big Ten
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+6.6	#82
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.6	#107
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.9	#97

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.6	#78

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.6%	0.6%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	2.1%	2.2%	0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid	12.4%	12.8%	3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	12.2%	12.7%	3.3%
Average Seed	8.5	8.5	9.6

.500 or above	35.5%	36.6%	12.1%
.500 or above in Conference	13.9%	14.3%	4.8%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	21.3%	20.6%	35.5%

First Four	3.0%	3.1%	1.1%
First Round	10.8%	11.2%	2.9%
Second Round	5.5%	5.7%	1.1%
Sweet Sixteen	1.4%	1.5%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Home) - 95.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 8	1 - 8
Quad 1b	1 - 4	2 - 12
Quad 2	3 - 4	5 - 16
Quad 3	2 - 1	7 - 16
Quad 4	7 - 0	14 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2025	309	Rider	W	78-60	95%
Nov 10, 2025	285	Maine	W	76-59	94%
Nov 14, 2025	302	Lehigh	W	80-62	95%
Nov 18, 2025	303	American	W	76-58	94%
Nov 21, 2025	305	Central Connecticut St.	W	76-58	94%
Nov 24, 2025	16	Tennessee	L	61-72	16%
Nov 25, 2025	63	Notre Dame	L	67-70	40%
Dec 02, 2025	2	Purdue	L	65-79	11%
Dec 06, 2025	6	@ Michigan	L	67-83	8%
Dec 13, 2025	102	@ Seton Hall	L	66-67	45%
Dec 20, 2025	278	Penn	W	81-65	91%
Dec 29, 2025	341	Delaware St.	W	85-64	96%
Jan 02, 2026	27	Ohio St.	L	71-76	33%
Jan 05, 2026	28	Oregon	L	70-75	34%
Jan 08, 2026	15	@ Illinois	L	71-85	12%
Jan 11, 2026	72	Northwestern	W	70-68	56%
Jan 17, 2026	26	@ Wisconsin	L	67-79	16%
Jan 20, 2026	34	@ Iowa	L	72-82	20%
Jan 23, 2026	33	Indiana	L	71-75	37%
Jan 27, 2026	21	Michigan St.	L	68-74	30%
Jan 31, 2026	29	@ USC	L	68-79	19%
Feb 03, 2026	13	@ UCLA	L	62-76	11%
Feb 07, 2026	59	Nebraska	W	73-72	50%
Feb 15, 2026	40	Maryland	L	71-74	40%
Feb 18, 2026	90	@ Penn St.	L	73-75	43%
Feb 21, 2026	87	@ Minnesota	L	66-68	42%
Feb 24, 2026	48	Washington	L	73-75	45%
Mar 01, 2026	40	@ Maryland	L	68-77	23%
Mar 05, 2026	21	@ Michigan St.	L	65-77	15%
Mar 08, 2026	90	Penn St.	W	76-72	62%
Projected Record						14 - 16	6 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st																0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1	1st
2nd															0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.3	2nd
3rd													0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0						0.6	3rd
4th												0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0						1.0	4th
5th												0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0							1.2	5th
6th											0.1	0.7	0.8	0.2	0.0								1.8	6th
7th										0.0	0.5	1.0	0.5	0.0									2.1	7th
8th									0.0	0.4	1.6	1.0	0.2										3.1	8th
9th									0.2	1.4	2.1	0.5	0.0										4.2	9th
10th								0.1	0.9	2.2	1.0	0.1	0.0										4.3	10th
11th							0.0	0.6	3.0	2.4	0.3												6.4	11th
12th							0.3	2.5	3.5	0.9	0.0												7.1	12th
13th					0.0	0.3	2.1	4.1	1.8	0.2													8.5	13th
14th					0.2	1.6	4.3	3.0	0.5	0.0													9.5	14th
15th				0.1	1.6	4.3	4.0	0.8	0.0														10.8	15th
16th			0.1	1.7	4.6	4.2	1.3	0.1															12.1	16th
17th		0.3	2.0	4.5	4.4	1.6	0.3																13.1	17th
18th	1.2	3.5	4.3	3.4	1.2	0.2	0.0																13.8	18th

Total	1.2	3.8	6.5	9.8	11.9	12.1	12.4	11.2	9.8	7.4	5.6	3.5	2.2	1.3	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0					Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-3	42.4%	0.0		0.0
16-4	28.0%	0.0			0.0		0.0
15-5	11.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	0.0%
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2	0.0%								0.0
17-3	0.0%		100.0%	14.1%	85.9%	2.3		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0													100.0%
16-4	0.1%		100.0%	5.5%	94.5%	4.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
15-5	0.4%		100.0%	1.9%	98.1%	4.6			0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0												100.0%
14-6	0.8%		98.1%	3.7%	94.4%	5.7		0.0		0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0								0.0		98.0%
13-7	1.3%		97.8%	1.7%	96.2%	6.9				0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.0							0.0		97.8%
12-8	2.2%		90.4%	1.6%	88.9%	7.9				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.0						0.2		90.3%
11-9	3.5%		75.8%	0.2%	75.6%	8.8					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0					0.8		75.7%
10-10	5.6%		52.4%	0.5%	51.9%	9.5					0.0		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.1	0.6	0.0					2.7		52.1%
9-11	7.4%		21.9%	0.3%	21.6%	10.2							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.0					5.8		21.7%
8-12	9.8%		5.4%	0.1%	5.3%	10.6									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.0					9.3		5.3%
7-13	11.2%		0.9%		0.9%	11.4											0.0	0.0	0.0					11.1		0.9%
6-14	12.4%																							12.4
5-15	12.1%																							12.1
4-16	11.9%																							11.9
3-17	9.8%																							9.8
2-18	6.5%																							6.5
1-19	3.8%																							3.8
0-20	1.2%																							1.2

Total	100%		12.4%	0.2%	12.2%	8.5		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.3	1.8	2.4	2.7	2.0	0.1					87.6		12.2%