Florida State
Men -
Women
2015
-
2016 -
2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
62 |
Harry Mulenga |
SR |
31:40 |
356 |
Brandon Shemonia |
SR |
32:38 |
380 |
Michael Callegari |
JR |
32:41 |
423 |
Steven Cross |
FR |
32:47 |
428 |
Ibrahim Ahmed |
SR |
32:48 |
521 |
Michael Hall |
JR |
32:57 |
619 |
Bryce Kelley |
JR |
33:09 |
654 |
Grant Nykaza |
SR |
33:12 |
1,082 |
Zainelabdin Fator |
JR |
33:52 |
1,123 |
Tyson Murray |
FR |
33:55 |
1,139 |
Will Simons |
FR |
33:56 |
1,530 |
Matthew Magee |
JR |
34:27 |
2,316 |
Hunter Scott |
FR |
35:48 |
|
National Rank |
#48 of 312 |
South Region Rank |
#3 of 40 |
Chance of Advancing to Nationals |
16.0% |
Most Likely Finish |
3rd at Regional |
National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
0.1% |
Regional Champion |
0.2% |
Top 5 in Regional |
98.1% |
Top 10 in Regional |
100.0% |
Top 20 in Regional |
100.0% |
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Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Harry Mulenga |
Brandon Shemonia |
Michael Callegari |
Steven Cross |
Ibrahim Ahmed |
Michael Hall |
Bryce Kelley |
Grant Nykaza |
Zainelabdin Fator |
Tyson Murray |
Will Simons |
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) |
09/30 |
835 |
31:35 |
32:21 |
32:56 |
32:49 |
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33:27 |
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33:14 |
33:40 |
34:36 |
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FSU Invitational |
10/07 |
944 |
32:40 |
33:06 |
32:40 |
32:41 |
32:42 |
33:27 |
34:01 |
33:10 |
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33:35 |
33:21 |
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational |
10/14 |
737 |
31:12 |
32:31 |
32:30 |
33:18 |
32:53 |
32:23 |
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Alabama Crimson Classic |
10/14 |
1224 |
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33:35 |
33:46 |
34:06 |
ACC Championships |
10/28 |
764 |
31:11 |
32:25 |
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32:40 |
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32:43 |
32:56 |
32:54 |
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33:55 |
34:10 |
South Region Championships |
11/11 |
852 |
31:44 |
33:10 |
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32:35 |
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32:49 |
32:43 |
34:40 |
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|
NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
16.0% |
28.4 |
699 |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
2.7 |
Region Championship |
100% |
3.3 |
112 |
0.2 |
13.9 |
51.4 |
25.9 |
6.8 |
1.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
---|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Harry Mulenga |
86.5% |
66.2 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
Brandon Shemonia |
16.3% |
192.5 |
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Michael Callegari |
16.2% |
194.4 |
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Steven Cross |
16.0% |
206.9 |
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Ibrahim Ahmed |
16.0% |
205.5 |
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Michael Hall |
16.1% |
219.5 |
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Bryce Kelley |
16.0% |
230.6 |
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Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Harry Mulenga |
4.9 |
5.3 |
9.6 |
13.3 |
12.6 |
10.8 |
11.1 |
8.6 |
7.1 |
5.4 |
3.9 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
Brandon Shemonia |
23.6 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
4.8 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
5.2 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.1 |
Michael Callegari |
25.0 |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
3.5 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
Steven Cross |
28.1 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
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0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
4.7 |
3.1 |
Ibrahim Ahmed |
28.4 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
Michael Hall |
33.7 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
Bryce Kelley |
42.0 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
NCAA Championship Selection Detail
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Total |
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Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
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At Large Selection |
|
No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
0.2% |
100.0% |
0.2 |
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0.2 |
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1 |
2 |
13.9% |
100.0% |
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13.9 |
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13.9 |
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2 |
3 |
51.4% |
3.7% |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
49.5 |
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1.9 |
3 |
4 |
25.9% |
0.2% |
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0.1 |
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25.9 |
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0.1 |
4 |
5 |
6.8% |
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6.8 |
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5 |
6 |
1.6% |
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1.6 |
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6 |
7 |
0.2% |
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0.2 |
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7 |
8 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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8 |
9 |
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9 |
10 |
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10 |
11 |
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11 |
12 |
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12 |
13 |
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13 |
14 |
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14 |
15 |
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15 |
16 |
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16 |
17 |
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18 |
19 |
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19 |
20 |
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20 |
21 |
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21 |
22 |
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22 |
23 |
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23 |
24 |
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24 |
25 |
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25 |
26 |
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26 |
27 |
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27 |
28 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
31 |
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31 |
32 |
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32 |
33 |
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33 |
34 |
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34 |
35 |
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35 |
36 |
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36 |
37 |
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37 |
38 |
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38 |
39 |
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39 |
40 |
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40 |
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Total |
100% |
16.0% |
0.2 |
13.9 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
84.1 |
14.0 |
2.0 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.