Gonzaga
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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RankNameGradeRating
106  Shelby Mills SR 20:02
172  Jessica Mildes JR 20:14
225  Jordan Thurston SO 20:24
487  Maggie Jones SR 20:53
605  Amelia Evans SR 21:04
1,135  Katy Culver JR 21:45
1,620  Julie Henling SO 22:18
1,653  Megan Chucka SO 22:19
1,742  Olivia Evans SO 22:25
1,876  Corrine Murray SO 22:34
2,047  Erin Bergmann SR 22:45
2,139  Kelly Gilbert FR 22:53
2,235  Christina Winters SR 23:01
2,341  Emily Anderson JR 23:10
2,352  Molly Stroosma JR 23:11
2,394  Elena Slavoski SO 23:15
2,405  Michaela Bruns FR 23:16
2,507  Amanda Kiefer FR 23:25
2,528  Addi Johnson JR 23:28
2,672  Kate Wagner SO 23:46
2,687  Emma Morris FR 23:48
2,762  Claren Fraher SO 23:58
2,826  Jenny Albrecht SO 24:09
2,845  Monica Ripple FR 24:13
3,029  Emily Coic JR 24:52
3,073  Lauren Saunders SO 25:03
3,176  Molly Foster FR 25:44
National Rank #36 of 339
West Region Rank #6 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 4.7%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 1.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 22.3%
Top 10 in Regional 89.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Shelby Mills Jessica Mildes Jordan Thurston Maggie Jones Amelia Evans Katy Culver Julie Henling Megan Chucka Olivia Evans Corrine Murray Erin Bergmann
Washington Invitational 10/02 910 20:52 20:23 20:28 21:01 20:57 21:34 22:34 22:24 22:55
Inland Empire Championships 10/17 877 20:15 20:17 20:27 21:50 22:33 22:21 22:32 22:34 21:48
West Coast Conference 10/31 686 19:51 20:05 20:14 20:57 21:03 21:46 21:56 22:19 23:06
West Region Championships 11/13 740 19:49 20:10 20:31 21:01 21:01 21:19 22:15
NCAA Championship 11/21 746 19:59 20:20 20:22 20:40 21:29 22:40 22:13





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 4.7% 23.6 564 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
Region Championship 100% 7.4 254 0.0 0.3 1.5 20.5 19.5 18.0 13.2 9.8 7.0 4.9 2.6 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Mills 41.3% 80.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2
Jessica Mildes 14.0% 104.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jordan Thurston 6.6% 128.3
Maggie Jones 4.7% 203.0
Amelia Evans 4.7% 218.5
Katy Culver 4.7% 248.6
Julie Henling 4.7% 251.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Mills 17.4 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.4 2.4 2.9 3.5 3.9 3.7 3.7 4.8 4.0 3.7 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.8
Jessica Mildes 29.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.1 0.9 1.3 1.4 2.0 1.9 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.7 2.2 2.3 2.9 3.1 2.6 2.5
Jordan Thurston 39.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.2 1.3 2.0
Maggie Jones 73.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Amelia Evans 87.5 0.0 0.0
Katy Culver 146.3
Julie Henling 195.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 2
3 0.3% 93.3% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3
4 1.5% 82.2% 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 4
5 20.5% 12.6% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.1 17.9 2.6 5
6 19.5% 2.4% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 19.1 0.5 6
7 18.0% 0.8% 0.0 0.1 17.8 0.1 7
8 13.2% 13.2 8
9 9.8% 9.8 9
10 7.0% 7.0 10
11 4.9% 4.9 11
12 2.6% 2.6 12
13 1.3% 1.3 13
14 0.8% 0.8 14
15 0.3% 0.3 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 0.0% 0.0 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 4.7% 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.3 95.3 0.0 4.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
BYU 78.3% 1.0 0.8
Eastern Washington 0.7% 1.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.8
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0