IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Oklahoma St.
Big 12
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.8	#73
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.1	#16
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.4	#64

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.4	#84

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	1.2%	1.3%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	3.6%	3.7%	0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid	18.8%	19.4%	2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	18.5%	19.1%	2.6%
Average Seed	8.3	8.3	9.4

.500 or above	56.8%	58.0%	20.6%
.500 or above in Conference	24.2%	24.7%	9.3%
Conference Champion	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	17.2%	16.6%	35.1%

First Four	3.9%	4.0%	1.1%
First Round	16.6%	17.1%	2.4%
Second Round	8.3%	8.5%	1.1%
Sweet Sixteen	2.3%	2.4%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.8%	0.8%	0.0%
Final Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Oral Roberts (Home) - 96.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 6	1 - 6
Quad 1b	2 - 4	2 - 10
Quad 2	4 - 4	6 - 14
Quad 3	3 - 1	10 - 15
Quad 4	7 - 0	17 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	318	Oral Roberts	W	87-67	97%
Nov 09, 2025	36	Texas A&M	L	73-76	40%
Nov 12, 2025	340	Prairie View	W	90-68	98%
Nov 16, 2025	222	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	81-67	90%
Nov 19, 2025	95	South Florida	W	80-75	68%
Nov 22, 2025	241	Nicholls St.	W	83-68	91%
Nov 27, 2025	72	Northwestern	L	72-73	50%
Dec 02, 2025	199	Sam Houston St.	W	83-70	87%
Dec 06, 2025	78	Grand Canyon	W	81-80	52%
Dec 13, 2025	47	Oklahoma	L	76-80	38%
Dec 18, 2025	300	UMKC	W	79-61	94%
Dec 21, 2025	336	Cal St. Fullerton	W	85-63	97%
Dec 29, 2025	249	Bethune-Cookman	W	85-69	91%
Jan 03, 2026	12	@ Texas Tech	L	69-82	13%
Jan 06, 2026	74	Central Florida	W	83-80	60%
Jan 10, 2026	20	@ Iowa St.	L	70-82	17%
Jan 13, 2026	24	Baylor	L	72-76	36%
Jan 17, 2026	57	Kansas St.	W	75-74	54%
Jan 20, 2026	56	@ TCU	L	71-76	34%
Jan 24, 2026	20	Iowa St.	L	73-79	32%
Jan 31, 2026	89	@ Utah	L	77-78	47%
Feb 04, 2026	9	BYU	L	75-83	26%
Feb 07, 2026	11	@ Arizona	L	74-87	14%
Feb 10, 2026	69	@ Arizona St.	L	76-79	38%
Feb 14, 2026	56	TCU	W	74-73	55%
Feb 18, 2026	14	Kansas	L	73-80	28%
Feb 21, 2026	84	@ Colorado	L	74-76	44%
Feb 24, 2026	58	West Virginia	W	72-71	54%
Feb 28, 2026	45	@ Cincinnati	L	68-75	28%
Mar 03, 2026	74	@ Central Florida	L	80-83	41%
Mar 07, 2026	1	Houston	L	61-75	13%
Projected Record						16 - 15	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			0.4	1st
2nd													0.0	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0				1.0	2nd
3rd												0.1	0.8	0.8	0.2	0.0					1.9	3rd
4th											0.1	0.9	1.1	0.4	0.0	0.0					2.5	4th
5th										0.1	1.0	1.7	0.6	0.1							3.5	5th
6th									0.0	0.8	2.1	1.2	0.1								4.2	6th
7th								0.0	0.5	2.5	2.0	0.3	0.0								5.3	7th
8th								0.1	2.2	3.1	0.7	0.0									6.3	8th
9th							0.1	1.5	3.8	1.6	0.1										7.1	9th
10th						0.0	1.0	3.7	2.5	0.3											7.5	10th
11th					0.0	0.4	3.9	4.1	0.7												9.1	11th
12th				0.0	0.2	2.7	4.7	1.7	0.1												9.4	12th
13th				0.2	2.0	5.0	2.7	0.2													10.0	13th
14th		0.0	0.1	1.7	4.7	3.2	0.6	0.0													10.3	14th
15th		0.3	2.2	4.4	3.6	0.7	0.0														11.3	15th
16th	0.9	2.6	3.8	2.3	0.5	0.0															10.1	16th

Total	0.9	2.9	6.1	8.5	11.0	12.1	13.0	11.4	9.8	8.5	6.0	4.2	2.7	1.6	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0				Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	72.4%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	42.7%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	15.1%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	0.9%	0.0			0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.4%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%		100.0%	50.0%	50.0%	3.0				0.0																100.0%
16-2	0.1%		100.0%	22.0%	78.0%	2.6		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
15-3	0.4%		100.0%	1.6%	98.4%	3.9		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0											100.0%
14-4	0.7%		100.0%	5.0%	95.0%	4.8			0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0										100.0%
13-5	1.6%		99.6%	5.8%	93.8%	6.1			0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0							0.0		99.5%
12-6	2.7%		92.6%	2.6%	90.0%	7.1			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.2							0.2		92.4%
11-7	4.2%		82.4%	1.7%	80.7%	8.1				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.8	0.8	0.6	0.1	0.0					0.7		82.1%
10-8	6.0%		66.1%	0.7%	65.4%	9.0				0.0		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.0	1.2	0.4	0.0					2.0		65.8%
9-9	8.5%		42.8%	0.2%	42.6%	9.6							0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.6	0.7	0.0					4.8		42.7%
8-10	9.8%		18.0%	0.1%	17.9%	10.2								0.0	0.1	0.2	0.8	0.7	0.0					8.0		17.9%
7-11	11.4%		5.4%	0.1%	5.2%	10.6								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.0					10.8		5.2%
6-12	13.0%		0.8%		0.8%	11.2											0.0	0.1	0.0					12.9		0.8%
5-13	12.1%																							12.1
4-14	11.0%																							11.0
3-15	8.5%																							8.5
2-16	6.1%																							6.1
1-17	2.9%																							2.9
0-18	0.9%																							0.9

Total	100%		18.8%	0.4%	18.5%	8.3		0.0	0.2	0.4	0.6	1.0	1.4	2.3	2.8	3.3	4.5	2.3	0.1					81.2		18.5%