Preseason Rankings
Winthrop
Big South
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#164
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace79.8#5
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#139
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#214
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.1% 17.5% 10.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.5 14.3
.500 or above 65.2% 74.4% 48.7%
.500 or above in Conference 77.1% 81.9% 68.6%
Conference Champion 17.6% 20.8% 11.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 1.5% 3.4%
First Four0.9% 0.6% 1.4%
First Round15.1% 17.6% 10.7%
Second Round1.2% 1.5% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Queens (Neutral) - 64.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 21 - 5
Quad 33 - 44 - 9
Quad 413 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 242   Queens W 83-79 64%    
  Nov 07, 2025 101   @ George Mason L 68-77 21%    
  Nov 11, 2025 274   @ Coastal Carolina W 75-72 59%    
  Nov 15, 2025 246   Mercer W 84-77 73%    
  Nov 18, 2025 17   @ Arkansas L 69-90 3%    
  Nov 23, 2025 238   @ Jackson St. W 79-78 53%    
  Nov 25, 2025 59   @ Nebraska L 72-85 13%    
  Nov 29, 2025 312   South Carolina St. W 84-73 83%    
  Dec 02, 2025 297   @ LIU Brooklyn W 74-70 63%    
  Dec 06, 2025 274   Coastal Carolina W 78-69 77%    
  Dec 18, 2025 315   @ North Dakota W 84-79 67%    
  Dec 28, 2025 12   @ Texas Tech L 67-88 3%    
  Dec 31, 2025 202   @ Longwood L 80-81 46%    
  Jan 03, 2026 307   Gardner-Webb W 85-74 82%    
  Jan 07, 2026 313   Charleston Southern W 82-71 83%    
  Jan 10, 2026 332   @ South Carolina Upstate W 88-81 72%    
  Jan 14, 2026 109   High Point L 78-80 44%    
  Jan 17, 2026 198   @ UNC Asheville L 80-81 46%    
  Jan 21, 2026 148   Radford W 74-72 56%    
  Jan 24, 2026 263   @ Presbyterian W 75-73 56%    
  Jan 31, 2026 198   UNC Asheville W 83-78 65%    
  Feb 04, 2026 148   @ Radford L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 07, 2026 202   Longwood W 83-78 65%    
  Feb 12, 2026 307   @ Gardner-Webb W 82-77 65%    
  Feb 19, 2026 332   South Carolina Upstate W 91-78 85%    
  Feb 21, 2026 109   @ High Point L 75-83 26%    
  Feb 26, 2026 313   @ Charleston Southern W 79-74 65%    
  Feb 28, 2026 263   Presbyterian W 78-70 74%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.4 5.2 4.5 2.5 0.7 17.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.0 6.6 6.2 3.0 0.6 20.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 4.2 7.0 4.8 1.3 0.1 18.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 5.0 6.0 3.0 0.5 16.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 4.3 4.0 1.6 0.2 12.0 5th
6th 0.2 1.3 3.4 2.6 0.8 0.1 8.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.3 0.2 4.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.0 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.3 3.8 6.5 8.6 10.8 12.4 13.4 12.9 11.0 8.4 5.1 2.5 0.7 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
15-1 100.0% 2.5    2.4 0.1
14-2 88.1% 4.5    3.5 1.0
13-3 62.6% 5.2    3.1 1.8 0.2 0.0
12-4 31.3% 3.4    1.2 1.6 0.6 0.0
11-5 8.3% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1
10-6 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 17.6% 17.6 11.2 5.0 1.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.7% 58.6% 58.6% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-1 2.5% 52.8% 52.8% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2
14-2 5.1% 35.7% 35.7% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.3
13-3 8.4% 32.1% 32.1% 13.2 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.7
12-4 11.0% 24.9% 24.9% 13.8 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.0 8.2
11-5 12.9% 18.0% 18.0% 14.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.2 10.6
10-6 13.4% 12.9% 12.9% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.3 11.7
9-7 12.4% 7.9% 7.9% 16.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 11.4
8-8 10.8% 5.0% 5.0% 16.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 10.2
7-9 8.6% 4.1% 4.1% 17.1 0.1 0.3 8.2
6-10 6.5% 2.2% 2.2% 16.7 0.0 0.1 6.4
5-11 3.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 3.8
4-12 2.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.3
3-13 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0
2-14 0.4% 0.4
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.1% 15.1% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.2 3.9 3.8 3.1 1.7 84.9 0.0%