IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Charleston Southern
Big South
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.6	#313
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.4	#174
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.1	#317

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.5	#288

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.6%	3.5%	1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	14.5	15.1

.500 or above	13.6%	40.2%	12.6%
.500 or above in Conference	11.5%	26.3%	10.9%
Conference Champion	0.4%	0.9%	0.3%
Last Place in Conference	33.1%	17.3%	33.7%

First Four	0.5%	0.6%	0.5%
First Round	1.3%	2.9%	1.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Tech (Away) - 3.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 6	2 - 11
Quad 4	7 - 7	9 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	76	@ Virginia Tech	L	59-78	4%
Nov 10, 2025	342	@ The Citadel	L	67-68	49%
Nov 13, 2025	327	@ Alabama A&M	L	73-75	43%
Nov 14, 2025	326	Lindenwood	W	71-70	55%
Nov 18, 2025	359	IU Indianapolis	W	74-65	80%
Nov 21, 2025	158	@ East Carolina	L	63-74	15%
Nov 28, 2025	71	@ South Carolina	L	58-78	4%
Dec 02, 2025	325	@ Tennessee Martin	L	68-70	44%
Dec 18, 2025	330	North Florida	W	81-76	66%
Dec 21, 2025	142	@ Furman	L	63-76	13%
Dec 28, 2025	131	@ Richmond	L	59-73	12%
Jan 03, 2026	198	UNC Asheville	L	71-74	39%
Jan 07, 2026	164	@ Winthrop	L	71-82	17%
Jan 10, 2026	109	High Point	L	66-76	21%
Jan 14, 2026	332	South Carolina Upstate	W	79-74	65%
Jan 21, 2026	263	@ Presbyterian	L	64-70	30%
Jan 24, 2026	202	@ Longwood	L	68-77	22%
Jan 29, 2026	148	Radford	L	64-70	30%
Feb 04, 2026	109	@ High Point	L	63-79	9%
Feb 07, 2026	332	@ South Carolina Upstate	L	76-77	45%
Feb 12, 2026	263	Presbyterian	L	67-68	49%
Feb 14, 2026	148	@ Radford	L	61-73	16%
Feb 21, 2026	202	Longwood	L	71-74	40%
Feb 26, 2026	164	Winthrop	L	74-79	35%
Feb 28, 2026	198	@ UNC Asheville	L	68-77	23%
Projected Record						8 - 17	4 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1					0.4	1st
2nd									0.0	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.1						1.3	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.5	1.3	0.8	0.1	0.0						2.7	3rd
4th							0.2	1.5	2.4	1.6	0.2								5.9	4th
5th					0.0	0.3	2.2	3.9	2.2	0.3	0.0								9.0	5th
6th				0.1	1.1	4.1	5.9	2.6	0.4										14.2	6th
7th			0.4	2.7	6.7	7.1	2.7	0.3	0.0										19.9	7th
8th	0.1	1.3	5.3	9.0	6.9	2.4	0.2	0.0											25.3	8th
9th	2.9	6.6	6.9	3.7	1.2	0.1	0.0												21.4	9th

Total	3.0	7.9	12.6	15.5	16.0	14.0	11.2	8.3	5.5	3.4	1.5	0.7	0.2	0.1						Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
12-4	41.3%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
11-5	22.9%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1
10-6	1.9%	0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.4%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3	0.1%		41.4%	41.4%		12.8													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
12-4	0.2%		20.4%	20.4%		13.4													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.2
11-5	0.7%		18.7%	18.7%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.6
10-6	1.5%		12.0%	12.0%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.3
9-7	3.4%		7.0%	7.0%		14.9														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	3.2
8-8	5.5%		4.0%	4.0%		15.9															0.1	0.1	0.0	5.3
7-9	8.3%		2.9%	2.9%		16.4															0.0	0.1	0.1	8.1
6-10	11.2%		1.8%	1.8%		16.9																0.0	0.2	11.0
5-11	14.0%		1.3%	1.3%		16.5																0.0	0.2	13.9
4-12	16.0%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.1	15.9
3-13	15.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	15.5
2-14	12.6%																							12.6
1-15	7.9%																							7.9
0-16	3.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	3.0

Total	100%		1.6%	1.6%	0.0%	15.6													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.7	98.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%