Preseason Rankings
South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#312
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.8#75
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#322
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#278
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.4% 32.2% 16.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.3 15.2 15.8
.500 or above 28.1% 64.6% 28.0%
.500 or above in Conference 38.5% 57.0% 38.5%
Conference Champion 4.2% 10.6% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 10.0% 0.0% 10.0%
First Four11.3% 21.5% 11.3%
First Round11.6% 32.2% 11.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisville (Away) - 0.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 31 - 31 - 8
Quad 49 - 710 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 10   @ Louisville L 60-90 0.2%   
  Nov 10, 2025 349   @ N.C. A&T W 74-73 53%    
  Nov 14, 2025 123   @ College of Charleston L 68-82 10%    
  Nov 19, 2025 134   Chattanooga L 69-76 25%    
  Nov 23, 2025 294   @ South Dakota L 81-85 35%    
  Nov 25, 2025 37   @ Missouri L 63-88 1%    
  Nov 29, 2025 164   @ Winthrop L 73-84 17%    
  Dec 01, 2025 351   @ Chicago St. W 73-72 54%    
  Dec 05, 2025 249   @ Bethune-Cookman L 69-76 28%    
  Dec 12, 2025 242   @ Queens L 71-78 27%    
  Dec 16, 2025 332   South Carolina Upstate W 81-76 66%    
  Dec 22, 2025 71   @ South Carolina L 59-79 5%    
  Dec 30, 2025 16   @ Tennessee L 52-81 1%    
  Jan 03, 2026 328   Howard W 77-73 65%    
  Jan 10, 2026 358   @ Morgan St. W 77-74 60%    
  Jan 12, 2026 361   @ Coppin St. W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 17, 2026 260   Norfolk St. L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 31, 2026 329   NC Central W 74-69 65%    
  Feb 07, 2026 328   @ Howard L 74-76 45%    
  Feb 14, 2026 358   Morgan St. W 80-71 77%    
  Feb 16, 2026 361   Coppin St. W 74-64 80%    
  Feb 21, 2026 260   @ Norfolk St. L 67-73 30%    
  Mar 05, 2026 329   @ NC Central L 71-72 45%    
Projected Record 9 - 14 6 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.7 4.2 1st
2nd 0.0 1.4 5.3 4.3 0.5 11.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.2 7.6 5.8 0.8 0.0 16.6 3rd
4th 0.1 2.8 9.1 6.9 0.9 0.0 19.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.4 8.4 6.1 0.8 0.0 17.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 6.5 5.0 0.9 0.0 14.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.2 3.0 0.6 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.4 1.2 2.0 1.2 0.2 4.9 8th
Total 0.4 1.5 4.3 7.9 12.3 16.9 18.3 16.7 12.4 7.2 2.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 76.0% 1.7    1.0 0.5 0.1
9-5 29.1% 2.1    0.5 1.0 0.5 0.1
8-6 3.6% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
7-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
Total 4.2% 4.2 1.6 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 2.2% 55.7% 55.7% 16.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.0
9-5 7.2% 40.8% 40.8% 17.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.0 4.2
8-6 12.4% 28.0% 28.0% 18.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.2 9.0
7-7 16.7% 20.5% 20.5% 17.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.5 13.3
6-8 18.3% 13.3% 13.3% 16.8 0.0 0.1 2.5 15.9
5-9 16.9% 9.6% 9.6% 16.4 0.0 1.7 15.2
4-10 12.3% 7.1% 7.1% 16.1 0.0 0.9 11.4
3-11 7.9% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.3 7.6
2-12 4.3% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 4.2
1-13 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.5
0-14 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 16.4% 16.4% 0.0% 17.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 2.7 14.6 83.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%