IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Furman
Southern
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.3	#142
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.9	#269
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.9	#116

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.5	#185

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	21.0%	26.2%	17.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.4	12.8	13.5

.500 or above	81.1%	90.7%	74.7%
.500 or above in Conference	85.1%	90.2%	81.7%
Conference Champion	30.1%	37.7%	25.0%
Last Place in Conference	1.3%	0.7%	1.7%

First Four	0.7%	0.3%	0.9%
First Round	21.1%	26.4%	17.6%
Second Round	2.3%	3.5%	1.5%
Sweet Sixteen	0.5%	0.9%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Neutral) - 40.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	1 - 2	1 - 2
Quad 3	5 - 5	6 - 7
Quad 4	13 - 3	18 - 11

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	109	High Point	L	70-73	40%
Nov 07, 2025	130	Troy	W	69-67	58%
Nov 14, 2025	112	@ Northern Iowa	L	65-70	31%
Nov 23, 2025	242	Queens	W	78-69	79%
Nov 27, 2025	131	Richmond	L	66-67	48%
Dec 03, 2025	224	@ Elon	W	69-67	57%
Dec 06, 2025	178	Harvard	W	71-65	68%
Dec 18, 2025	252	@ Manhattan	W	74-71	61%
Dec 21, 2025	313	Charleston Southern	W	76-63	87%
Dec 31, 2025	246	Mercer	W	77-68	78%
Jan 03, 2026	262	Western Carolina	W	78-68	80%
Jan 07, 2026	134	@ Chattanooga	L	70-73	39%
Jan 10, 2026	293	VMI	W	77-65	84%
Jan 14, 2026	171	@ Samford	L	75-76	47%
Jan 17, 2026	205	Wofford	W	71-64	72%
Jan 21, 2026	342	@ The Citadel	W	72-62	79%
Jan 24, 2026	232	@ UNC Greensboro	W	67-65	57%
Jan 29, 2026	171	Samford	W	78-73	67%
Jan 31, 2026	134	Chattanooga	W	73-70	58%
Feb 04, 2026	156	@ East Tennessee St.	L	67-69	45%
Feb 07, 2026	232	UNC Greensboro	W	70-62	75%
Feb 11, 2026	246	@ Mercer	W	74-71	59%
Feb 14, 2026	293	@ VMI	W	74-68	68%
Feb 18, 2026	156	East Tennessee St.	W	70-66	64%
Feb 21, 2026	205	@ Wofford	W	68-67	53%
Feb 25, 2026	342	The Citadel	W	75-59	90%
Feb 28, 2026	262	@ Western Carolina	W	75-71	62%
Projected Record						17 - 10	12 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.2	1.1	4.0	6.4	7.5	6.1	3.7	1.1		30.1	1st
2nd										0.0	0.3	2.1	5.4	6.7	4.1	1.6	0.3				20.4	2nd
3rd										0.2	2.3	5.7	4.6	1.9	0.3	0.0					15.0	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	2.2	4.7	3.3	0.7	0.0							11.1	4th
5th							0.0	0.2	1.4	3.7	2.3	0.4	0.0								8.0	5th
6th							0.2	1.4	2.5	1.8	0.3	0.0									6.1	6th
7th					0.0	0.1	1.0	1.9	1.1	0.2											4.3	7th
8th				0.0	0.2	0.6	1.3	0.6	0.1	0.0											2.8	8th
9th			0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.3	0.0													1.6	9th
10th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1															0.6	10th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.4	2.8	4.1	5.3	8.0	9.9	11.6	11.9	12.7	10.8	9.0	6.4	3.7	1.1			Total

Southern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	1.1		1.1
17-1	100.0%	3.7		3.7	0.0
16-2	96.0%	6.1		5.6	0.5
15-3	82.5%	7.5		5.7	1.7	0.0
14-4	59.6%	6.4		3.9	2.3	0.3	0.0
13-5	31.5%	4.0		1.5	1.7	0.7	0.1	0.0
12-6	9.5%	1.1		0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0
11-7	1.4%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.1%	0.0						0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	30.1%	30.1		21.7	6.7	1.4	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	1.1%		67.6%	65.1%	2.6%	10.4							0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.4		7.3%
17-1	3.7%		58.0%	57.9%	0.0%	11.6										0.0	0.1	0.9	0.9	0.2	0.0			1.5		0.0%
16-2	6.4%		47.1%	47.1%		12.2											0.0	0.5	1.5	0.8	0.2	0.0		3.4
15-3	9.0%		38.3%	38.3%		12.7												0.2	1.3	1.4	0.5	0.1		5.6
14-4	10.8%		30.2%	30.2%		13.2												0.0	0.7	1.4	0.8	0.2	0.0	7.5
13-5	12.7%		23.0%	23.0%		13.7													0.3	1.0	1.1	0.5	0.0	9.8
12-6	11.9%		18.2%	18.2%		14.6													0.1	0.5	0.8	0.6	0.2	9.7
11-7	11.6%		12.7%	12.7%		15.3													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.2	10.1
10-8	9.9%		9.2%	9.2%		16.4														0.0	0.3	0.4	0.3	9.0
9-9	8.0%		7.0%	7.0%		17.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	7.4
8-10	5.3%		4.7%	4.7%		18.4																0.1	0.2	5.1
7-11	4.1%		3.1%	3.1%		16.7																0.0	0.1	3.9
6-12	2.8%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.0	2.7
5-13	1.4%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	1.4
4-14	0.9%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	0.8
3-15	0.4%																							0.4
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		21.0%	21.0%	0.0%	13.4							0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	1.9	5.0	5.7	4.3	2.7	1.4	79.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.1%	100.0%	7.4						50.3	7.1	14.2	14.2	7.1	7.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.0%	100.0%	11.0											100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	48.3%	10.0										48.3