Pre-tourney Rankings
Oregon
Pac-12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.7#54
Expected Predictive Rating+11.7#39
Pace67.6#209
Improvement-0.4#207

Offense
Total Offense+5.8#48
First Shot+5.6#41
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#157
Layup/Dunks+3.5#59
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#130
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#168
Freethrows+1.0#103
Improvement-1.8#275

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#69
First Shot+2.9#84
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#85
Layups/Dunks+2.8#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#287
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#180
Freethrows+1.2#95
Improvement+1.4#107
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round40.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.8% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 24 - 6
Quad 24 - 48 - 10
Quad 39 - 117 - 11
Quad 46 - 023 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 84   Georgia W 82-71 62%     1 - 0 +17.7 +0.9 +15.1
  Nov 10, 2023 158   Montana W 75-61 87%     2 - 0 +11.7 +0.5 +11.8
  Nov 17, 2023 293   Tennessee St. W 92-67 95%     3 - 0 +15.3 +14.7 +0.3
  Nov 20, 2023 345   @ Florida A&M W 67-54 96%     4 - 0 +2.2 -1.4 +5.0
  Nov 24, 2023 107   Santa Clara L 82-88 69%     4 - 1 -1.4 +8.1 -9.2
  Nov 25, 2023 13   Alabama L 91-99 27%     4 - 2 +8.1 +11.8 -2.9
  Dec 02, 2023 117   Michigan W 86-83 OT 80%     5 - 2 +3.7 +12.8 -9.1
  Dec 09, 2023 171   UTEP W 71-49 88%     6 - 2 +18.8 +2.7 +16.5
  Dec 12, 2023 195   California Baptist W 76-55 90%     7 - 2 +16.6 +6.2 +11.6
  Dec 17, 2023 85   Syracuse L 63-83 62%     7 - 3 -13.3 -13.0 +1.6
  Dec 21, 2023 173   Kent St. W 84-70 88%     8 - 3 +10.8 +8.5 +2.2
  Dec 28, 2023 76   USC W 82-74 69%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +12.7 +11.7 +0.9
  Dec 30, 2023 93   UCLA W 64-59 72%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +8.6 +1.9 +7.2
  Jan 04, 2024 65   @ Washington W 76-74 44%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +13.4 +9.7 +3.8
  Jan 06, 2024 39   @ Washington St. W 89-84 34%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +19.0 +27.6 -8.5
  Jan 13, 2024 113   California W 80-73 80%     13 - 3 5 - 0 +8.0 +7.1 +0.9
  Jan 18, 2024 29   @ Colorado L 70-86 29%     13 - 4 5 - 1 -0.6 +2.0 -2.2
  Jan 21, 2024 47   @ Utah L 77-80 36%     13 - 5 5 - 2 +10.3 +11.6 -1.3
  Jan 25, 2024 118   Arizona St. W 80-61 81%     14 - 5 6 - 2 +19.6 +11.3 +8.6
  Jan 27, 2024 5   Arizona L 78-87 25%     14 - 6 6 - 3 +7.9 +11.5 -3.6
  Feb 01, 2024 76   @ USC W 78-69 50%     15 - 6 7 - 3 +18.8 +14.1 +5.1
  Feb 03, 2024 93   @ UCLA L 63-71 54%     15 - 7 7 - 4 +0.8 +3.8 -4.0
  Feb 08, 2024 65   Washington W 85-80 64%     16 - 7 8 - 4 +11.2 +3.9 +6.7
  Feb 10, 2024 39   Washington St. L 56-62 54%     16 - 8 8 - 5 +2.8 -5.9 +8.1
  Feb 17, 2024 137   @ Oregon St. W 60-58 69%     17 - 8 9 - 5 +6.5 +0.4 +6.5
  Feb 22, 2024 98   @ Stanford W 78-65 57%     18 - 8 10 - 5 +21.0 +11.9 +9.6
  Feb 24, 2024 113   @ California L 64-69 63%     18 - 9 10 - 6 +1.2 -4.4 +5.5
  Feb 28, 2024 137   Oregon St. W 78-71 84%     19 - 9 11 - 6 +6.3 +6.3 +0.2
  Mar 02, 2024 5   @ Arizona L 83-103 13%     19 - 10 11 - 7 +2.1 +17.3 -14.6
  Mar 07, 2024 29   Colorado L 75-79 48%     19 - 11 11 - 8 +6.2 +12.2 -6.4
  Mar 09, 2024 47   Utah W 66-65 56%     20 - 11 12 - 8 +9.1 -2.2 +11.3
  Mar 14, 2024 93   UCLA W 68-66 64%     21 - 11 +8.2 +8.0 +0.4
  Mar 15, 2024 5   Arizona W 67-59 18%     22 - 11 +27.5 +8.2 +20.0
  Mar 16, 2024 29   Colorado W 75-68 38%     23 - 11 +19.8 +11.5 +8.7
  Mar 21, 2024 51   South Carolina L 68-69 48%    
Projected Record 23 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 10.3 0.0 0.2 2.6 13.6 36.2 47.3 0.2
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 10.3 0.0 0.2 2.6 13.6 36.2 47.3 0.2