Preseason Rankings
East Texas A&M
Southland
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.3#331
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.1#209
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#345
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#293
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 2.9% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.9 14.8 15.0
.500 or above 8.7% 29.6% 8.1%
.500 or above in Conference 16.0% 33.3% 15.5%
Conference Champion 0.6% 2.6% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 32.7% 16.7% 33.1%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round0.8% 2.9% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico (Away) - 2.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 71 - 12
Quad 48 - 109 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2025 81   @ New Mexico L 63-83 3%    
  Nov 10, 2025 141   @ Hawaii L 59-74 9%    
  Nov 14, 2025 172   @ Rice L 62-74 13%    
  Nov 24, 2025 350   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 70-71 48%    
  Nov 25, 2025 353   Army W 70-67 60%    
  Dec 05, 2025 4   @ Connecticut L 49-84 0.1%   
  Dec 07, 2025 354   Central Arkansas W 71-65 71%    
  Dec 12, 2025 93   @ McNeese St. L 57-76 5%    
  Dec 15, 2025 250   @ SE Louisiana L 64-72 23%    
  Dec 21, 2025 36   @ Texas A&M L 55-82 1%    
  Dec 29, 2025 220   Stephen F. Austin L 64-68 37%    
  Dec 31, 2025 211   Lamar L 63-67 36%    
  Jan 03, 2026 241   @ Nicholls St. L 64-73 23%    
  Jan 05, 2026 317   @ New Orleans L 70-74 35%    
  Jan 10, 2026 275   UT Rio Grande Valley L 72-73 46%    
  Jan 12, 2026 222   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 66-70 38%    
  Jan 17, 2026 288   @ Houston Christian L 63-69 30%    
  Jan 19, 2026 214   @ Incarnate Word L 62-72 20%    
  Jan 24, 2026 257   @ Northwestern St. L 61-69 25%    
  Jan 26, 2026 211   @ Lamar L 60-70 20%    
  Jan 31, 2026 241   Nicholls St. L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 02, 2026 317   New Orleans W 73-71 55%    
  Feb 07, 2026 257   Northwestern St. L 64-66 42%    
  Feb 09, 2026 220   @ Stephen F. Austin L 61-71 21%    
  Feb 14, 2026 93   McNeese St. L 60-73 15%    
  Feb 16, 2026 250   SE Louisiana L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 21, 2026 214   Incarnate Word L 65-69 37%    
  Feb 23, 2026 288   Houston Christian L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 28, 2026 275   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 69-76 29%    
  Mar 02, 2026 222   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 63-73 21%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 7 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.5 0.7 0.1 4.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.1 0.8 0.1 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.3 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.9 3.2 1.3 0.1 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.6 4.0 1.7 0.1 0.0 10.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.1 4.7 4.3 1.9 0.3 14.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.9 5.4 4.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 18.0 11th
12th 1.0 3.1 5.2 6.5 5.2 2.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 24.6 12th
Total 1.0 3.1 5.5 8.3 9.7 10.2 11.4 10.7 9.8 7.9 6.3 5.0 3.7 3.0 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 80.0% 0.1    0.1
18-4 44.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
17-5 34.5% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-6 14.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-7 7.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 1.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2 0.0% 0.0
19-3 0.1% 26.7% 26.7% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-4 0.3% 21.0% 21.0% 16.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-5 0.4% 18.0% 18.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
16-6 0.6% 17.4% 17.4% 16.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
15-7 1.1% 12.1% 12.1% 16.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0
14-8 1.8% 6.0% 6.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.7
13-9 3.0% 3.1% 3.1% 17.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.9
12-10 3.7% 1.5% 1.5% 19.7 0.0 0.1 3.7
11-11 5.0% 0.8% 0.8% 26.5 0.0 0.1 4.9
10-12 6.3% 0.8% 0.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 6.3
9-13 7.9% 7.9
8-14 9.8% 9.8
7-15 10.7% 10.7
6-16 11.4% 11.4
5-17 10.2% 10.2
4-18 9.7% 9.7
3-19 8.3% 8.3
2-20 5.5% 5.5
1-21 3.1% 3.1
0-22 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 16.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%