IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.0	#188
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.0	#233
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.4	#215

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.6	#188

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	16.3%	28.6%	15.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.8	13.1	14.3

.500 or above	66.5%	90.4%	65.2%
.500 or above in Conference	83.6%	93.4%	83.1%
Conference Champion	19.9%	36.9%	19.0%
Last Place in Conference	0.9%	0.3%	0.9%

First Four	1.4%	0.4%	1.5%
First Round	16.4%	28.7%	15.8%
Second Round	0.8%	3.5%	0.7%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Vanderbilt (Away) - 4.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 4	3 - 9
Quad 4	14 - 5	17 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2025	41	@ Vanderbilt	L	64-82	5%
Nov 09, 2025	246	@ Mercer	L	71-72	48%
Nov 11, 2025	198	@ UNC Asheville	L	70-73	40%
Nov 19, 2025	111	@ Belmont	L	70-79	21%
Nov 22, 2025	262	Western Carolina	W	75-69	72%
Nov 26, 2025	185	@ Marshall	L	69-72	38%
Nov 29, 2025	228	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	69-70	45%
Dec 03, 2025	324	Tennessee Tech	W	75-64	82%
Dec 07, 2025	327	Alabama A&M	W	78-67	83%
Dec 16, 2025	3	@ Duke	L	55-82	1%
Dec 29, 2025	45	@ Cincinnati	L	58-75	8%
Jan 01, 2026	245	Jacksonville	W	71-65	69%
Jan 03, 2026	330	North Florida	W	83-72	82%
Jan 08, 2026	348	@ Stetson	W	74-67	72%
Jan 10, 2026	175	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	65-69	37%
Jan 15, 2026	319	Bellarmine	W	76-66	80%
Jan 17, 2026	272	Austin Peay	W	71-64	71%
Jan 22, 2026	348	Stetson	W	77-64	86%
Jan 24, 2026	175	Florida Gulf Coast	W	68-66	57%
Jan 29, 2026	245	@ Jacksonville	L	67-68	48%
Jan 31, 2026	330	@ North Florida	W	80-75	67%
Feb 05, 2026	272	@ Austin Peay	W	68-67	54%
Feb 07, 2026	354	Central Arkansas	W	76-61	88%
Feb 11, 2026	181	Eastern Kentucky	W	72-70	58%
Feb 14, 2026	242	@ Queens	L	72-73	49%
Feb 19, 2026	319	@ Bellarmine	W	73-69	63%
Feb 21, 2026	191	North Alabama	W	71-68	60%
Feb 25, 2026	355	@ West Georgia	W	75-66	77%
Feb 28, 2026	181	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	69-73	38%
Projected Record						16 - 13	12 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	1.3	3.7	5.5	5.0	3.3	0.9		19.9	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	2.1	5.2	5.6	2.5	0.5	0.0			16.2	2nd
3rd											0.3	2.3	5.8	4.6	1.6	0.1					14.7	3rd
4th										0.2	2.1	5.1	4.0	0.9	0.1						12.3	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	1.8	4.5	3.1	0.8	0.0							10.3	5th
6th								0.2	1.3	3.8	2.9	0.5	0.0								8.7	6th
7th							0.1	0.9	2.5	2.4	0.4	0.0									6.4	7th
8th						0.1	0.7	1.9	1.6	0.4	0.0										4.7	8th
9th					0.0	0.5	1.2	1.3	0.3	0.0											3.4	9th
10th				0.0	0.3	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0												2.1	10th
11th			0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1														1.0	11th
12th		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0															0.4	12th

Total		0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.8	2.8	4.5	5.9	8.6	10.2	11.3	12.8	12.0	10.9	8.1	5.4	3.3	0.9			Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.9		0.9
17-1	99.8%	3.3		3.2	0.1
16-2	91.4%	5.0		4.0	0.9	0.0
15-3	67.5%	5.5		3.5	1.8	0.2
14-4	34.3%	3.7		1.5	1.5	0.7	0.0
13-5	10.6%	1.3		0.3	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.6%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	19.9%	19.9		13.3	4.9	1.3	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.9%		63.0%	63.0%	0.1%	12.0								0.0			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0		0.3		0.2%
17-1	3.3%		53.9%	53.9%		12.8												0.2	0.5	0.7	0.3	0.1		1.5
16-2	5.4%		43.7%	43.7%		13.5												0.1	0.4	0.9	0.8	0.2	0.0	3.1
15-3	8.1%		34.9%	34.9%		14.0												0.0	0.3	0.8	1.0	0.7	0.1	5.3
14-4	10.9%		25.7%	25.7%		14.8													0.1	0.6	1.1	0.9	0.3	8.1
13-5	12.0%		18.0%	18.0%		15.9													0.0	0.2	0.7	1.0	0.5	9.8
12-6	12.8%		14.1%	14.1%		16.6													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	0.7	11.0
11-7	11.3%		8.0%	8.0%		17.4														0.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	10.4
10-8	10.2%		5.7%	5.7%		17.1															0.0	0.2	0.4	9.6
9-9	8.6%		3.5%	3.5%		19.4															0.0	0.0	0.3	8.3
8-10	5.9%		1.3%	1.3%		17.3																0.0	0.1	5.8
7-11	4.5%		1.3%	1.3%		18.0																	0.1	4.5
6-12	2.8%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	2.8
5-13	1.8%																							1.8
4-14	0.7%																							0.7
3-15	0.4%																							0.4
2-16	0.2%																							0.2
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		16.3%	16.3%	0.0%	14.8								0.0			0.0	0.4	1.4	3.3	4.3	4.5	3.0	83.7		0.0%