Preseason Rankings
TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#222
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.4#173
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#266
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#177
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 16.0% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 12.9 14.0
.500 or above 43.6% 77.5% 42.1%
.500 or above in Conference 62.7% 83.8% 61.8%
Conference Champion 7.2% 17.9% 6.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 1.0% 5.0%
First Four0.4% 0.0% 0.4%
First Round6.9% 16.0% 6.5%
Second Round0.3% 1.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SMU (Away) - 4.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 43 - 10
Quad 411 - 513 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2025 46   @ SMU L 63-81 4%    
  Nov 08, 2025 273   @ Tarleton St. L 64-65 48%    
  Nov 11, 2025 14   @ Kansas L 58-82 2%    
  Nov 16, 2025 73   @ Oklahoma St. L 67-81 10%    
  Nov 28, 2025 50   @ Xavier L 63-80 6%    
  Dec 06, 2025 211   @ Lamar L 63-67 38%    
  Dec 17, 2025 220   @ Stephen F. Austin L 65-68 40%    
  Dec 29, 2025 241   Nicholls St. W 71-67 63%    
  Dec 31, 2025 317   New Orleans W 77-69 77%    
  Jan 03, 2026 275   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-74 49%    
  Jan 05, 2026 288   @ Houston Christian W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 10, 2026 257   @ Northwestern St. L 65-66 45%    
  Jan 12, 2026 331   @ East Texas A&M W 70-66 62%    
  Jan 17, 2026 250   SE Louisiana W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 19, 2026 93   McNeese St. L 64-70 30%    
  Jan 24, 2026 214   @ Incarnate Word L 66-69 39%    
  Jan 26, 2026 275   UT Rio Grande Valley W 76-70 68%    
  Jan 31, 2026 288   Houston Christian W 70-63 71%    
  Feb 02, 2026 214   Incarnate Word W 69-66 59%    
  Feb 07, 2026 241   @ Nicholls St. L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 09, 2026 317   @ New Orleans W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 14, 2026 211   Lamar W 66-64 58%    
  Feb 16, 2026 220   Stephen F. Austin W 68-65 59%    
  Feb 21, 2026 93   @ McNeese St. L 61-73 15%    
  Feb 23, 2026 250   @ SE Louisiana L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 28, 2026 257   Northwestern St. W 68-63 64%    
  Mar 02, 2026 331   East Texas A&M W 73-63 79%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 12 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.8 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 7.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.7 3.3 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.0 12.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.6 3.5 1.9 0.5 0.1 12.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.0 3.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.2 4.0 2.6 0.8 0.1 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.9 2.4 0.6 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.7 2.2 0.3 0.0 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.9 1.8 0.2 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.7 2.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.6 2.5 4.0 5.2 6.4 7.2 8.9 9.1 9.5 9.5 8.8 7.5 6.1 5.0 3.5 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
21-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
20-2 95.2% 1.0    0.9 0.1
19-3 77.0% 1.6    1.2 0.4 0.0
18-4 52.6% 1.8    1.1 0.7 0.0
17-5 26.3% 1.3    0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
16-6 11.9% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
15-7 2.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 7.2% 7.2 4.5 2.2 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0 0.1% 58.3% 58.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
21-1 0.4% 49.0% 49.0% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
20-2 1.0% 41.8% 41.8% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6
19-3 2.1% 33.3% 33.3% 12.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.4
18-4 3.5% 28.6% 28.6% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 2.5
17-5 5.0% 23.6% 23.6% 13.8 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.8
16-6 6.1% 14.8% 14.8% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 5.2
15-7 7.5% 11.4% 11.4% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 6.6
14-8 8.8% 7.1% 7.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 8.2
13-9 9.5% 5.7% 5.7% 16.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 8.9
12-10 9.5% 1.9% 1.9% 17.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.3
11-11 9.1% 1.5% 1.5% 19.3 0.0 0.1 9.0
10-12 8.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.9 0.1 8.8
9-13 7.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.2
8-14 6.4% 6.4
7-15 5.2% 5.2
6-16 4.0% 4.0
5-17 2.5% 2.5
4-18 1.6% 1.6
3-19 0.8% 0.8
2-20 0.5% 0.5
1-21 0.1% 0.1
0-22 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.7 2.2 1.6 0.8 93.0 0.0%