Bradley
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
109  Kristen Busch SR 20:02
166  Caitlin Busch SR 20:13
446  Rosie Hiles SR 20:50
644  Rachel Sudbury JR 21:07
705  Sarah McMahon SR 21:13
767  Gabby Juarez FR 21:17
902  Abby Jockisch FR 21:27
1,084  Kylie McKinney SR 21:41
1,218  Lauren Houmes SR 21:50
1,447  Hannah Witzcak SO 22:05
1,477  Katie Wampole JR 22:08
1,535  Natalie Burant SO 22:12
1,601  Lauren Cunningham JR 22:16
1,783  Sara Piller FR 22:28
1,829  Nicole Alfano SO 22:30
2,036  Nicole Lopez-Villegas JR 22:45
2,239  Molly Leveille SO 23:01
2,580  Jennifer Luksan SO 23:34
2,617  Rebecca Gosselin JR 23:38
2,641  Brooke Nusser FR 23:41
2,663  Megan Price JR 23:45
2,753  Morgan Lain FR 23:57
2,831  Melody Mercado SO 24:10
2,997  Liz Smits SR 24:45
3,148  Catalina Dominick FR 25:33
National Rank #53 of 339
Midwest Region Rank #6 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 5.3%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 38.7%
Top 10 in Regional 98.5%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Kristen Busch Caitlin Busch Rosie Hiles Rachel Sudbury Sarah McMahon Gabby Juarez Abby Jockisch Kylie McKinney Lauren Houmes Hannah Witzcak Katie Wampole
Joe Piane Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/02 796 20:10 20:03 20:44 20:50 21:14 21:42 21:29
Bradley 'Pink' Classic Invitational (Red) 10/16 1250 21:26 22:17 21:51
Bradley 'Pink' Classic Invitational (White) 10/16 1427
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 860 20:00 20:26 20:49 21:11 21:04 21:48
Illini Open 10/23 1246 21:43 21:52 21:59 22:22
Missouri Valley Conference Championships 10/31 890 20:19 20:10 21:02 21:05 21:20 21:40 21:10 22:05
Midwest Region Championships 11/13 866 19:50 20:23 21:30 20:53 21:20 21:31 21:26
NCAA Championship 11/21 19:59





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 5.3% 27.0 648 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.2
Region Championship 100% 6.2 226 0.2 2.1 14.5 21.9 23.9 16.9 11.0 5.8 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kristen Busch 13.9% 69.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Caitlin Busch 6.8% 95.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Rosie Hiles 5.3% 192.0
Rachel Sudbury 5.3% 225.4
Sarah McMahon 5.3% 231.8
Gabby Juarez 5.3% 235.9
Abby Jockisch 5.3% 244.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kristen Busch 12.6 0.3 0.9 1.9 2.9 3.5 4.2 5.1 5.5 5.3 5.0 5.8 5.9 5.9 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.7 4.3 4.2 3.0 3.0 2.1 2.0 1.7 1.4
Caitlin Busch 18.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.7 1.7 2.1 2.3 2.4 3.2 3.7 4.2 3.7 4.1 4.6 5.4 4.9 5.0 4.8 5.1 4.3 4.2 3.6 3.4
Rosie Hiles 47.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.7
Rachel Sudbury 70.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sarah McMahon 77.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
Gabby Juarez 85.3 0.0
Abby Jockisch 100.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 2
3 2.1% 74.0% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 3
4 14.5% 22.2% 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 11.3 3.2 4
5 21.9% 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 21.6 0.3 5
6 23.9% 0.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.8 0.1 6
7 16.9% 16.9 7
8 11.0% 11.0 8
9 5.8% 5.8 9
10 2.3% 2.3 10
11 0.9% 0.9 11
12 0.3% 0.3 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 0.0% 0.0 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 0.0% 0.0 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 5.3% 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 94.7 0.2 5.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 43.8% 1.0 0.4
SMU 21.4% 1.0 0.2
Stephen F. Austin 9.1% 1.0 0.1
Texas A&M 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Oklahoma 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Penn 1.8% 1.0 0.0
Florida 1.7% 2.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 2.0 0.0
Eastern Michigan 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0