Virginia
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
142  Emily Mulhern SO 20:09
294  Sarah Astin SR 20:33
328  Beth Hawling SR 20:37
334  Megan Rebholz JR 20:38
561  Emma Call FR 21:02
933  Nadia Power FR 21:28
948  Sarah Fakler SR 21:29
1,272  Bonnie Angermeier SO 21:49
1,388  Georgie Mackenzie FR 21:56
1,977  Maryanna Lansing FR 22:31
National Rank #50 of 344
Southeast Region Rank #4 of 50
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 24.8%
Most Likely Finish 2nd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 1.3%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 70.3%
Top 10 in Regional 97.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Emily Mulhern Sarah Astin Beth Hawling Megan Rebholz Emma Call Nadia Power Sarah Fakler Bonnie Angermeier Georgie Mackenzie Maryanna Lansing
adidas Challenge 09/16 1207 20:59 21:24 21:54 22:26
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/23 806 20:16 20:33 20:22 20:45 20:56 21:22 21:46 21:49 22:47
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 800 20:14 20:35 20:35 20:28 20:57 21:29 22:01
ACC Championships 10/28 938 20:19 20:33 20:46 21:22 21:11 21:50 21:46 22:33 22:05 22:25
Southeast Region Champioinships 11/11 797 19:45 20:37 20:46 20:38 21:08 21:21 21:42





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 24.8% 27.7 655 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.6 1.0 0.8 1.8 1.7 2.4 3.1 4.2 6.4
Region Championship 100% 4.6 191 0.1 24.7 18.8 15.0 11.9 8.1 7.5 5.7 4.2 2.2 1.4 0.3 0.5



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emily Mulhern 26.7% 88.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Sarah Astin 24.8% 162.1
Beth Hawling 24.8% 176.2
Megan Rebholz 24.8% 176.3
Emma Call 24.8% 222.6
Nadia Power 24.8% 244.0
Sarah Fakler 24.8% 244.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emily Mulhern 16.7 0.3 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.7 1.5 2.1 3.1 3.6 3.4 4.1 4.5 4.1 4.9 4.9 5.5 5.4 4.8 5.6 4.7 4.2 4.3 3.5 3.1 2.7
Sarah Astin 32.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.2 1.7 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.6 3.0 2.9 3.5
Beth Hawling 35.9 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.7 1.1 0.6 1.2 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.5
Megan Rebholz 36.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 1.0 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.5 2.5 3.1
Emma Call 61.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Nadia Power 100.9
Sarah Fakler 104.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 24.7% 100.0% 24.7 24.7 2
3 18.8% 18.8 3
4 15.0% 15.0 4
5 11.9% 11.9 5
6 8.1% 8.1 6
7 7.5% 7.5 7
8 5.7% 5.7 8
9 4.2% 4.2 9
10 2.2% 2.2 10
11 1.4% 1.4 11
12 0.3% 0.3 12
13 0.5% 0.5 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
50 50
Total 100% 24.8% 0.1 24.7 75.3 24.8 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Furman 25.1% 1.0 0.3
Louisville 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
William and Mary 4.2% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Duke 3.2% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Bucknell 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.6
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0