Princeton
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
141  Conor Lundy SO 31:58
235  Noah Kauppila SR 32:15
258  William Paulson SR 32:20
348  Garrett O'Toole SR 32:33
418  Viraj Deokar SO 32:40
463  Robert Stone SR 32:44
527  Gannon Willcutts SO 32:53
687  Wolfgang Beck SR 33:10
692  Matt Grossman FR 33:11
872  David Krahn SO 33:29
1,055  Perrin Hagge SO 33:42
1,415  Kevin Berry FR 34:11
1,443  Ed Trippas FR 34:14
National Rank #41 of 315
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #1 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 69.1%
Most Likely Finish 30th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 3.7%


Regional Champion 45.2%
Top 5 in Regional 97.6%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Conor Lundy Noah Kauppila William Paulson Garrett O'Toole Viraj Deokar Robert Stone Gannon Willcutts Wolfgang Beck Matt Grossman David Krahn Perrin Hagge
Fordham Fiasco Invitational 09/09 1744
Iona College Meet of Champions 09/15 1190 34:02 34:02 34:01 34:01 34:01
Louisville Classic (Gold) 09/30 1049 33:02 33:02 33:11 33:05 33:07 34:59 33:06 33:20 34:58
Princeton Invitational 10/14 767 32:08 32:08 32:30 32:28 32:48 32:35 33:09 32:46 32:49 33:22 33:33
Ivy League Championship 10/27 552 31:48 31:48 32:33 31:53 32:13 32:20 32:12 32:31 33:11 33:02
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/10 712 32:04 32:19 32:12 32:40 32:28 32:13 32:47





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 69.1% 27.2 678 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.2 2.0 2.3 2.5 3.9 4.0 5.5 6.5 8.2 9.3 11.1 10.3
Region Championship 100% 2.1 85 45.2 23.9 14.0 9.4 5.2 1.7 0.7 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Conor Lundy 84.3% 108.9
Noah Kauppila 72.6% 154.3
William Paulson 71.0% 166.2
Garrett O'Toole 69.2% 191.8
Viraj Deokar 69.1% 207.6
Robert Stone 69.1% 213.2
Gannon Willcutts 69.1% 225.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Conor Lundy 3.8 8.6 18.7 14.6 10.7 7.0 5.1 4.8 3.8 2.3 3.3 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6
Noah Kauppila 10.1 0.7 2.4 4.3 6.7 6.7 6.1 6.4 5.5 5.8 5.2 3.8 3.6 3.3 2.7 3.4 2.5 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.8 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.3
William Paulson 12.6 0.2 0.8 2.8 3.9 4.6 6.2 6.1 5.7 5.0 4.8 3.7 4.1 3.6 3.1 2.6 2.8 2.2 2.5 2.3 1.6 2.2 2.1 1.2 1.3 1.4
Garrett O'Toole 22.5 0.2 0.3 1.1 1.7 1.6 2.2 2.8 3.0 3.6 3.9 2.8 3.2 3.0 2.4 3.5 3.0 2.3 3.4 2.4 2.5 3.4 2.7 2.2
Viraj Deokar 29.5 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.4 2.2 2.2 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.1 2.7 2.4 2.1 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.4 2.5
Robert Stone 32.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.8 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.2 3.6 2.2 1.9 2.3 2.1 2.8
Gannon Willcutts 40.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.6 2.0 1.5 2.2 1.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 45.2% 100.0% 45.2 45.2 1
2 23.9% 100.0% 23.9 23.9 2
3 14.0% 0.4% 0.1 13.9 0.1 3
4 9.4% 9.4 4
5 5.2% 5.2 5
6 1.7% 1.7 6
7 0.7% 0.7 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 69.1% 45.2 23.9 0.1 31.0 69.0 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Penn 37.5% 1.0 0.4
Columbia 4.0% 1.0 0.0
Temple 1.1% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0