IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Temple
American Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.8	#133
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.2	#93
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.5	#104

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.7	#191

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.1%	5.3%	2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Average Seed	11.6	11.5	12.9

.500 or above	60.9%	62.9%	30.4%
.500 or above in Conference	56.6%	58.0%	35.2%
Conference Champion	6.5%	6.9%	1.6%
Last Place in Conference	7.2%	6.6%	16.4%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	5.0%	5.2%	2.1%
Second Round	0.9%	1.0%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Delaware St. (Home) - 93.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 4	2 - 6
Quad 3	6 - 6	8 - 12
Quad 4	7 - 2	15 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2025	341	Delaware St.	W	85-69	94%
Nov 11, 2025	187	La Salle	W	79-72	74%
Nov 15, 2025	96	Boston College	L	73-74	48%
Nov 19, 2025	182	Hofstra	W	70-64	72%
Nov 24, 2025	119	UC San Diego	L	71-72	48%
Dec 01, 2025	39	@ Villanova	L	63-77	11%
Dec 14, 2025	345	St. Francis (PA)	W	82-65	93%
Dec 18, 2025	145	@ Davidson	L	72-74	43%
Dec 22, 2025	179	Princeton	W	76-70	70%
Dec 31, 2025	192	@ Charlotte	W	72-71	53%
Jan 03, 2026	168	Texas San Antonio	W	81-75	68%
Jan 07, 2026	158	East Carolina	W	75-70	66%
Jan 14, 2026	51	@ Memphis	L	72-84	16%
Jan 18, 2026	140	Florida Atlantic	W	79-76	62%
Jan 21, 2026	172	@ Rice	L	72-73	49%
Jan 24, 2026	168	@ Texas San Antonio	L	77-78	48%
Jan 28, 2026	192	Charlotte	W	75-68	72%
Jan 31, 2026	95	South Florida	L	75-76	47%
Feb 07, 2026	158	@ East Carolina	L	72-73	46%
Feb 11, 2026	115	@ Tulane	L	72-76	35%
Feb 15, 2026	88	North Texas	L	64-65	47%
Feb 18, 2026	103	UAB	L	77-78	50%
Feb 21, 2026	122	@ Wichita St.	L	74-78	38%
Feb 25, 2026	140	@ Florida Atlantic	L	76-79	42%
Mar 01, 2026	172	Rice	W	76-70	69%
Mar 04, 2026	115	Tulane	W	75-73	55%
Mar 08, 2026	150	@ Tulsa	L	72-74	45%
Projected Record						15 - 12	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.9	1.7	1.8	1.4	0.5	0.1		6.5	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	2.1	3.3	2.4	0.9	0.2	0.0			9.6	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.5	2.7	4.0	2.3	0.6	0.0					10.0	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	2.5	4.2	2.0	0.4	0.0						9.5	4th
5th									0.2	2.4	4.5	2.0	0.3	0.0							9.5	5th
6th								0.1	1.4	4.6	2.5	0.3									8.9	6th
7th							0.0	0.9	3.9	3.2	0.5	0.0									8.5	7th
8th							0.6	3.3	3.5	0.5	0.0										7.9	8th
9th					0.0	0.2	2.2	3.6	1.3	0.1											7.3	9th
10th				0.0	0.2	1.5	3.3	1.5	0.1												6.5	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	1.1	2.8	1.7	0.2													5.9	11th
12th		0.0	0.2	1.2	2.4	1.6	0.3	0.0													5.7	12th
13th	0.1	0.6	1.1	1.4	0.7	0.2	0.0														4.1	13th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.4	2.7	4.3	6.3	8.1	9.6	10.4	11.2	10.6	9.7	8.5	6.9	4.7	2.7	1.6	0.5	0.1			Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	94.5%	0.5		0.5	0.0
16-2	85.9%	1.4		1.1	0.3	0.0
15-3	64.9%	1.8		1.1	0.6	0.1
14-4	35.8%	1.7		0.7	0.7	0.2	0.0
13-5	12.9%	0.9		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.1%	0.2			0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.5%	6.5		3.7	2.0	0.7	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		46.2%	15.4%	30.8%	6.3				0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0							0.0		36.4%
17-1	0.5%		57.6%	39.8%	17.8%	9.1				0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.2		29.6%
16-2	1.6%		29.8%	23.3%	6.5%	10.6						0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1					1.2		8.4%
15-3	2.7%		26.7%	25.6%	1.0%	11.1									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.1	0.0				2.0		1.4%
14-4	4.7%		16.1%	15.9%	0.3%	11.4									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4	0.3	0.1				4.0		0.4%
13-5	6.9%		12.5%	12.5%		11.9											0.0	0.3	0.5	0.1	0.0			6.0
12-6	8.5%		8.1%	8.1%		11.9												0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		7.8
11-7	9.7%		5.6%	5.6%		12.2												0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0			9.2
10-8	10.6%		3.0%	3.0%		12.8												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		10.3
9-9	11.2%		1.1%	1.1%		13.1												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		11.0
8-10	10.4%		1.0%	1.0%		14.2												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.3
7-11	9.6%		0.6%	0.6%		14.6														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	9.5
6-12	8.1%		0.5%	0.5%		15.3																0.0	0.0	8.1
5-13	6.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.3
4-14	4.3%																							4.3
3-15	2.7%																							2.7
2-16	1.4%																							1.4
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		5.1%	4.8%	0.3%	11.6				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	1.8	1.7	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	94.9		0.3%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	4.5				50.0	50.0