Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#229
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#187
Pace79.4#13
Improvement-1.1#237

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#282
First Shot-4.2#290
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#160
Layup/Dunks+6.9#14
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#193
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.7#359
Freethrows-1.0#253
Improvement-1.7#269

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#152
First Shot+0.6#158
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#189
Layups/Dunks+4.3#39
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#57
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#220
Freethrows-4.5#359
Improvement+0.6#147
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 31 - 3
Quad 33 - 74 - 10
Quad 413 - 517 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 98   @ Stanford L 79-88 14%     0 - 1 -1.0 +0.7 -0.7
  Nov 09, 2023 320   @ Idaho W 76-73 62%     1 - 1 -3.7 -2.4 -1.4
  Nov 14, 2023 297   @ Chicago St. W 74-64 55%     2 - 1 +5.2 +2.8 +2.7
  Nov 21, 2023 308   Le Moyne L 70-80 76%     2 - 2 -20.9 -9.7 -10.8
  Nov 24, 2023 362   Mississippi Valley W 84-48 96%     3 - 2 +12.5 -0.8 +11.9
  Nov 29, 2023 353   @ Pacific W 80-69 80%     4 - 2 -1.4 -5.1 +2.9
  Dec 02, 2023 206   @ Northern Colorado L 71-75 36%     4 - 3 -3.8 -15.2 +12.0
  Dec 11, 2023 283   Utah Tech W 80-75 70%     5 - 3 -3.9 +2.5 -6.5
  Dec 19, 2023 93   @ UCLA W 76-72 13%     6 - 3 +12.8 +3.1 +9.3
  Dec 22, 2023 214   Montana St. W 82-70 58%     7 - 3 +6.6 +1.6 +4.2
  Dec 28, 2023 329   @ Cal Poly W 83-73 70%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +1.3 +2.0 -1.5
  Dec 30, 2023 160   @ Long Beach St. W 84-68 27%     9 - 3 2 - 0 +18.9 +0.7 +16.1
  Jan 06, 2024 159   Hawaii W 76-66 46%     10 - 3 3 - 0 +7.7 +1.4 +6.1
  Jan 11, 2024 165   @ UC Davis L 75-95 28%     10 - 4 3 - 1 -17.5 +2.2 -18.8
  Jan 13, 2024 225   Cal St. Fullerton W 76-71 59%     11 - 4 4 - 1 -0.9 -1.5 +0.4
  Jan 18, 2024 198   UC Santa Barbara L 69-97 55%     11 - 5 4 - 2 -32.7 -11.5 -19.7
  Jan 20, 2024 202   @ UC Riverside L 63-82 36%     11 - 6 4 - 3 -18.6 -7.7 -11.6
  Jan 25, 2024 227   Cal St. Bakersfield L 56-64 60%     11 - 7 4 - 4 -13.9 -18.4 +4.5
  Jan 27, 2024 77   @ UC Irvine L 72-77 11%     11 - 8 4 - 5 +4.7 +1.5 +3.5
  Feb 01, 2024 120   @ UC San Diego L 62-83 20%     11 - 9 4 - 6 -15.3 -10.5 -4.9
  Feb 03, 2024 202   UC Riverside W 76-70 56%     12 - 9 5 - 6 +1.2 -1.4 +2.4
  Feb 08, 2024 329   Cal Poly W 78-65 84%     13 - 9 6 - 6 -0.9 -7.8 +5.5
  Feb 10, 2024 198   @ UC Santa Barbara W 82-74 35%     14 - 9 7 - 6 +8.5 +9.4 -0.8
  Feb 15, 2024 227   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 76-71 40%     15 - 9 8 - 6 +4.3 +12.1 -7.3
  Feb 17, 2024 160   Long Beach St. L 73-87 46%     15 - 10 8 - 7 -16.3 -8.3 -6.9
  Feb 22, 2024 165   UC Davis L 65-66 47%     15 - 11 8 - 8 -3.7 -5.2 +1.4
  Feb 24, 2024 225   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 65-60 39%     16 - 11 9 - 8 +4.3 -2.9 +7.5
  Feb 29, 2024 77   UC Irvine L 64-89 23%     16 - 12 9 - 9 -20.5 -13.5 -3.9
  Mar 02, 2024 120   UC San Diego L 69-79 35%     16 - 13 9 - 10 -9.5 -8.2 -1.1
  Mar 06, 2024 159   @ Hawaii L 70-72 27%     16 - 14 9 - 11 +0.9 -5.1 +6.1
  Mar 13, 2024 198   UC Santa Barbara W 87-84 OT 45%     17 - 14 +0.9 +1.4 -0.9
  Mar 14, 2024 159   Hawaii L 68-75 36%     17 - 15 -6.7 -2.9 -3.9
Projected Record 17 - 15 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%