Arkansas
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
34  Alex George SR 31:25
59  Jack Bruce SR 31:32
157  Cameron Griffith JR 32:01
177  Matt Young FR 32:04
186  Austen Dalquist SR 32:07
309  Andrew Ronoh JR 32:28
419  Ethan Moehn JR 32:40
509  Kyle Levermore JR 32:51
881  Colin O'Mara SR 33:29
1,047  Preston Cates SO 33:41
National Rank #15 of 315
South Central Region Rank #1 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 17th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 17.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 80.1%


Regional Champion 80.7%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Alex George Jack Bruce Cameron Griffith Matt Young Austen Dalquist Andrew Ronoh Ethan Moehn Kyle Levermore Colin O'Mara Preston Cates
Iona College Meet of Champions 09/15 711 31:59 32:00 32:30 32:59 32:10
Chile Pepper Festival 09/29 646 31:35 31:54 32:38 32:03 33:09 32:37 33:30
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 33:50
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 675 31:18 31:22 32:28 32:51 33:20 33:55
SEC Championship 10/27 335 31:03 31:26 31:29 31:52 31:59 32:53 32:08 32:27 33:18 34:23
South Region Championships 11/10 658 31:59 31:51 32:20 32:00 32:43 33:07 33:25





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100.0% 15.7 432 0.4 0.3 1.3 1.9 2.4 3.1 3.7 5.1 4.3 6.6 6.7 6.9 6.0 6.9 7.9 6.4 6.2 4.5 4.9 3.6 3.1 2.7 2.3 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.1
Region Championship 100% 1.2 37 80.7 19.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alex George 100% 44.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.2 1.6 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.9 2.1 1.6 1.6
Jack Bruce 100% 57.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.8 1.5
Cameron Griffith 100.0% 124.9
Matt Young 100.0% 134.5
Austen Dalquist 100.0% 142.9
Andrew Ronoh 100.0% 192.5
Ethan Moehn 100.0% 213.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alex George 1.7 33.7 23.9 15.2 9.4 5.0 3.6 2.1 1.8 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
Jack Bruce 2.6 15.8 23.5 18.6 12.1 7.0 6.4 4.1 2.9 2.7 2.2 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Cameron Griffith 7.8 0.1 1.0 3.8 7.4 10.5 10.4 9.8 8.5 8.5 7.0 5.1 4.2 2.8 3.2 2.7 2.2 2.2 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.1 1.2 0.5 0.6 0.4
Matt Young 8.8 0.1 0.5 2.1 4.7 7.7 9.0 8.8 10.2 8.6 6.8 6.4 4.9 3.7 3.5 3.5 2.7 2.7 1.9 1.6 2.2 1.1 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.8
Austen Dalquist 9.6 0.8 2.8 7.0 8.2 9.0 10.4 7.6 7.4 6.0 5.8 4.1 4.3 3.8 2.8 2.4 2.4 2.4 1.9 1.7 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2
Andrew Ronoh 16.8 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.0 4.5 5.0 6.4 7.2 5.5 5.6 6.2 4.9 4.5 4.7 4.6 4.0 4.1 3.8 3.7 2.5
Ethan Moehn 21.7 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.1 2.5 2.8 4.0 3.9 5.1 5.8 6.1 4.5 4.9 5.0 4.9 4.6 4.5 5.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 80.7% 100.0% 80.7 80.7 1
2 19.3% 100.0% 19.3 19.3 2
3 0.1% 0.1 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 100.0% 80.7 19.3 0.0 100.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Mississippi 98.0% 1.0 1.0
Alabama 34.6% 1.0 0.3
Georgetown 31.5% 1.0 0.3
Tennessee 1.2% 2.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Auburn 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.7
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 6.0