Lipscomb
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
196  Madelin Talbert SR 20:19
267  Brooke Kingma FR 20:30
337  Barbara Lee Ball JR 20:40
380  Kate Bucknam SR 20:44
401  Paige Stoner SO 20:45
551  Kelli Nesky FR 20:59
563  Sally Larson JR 21:00
702  Katie Bianchini SO 21:12
748  Bridgette Doucet FR 21:16
952  Minna Fields SR 21:31
1,109  Lauren Dunnell FR 21:43
1,248  Grace Oetting FR 21:52
1,305  Samantha Woodford FR 21:56
1,480  Hannah Munyan SR 22:08
1,640  Avery Franklin SO 22:19
1,720  Kayla Montgomery SO 22:23
1,782  Hannah Owens FR 22:27
2,120  Kacey Kemper SO 22:52
2,191  Meredith Kilburn SR 22:57
2,206  Brianne Holland FR 22:58
2,274  Katie Sperry SO 23:04
2,282  Clare Losito FR 23:06
2,287  Kelsey Ibarra JR 23:06
2,566  Katie Grace Dean SR 23:32
2,573  Brianne Hoglin SO 23:33
2,669  Madison Colley FR 23:46
National Rank #48 of 339
South Region Rank #6 of 46
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 11.2%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 1.3%


Regional Champion 1.3%
Top 5 in Regional 52.5%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Madelin Talbert Brooke Kingma Barbara Lee Ball Kate Bucknam Paige Stoner Kelli Nesky Sally Larson Katie Bianchini Bridgette Doucet Minna Fields Lauren Dunnell
Coast to Coast Battle in Beantown 09/25 757 20:18 20:29 20:29 20:42 20:31 20:56 20:47 21:31 21:43 21:37
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/03 834 20:18 20:35 20:53 20:33 20:45 20:59 21:14 21:18 21:24 21:26
Greater Louisville Classic (Blue) 10/03 1247 21:37
JSU Foothills Invitational 10/03 1345
Alabama Crimson Classic Invitational 10/16 1173 20:59 21:17 21:16 22:28
ASUN Championships 10/30 820 20:11 20:34 20:42 20:47 21:03 20:45 20:57 20:59 21:09
South Region Championships 11/13 933 20:50 20:24 20:37 20:56 21:29 21:06 21:21





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 11.2% 25.7 620 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.4 0.7
Region Championship 100% 5.3 172 1.3 4.5 9.9 16.1 20.7 21.4 16.6 7.0 2.4 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madelin Talbert 14.9% 114.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
Brooke Kingma 11.5% 146.1
Barbara Lee Ball 11.3% 175.3
Kate Bucknam 11.3% 183.2
Paige Stoner 11.3% 186.4
Kelli Nesky 11.2% 214.7
Sally Larson 11.2% 216.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madelin Talbert 19.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.8 1.5 1.6 1.6 2.4 2.7 2.8 3.2 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.0 4.4 4.8 4.4 4.1 3.8 3.8 3.5 3.2
Brooke Kingma 28.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.7 1.9 1.7 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.0 2.7 3.1 2.9 3.4 3.6
Barbara Lee Ball 37.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 2.1
Kate Bucknam 40.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.7
Paige Stoner 42.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.1
Kelli Nesky 58.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Sally Larson 59.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1.3% 100.0% 1.3 1.3 1
2 4.5% 100.0% 4.5 4.5 2
3 9.9% 30.5% 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 6.9 3.0 3
4 16.1% 8.9% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 14.7 1.4 4
5 20.7% 2.2% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 20.2 0.5 5
6 21.4% 1.5% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 21.0 0.3 6
7 16.6% 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 16.3 0.2 7
8 7.0% 7.0 8
9 2.4% 2.4 9
10 0.2% 0.2 10
11 0.0% 0.0 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
Total 100% 11.2% 1.3 4.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.5 88.8 5.8 5.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Wisconsin 8.6% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Brown 5.0% 1.0 0.1
Mississippi 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Boston College 1.4% 1.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.3
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0