SMU
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
43  Hannah Miller FR 19:45
131  Charlotte Tara Murphy FR 20:08
167  Holly Archer SR 20:13
492  Rakel Barrientos SO 20:56
505  Agnes Sjostrom SR 20:57
610  Anneke Grogan SO 21:06
645  Marlene Gomez-Islinger JR 21:08
727  Justine Anthony SR 21:14
1,241  Alison Esparza FR 21:47
National Rank #33 of 344
South Central Region Rank #3 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 20.8%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 7.9%


Regional Champion 1.3%
Top 5 in Regional 99.6%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Hannah Miller Charlotte Tara Murphy Holly Archer Rakel Barrientos Agnes Sjostrom Anneke Grogan Marlene Gomez-Islinger Justine Anthony Alison Esparza
UTA Gerald Richey Invitational 09/10 925 20:04 20:41 20:53 21:41 21:14 21:39 21:18 21:25
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/23 566 19:41 19:59 20:01 20:47 20:46 20:53 20:46 21:05 21:58
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 21:04 21:51
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 631 19:46 20:13 20:10 20:52 20:55 21:01 20:40
American Conference Championship 10/29 681 19:49 20:09 20:19 21:03 20:49 21:00 20:58 21:19 21:44
South Central Region Championships 11/11 682 19:42 20:20 20:10 20:45 21:27 21:47 21:11





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 20.8% 22.1 529 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.9 0.9 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.6
Region Championship 100% 3.4 96 1.3 12.3 44.2 27.0 14.9 0.5



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Miller 97.0% 47.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 1.2 0.9 1.1 0.7 1.1 1.2 0.9 1.3 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.0 0.9 1.4 1.5
Charlotte Tara Murphy 50.7% 101.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Holly Archer 38.2% 113.6 0.1 0.1
Rakel Barrientos 20.8% 217.4
Agnes Sjostrom 20.8% 216.7
Anneke Grogan 20.8% 226.5
Marlene Gomez-Islinger 20.8% 229.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Miller 3.3 14.0 16.2 15.4 13.2 10.4 7.5 6.3 3.9 3.5 2.5 2.2 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Charlotte Tara Murphy 11.2 0.3 1.1 2.1 3.4 5.3 5.6 5.4 6.1 6.6 7.0 6.4 6.5 4.9 4.8 5.9 5.0 4.5 4.3 4.0 3.2 2.4 1.6 1.1 1.2 1.0
Holly Archer 13.9 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 2.4 3.4 4.1 4.5 5.4 5.3 5.7 5.9 5.9 5.9 6.1 5.5 6.4 5.9 6.6 4.1 4.1 2.9 2.2 1.4 1.7
Rakel Barrientos 33.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 1.0 1.6 1.2 2.7 2.9 2.8
Agnes Sjostrom 33.9 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.5
Anneke Grogan 39.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.8
Marlene Gomez-Islinger 41.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1.3% 100.0% 1.3 1.3 1
2 12.3% 100.0% 12.3 12.3 2
3 44.2% 14.7% 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.0 2.9 37.7 6.5 3
4 27.0% 2.4% 0.1 0.3 0.4 26.3 0.7 4
5 14.9% 0.3% 0.1 14.8 0.1 5
6 0.5% 0.5 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 20.8% 1.3 12.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.9 1.0 3.3 79.3 13.6 7.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Michigan State 96.5% 1.0 1.0
Boise State 60.0% 1.0 0.6
Virginia 24.8% 1.0 0.2
Georgetown 22.0% 1.0 0.2
Wisconsin 14.5% 1.0 0.1
Vanderbilt 6.1% 1.0 0.1
William and Mary 4.2% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 3.4% 2.0 0.1
Syracuse 2.3% 2.0 0.0
Bucknell 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Florida State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 2.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 7.0