Pre-tourney Rankings
Portland St.
Big Sky
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#253
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#225
Pace72.4#71
Improvement-2.6#296

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#297
First Shot-6.2#329
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#97
Layup/Dunks-5.3#340
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#217
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#144
Freethrows-1.2#262
Improvement-2.7#316

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#168
First Shot+1.5#128
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#300
Layups/Dunks-0.1#187
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#204
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#173
Freethrows+1.4#86
Improvement+0.2#167
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 35 - 95 - 10
Quad 49 - 514 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 244   @ Air Force W 62-55 37%     1 - 0 +5.5 -5.9 +12.3
  Nov 09, 2023 198   @ UC Santa Barbara W 82-76 30%     2 - 0 +6.5 +4.3 +1.9
  Nov 17, 2023 195   @ California Baptist W 66-63 29%     3 - 0 +3.8 -2.0 +5.9
  Nov 18, 2023 329   Cal Poly W 73-57 73%     4 - 0 +4.7 +0.0 +5.4
  Nov 19, 2023 157   St. Thomas L 70-76 31%     4 - 1 -5.7 +2.2 -8.4
  Nov 28, 2023 286   Portland W 75-74 66%     5 - 1 -8.1 -2.8 -5.3
  Dec 02, 2023 39   @ Washington St. L 61-71 5%     5 - 2 +4.0 -3.6 +7.5
  Dec 15, 2023 257   @ San Diego L 65-69 41%     5 - 3 -6.4 -7.1 +0.6
  Dec 18, 2023 213   @ Fresno St. W 75-72 OT 32%     6 - 3 +2.9 -0.7 +3.6
  Dec 28, 2023 152   @ Eastern Washington L 57-91 21%     6 - 4 0 - 1 -30.5 -19.5 -10.1
  Dec 30, 2023 320   @ Idaho W 77-72 57%     7 - 4 1 - 1 -1.7 +0.7 -2.4
  Jan 06, 2024 217   @ UMKC L 67-83 33%     7 - 5 -16.3 -4.5 -11.6
  Jan 11, 2024 254   Idaho St. L 63-69 61%     7 - 6 1 - 2 -13.6 -8.5 -5.6
  Jan 13, 2024 162   Weber St. W 69-66 41%     8 - 6 2 - 2 +0.6 -5.7 +6.4
  Jan 18, 2024 311   @ Northern Arizona L 65-84 54%     8 - 7 2 - 3 -24.9 -14.2 -9.5
  Jan 20, 2024 206   @ Northern Colorado L 61-90 31%     8 - 8 2 - 4 -28.8 -16.0 -12.2
  Jan 25, 2024 158   Montana W 72-46 40%     9 - 8 3 - 4 +23.7 +9.9 +19.5
  Jan 27, 2024 214   Montana St. W 94-91 52%     10 - 8 4 - 4 -2.4 +11.2 -13.8
  Feb 03, 2024 302   Sacramento St. W 58-51 71%     11 - 8 5 - 4 -3.5 -2.8 +1.3
  Feb 05, 2024 152   Eastern Washington L 77-90 38%     11 - 9 5 - 5 -14.7 -12.4 -0.3
  Feb 08, 2024 162   @ Weber St. L 72-84 23%     11 - 10 5 - 6 -9.2 -2.7 -6.2
  Feb 10, 2024 254   @ Idaho St. L 65-68 41%     11 - 11 5 - 7 -5.4 -1.7 -4.1
  Feb 15, 2024 206   Northern Colorado W 82-72 OT 51%     12 - 11 6 - 7 +5.0 -2.8 +7.1
  Feb 17, 2024 311   Northern Arizona W 83-68 73%     13 - 11 7 - 7 +3.9 +3.3 +0.3
  Feb 22, 2024 214   @ Montana St. L 67-72 33%     13 - 12 7 - 8 -5.2 -8.3 +3.3
  Feb 24, 2024 158   @ Montana L 73-82 23%     13 - 13 7 - 9 -6.1 -4.0 -2.0
  Mar 02, 2024 302   @ Sacramento St. L 61-73 52%     13 - 14 7 - 10 -17.3 -16.6 +0.0
  Mar 04, 2024 320   Idaho W 72-57 75%     14 - 14 8 - 10 +3.1 +1.1 +3.5
  Mar 11, 2024 158   Montana L 81-87 31%     14 - 15 -5.7 -2.5 -2.8
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%