Pre-tourney Rankings
Colgate
Patriot League
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.3#146
Expected Predictive Rating+2.1#132
Pace66.0#255
Improvement+2.6#70

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#211
First Shot-1.2#210
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#176
Layup/Dunks-0.1#168
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#66
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#198
Freethrows-2.8#339
Improvement+0.6#150

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#107
First Shot+0.5#161
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#47
Layups/Dunks+1.0#142
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#271
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#281
Freethrows+2.6#31
Improvement+2.0#75
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round5.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 32 - 13 - 6
Quad 421 - 324 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 188   Brown W 72-70 69%     1 - 0 -1.8 -4.1 +2.2
  Nov 14, 2023 85   @ Syracuse L 75-79 22%     1 - 1 +5.3 +1.2 +4.3
  Nov 17, 2023 95   Yale L 50-68 33%     1 - 2 -12.0 -15.0 +1.2
  Nov 18, 2023 212   Gardner-Webb W 59-52 65%     2 - 2 +4.3 -8.6 +13.6
  Nov 19, 2023 162   Weber St. W 57-55 54%     3 - 2 +2.2 +0.0 +2.8
  Nov 22, 2023 235   Harvard L 70-76 77%     3 - 3 -12.3 +1.4 -14.2
  Nov 29, 2023 285   Binghamton W 84-49 83%     4 - 3 +25.9 +4.1 +21.0
  Dec 02, 2023 5   @ Arizona L 55-82 4%     4 - 4 -4.9 -11.7 +8.5
  Dec 09, 2023 109   @ Vermont W 77-71 31%     5 - 4 +12.6 +17.3 -4.1
  Dec 17, 2023 10   @ Illinois L 57-74 5%     5 - 5 +2.5 -9.0 +10.7
  Dec 21, 2023 239   @ Iona L 65-85 60%     5 - 6 -21.2 -3.5 -19.1
  Dec 30, 2023 108   @ Cornell L 64-77 29%     5 - 7 -6.0 -6.8 +0.7
  Jan 03, 2024 344   Loyola Maryland W 78-55 94%     6 - 7 1 - 0 +7.1 +5.9 +3.3
  Jan 06, 2024 319   @ Navy W 80-72 78%     7 - 7 2 - 0 +1.3 +6.9 -5.4
  Jan 10, 2024 314   Lafayette L 64-69 88%     7 - 8 2 - 1 -16.5 -6.6 -10.2
  Jan 13, 2024 269   @ Bucknell W 84-73 66%     8 - 8 3 - 1 +8.0 +8.1 -0.5
  Jan 17, 2024 336   @ Army W 64-56 84%     9 - 8 4 - 1 -1.3 -3.9 +3.2
  Jan 20, 2024 296   Boston University W 75-59 85%     10 - 8 5 - 1 +6.1 +2.2 +4.6
  Jan 22, 2024 255   Lehigh W 60-57 80%     11 - 8 6 - 1 -4.6 -12.6 +8.2
  Jan 27, 2024 287   @ American W 73-54 70%     12 - 8 7 - 1 +15.0 +10.3 +8.2
  Jan 31, 2024 336   Army W 74-55 92%     13 - 8 8 - 1 +4.5 +6.0 +0.6
  Feb 03, 2024 319   Navy W 88-64 89%     14 - 8 9 - 1 +12.1 +15.7 -2.2
  Feb 07, 2024 296   @ Boston University W 74-64 72%     15 - 8 10 - 1 +5.3 +5.8 +0.3
  Feb 10, 2024 344   @ Loyola Maryland W 76-62 87%     16 - 8 11 - 1 +3.3 +5.4 -1.0
  Feb 14, 2024 341   Holy Cross W 85-55 93%     17 - 8 12 - 1 +14.4 +0.1 +13.8
  Feb 17, 2024 269   Bucknell W 62-50 81%     18 - 8 13 - 1 +3.8 -7.2 +12.3
  Feb 19, 2024 314   @ Lafayette W 67-62 77%     19 - 8 14 - 1 -1.3 +0.4 -1.3
  Feb 25, 2024 287   American L 64-66 84%     19 - 9 14 - 2 -11.2 -9.9 -1.5
  Feb 28, 2024 341   @ Holy Cross W 77-58 86%     20 - 9 15 - 2 +8.6 +5.4 +5.5
  Mar 02, 2024 255   @ Lehigh W 63-60 64%     21 - 9 16 - 2 +0.6 -6.8 +7.5
  Mar 07, 2024 341   Holy Cross W 81-64 93%     22 - 9 +1.4 +4.0 -1.2
  Mar 10, 2024 269   Bucknell W 68-65 81%     23 - 9 -5.2 -3.2 -1.8
  Mar 13, 2024 255   Lehigh W 74-55 80%     24 - 9 +11.4 +5.2 +7.7
  Mar 22, 2024 14   Baylor L 64-78 10%    
Projected Record 24 - 10 16 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.5 2.0 48.1 49.9 0.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.5 2.0 48.1 49.9 0.0