Auburn
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
40  Brenda Kigen FR 19:44
110  Veronica Eder JR 20:02
242  Molly McKenna SO 20:26
457  Susan Rachel Givens JR 20:51
591  Taylor Duncan JR 21:03
710  Kristin Sheehan SR 21:13
805  Emily Stevens JR 21:20
901  Claire Kennedy SR 21:27
1,171  Sage Blackwell SR 21:47
1,747  Madeline Sharp SR 22:25
2,974  Kali Carney SR 24:42
National Rank #31 of 339
South Region Rank #4 of 46
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 18.0%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 5.3%


Regional Champion 1.8%
Top 5 in Regional 70.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Brenda Kigen Veronica Eder Molly McKenna Susan Rachel Givens Taylor Duncan Kristin Sheehan Emily Stevens Claire Kennedy Sage Blackwell Madeline Sharp Kali Carney
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/26 593 19:39 20:02 20:05 20:36 21:04 21:09
JSU Foothills Invitational 10/03 1157 21:05 21:17 21:11 21:25 21:25 21:29 21:56 25:16
Alabama Crimson Classic Invitational 10/16 690 20:02 20:03 20:25 20:58 20:43 21:09 21:27 22:03 22:25 24:18
SEC Championships 10/30 780 19:40 20:24 21:04 20:31 21:16 21:40 21:12 22:16 23:01
South Region Championships 11/13 756 19:41 19:50 21:14 20:59 21:07 21:51 21:06
NCAA Championship 11/21 19:48





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 18.0% 22.7 547 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.2
Region Championship 100% 4.6 154 1.8 7.3 15.9 24.7 21.1 16.8 8.6 3.0 0.7 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenda Kigen 86.9% 46.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.7 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.3 1.2
Veronica Eder 38.7% 82.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
Molly McKenna 18.3% 146.5
Susan Rachel Givens 18.0% 205.9
Taylor Duncan 18.0% 222.9
Kristin Sheehan 18.0% 237.0
Emily Stevens 18.0% 241.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenda Kigen 3.7 9.9 16.8 14.9 12.2 9.6 8.1 6.4 5.5 4.1 2.9 2.0 1.8 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Veronica Eder 10.1 0.5 1.9 3.2 4.7 6.3 6.9 7.0 6.6 6.4 6.2 5.6 5.8 4.6 4.5 3.9 3.9 3.5 2.5 2.3 1.7 1.6 1.3 1.6 1.3 1.0
Molly McKenna 25.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.4 1.9 1.9 2.3 2.7 2.8 2.5 3.8 3.1 2.8 3.2 3.9 3.6 3.5 3.8
Susan Rachel Givens 48.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.8
Taylor Duncan 62.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2
Kristin Sheehan 75.1 0.0
Emily Stevens 82.8 0.0 0.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1.8% 100.0% 1.8 1.8 1
2 7.3% 100.0% 7.3 7.3 2
3 15.9% 28.2% 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 11.4 4.5 3
4 24.7% 10.1% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 22.2 2.5 4
5 21.1% 7.1% 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 19.6 1.5 5
6 16.8% 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 16.5 0.3 6
7 8.6% 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5 0.1 7
8 3.0% 3.0 8
9 0.7% 0.7 9
10 0.0% 0.0 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
Total 100% 18.0% 1.8 7.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.2 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 82.0 9.1 8.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Yale 19.5% 1.0 0.2
Texas A&M 8.2% 2.0 0.2
Mississippi 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Florida 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Michigan 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0